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MASS

Massachusetts 3 at Florida State 59

FSU
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:46 · George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+41.1Home team on offense+16.2Score differential+10.8Blowout margin+0.6Garbage-time factor+2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:31: Jashaun Corbin run for 29 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:00: Treshaun Ward run for 17 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:13: D.J. Williams run for 23 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:53MASS 4th & 12 at FSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:56MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:45FSU 4th & 9 at MASS 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:57MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:46MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:40MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 38, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:49FSU 4th & 7 at FSU 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:07MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:48MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 33, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:11MASS 4th & 4 at FSU 28, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:51FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 37, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:00MASS 4th & 15 at FSU 22, down 56
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:37FSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:31FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:00FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:13FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:02FSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:44FSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:53FSU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1FG
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-5
99.5%
PENALTY UMA False Start (Fagundes,Helber) 5 yards from FSU23 to FSU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 12
OPP 28
0
99.5%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 12
OPP 28
0
99.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma DiekeSimilar
Q1 13:53
4TH & 12
OPP 28
+45
99.5%
Cameron Carson 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:01100% → 99%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
99.5%
Jordan Travis run for 39 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+21
99.5%
Jashaun Corbin run for 21 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.5%
Jordan Travis run for no gain to the UMass 15Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.4%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+12
99.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Jordan Travis run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:231% → 1%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.4%
Brady Olson run for 7 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+12
99.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 12 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.3%
Brady Olson run for 2 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+1
99.3%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 1 yd to the UMass 48Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
99.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Travis Jay at the FlaSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4FG
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:5999% → 99%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+38
99.3%
Lawrance Toafili run for 38 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.3%
Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.2%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+35
99.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 35 yds to the UMass 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.2%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 12
OPP 21
-4
99.2%
Jordan Travis sacked by Te'Rai Powell for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
99.1%
Ryan Fitzgerald 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 16
OPP 25
+7
99.1%
Jordan Travis run for 7 yds to the UMass 18 Jordan Travis fumbled, forced by Gerrell Johnson, recovered by FlaSt Jashaun CorbinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 3:421% → 1%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Zamar Wise for 3 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
99.0%
Zamar Wise run for 1 yd to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+10
99.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 10 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
98.9%
Zamar Wise run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
98.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
98.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Ellis MerriweatherSimilar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
98.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Travis Jay at the FlaSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 94 yds · 2:1099% → 99%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
98.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 7Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+5
98.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q2 14:36
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+51
98.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Malik McClain for 51 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn HeltonSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
98.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for 8 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+29
99.0%
Jashaun Corbin run for 29 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7INT
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:281% → 2%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Zamar Wise run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+33
98.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 33 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
98.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 1 yd to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
98.7%
Brady Olson run for no gain to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+15
98.7%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kevin Knowles II) to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
98.6%
Melvin Hill run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jaret PallottaSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.5%
Brady Olson pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:3299% → 99%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
98.8%
Jordan Travis run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
98.7%
Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+23
98.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 23 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
98.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Da'Shon Ross) to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
98.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 5 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+3
98.6%
Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+17
99.3%
Treshaun Ward run for 17 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:461% → 1%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
99.2%
Zamar Wise pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 9 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.2%
George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:2199% → 100%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClainSimilar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+20
99.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 20 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn HeltonSimilar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+14
99.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 14 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+12
99.4%
Jordan Travis run for 12 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.4%
D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
99.8%
D.J. Williams run for 23 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11INT TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
99.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jermaine Johnson Jr. for 12 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Brady Olson pass intercepted for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
99.8%
Zamar Wise pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 11 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 37Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Zamar Wise run for 6 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-5
99.8%
Zamar Wise sacked by DJ Lundy for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 11:40
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+11
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 3
OWN 30
-15
99.9%
(09:56) Travis,Jordan pass complete to Helton,Keyshawn for 8 yards to the FSU38, out of bounds PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (McClain,Malik) 15 yards from FSU30 to FSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 18
OWN 15
+11
99.9%
Jordan Travis run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Zamar Wise run for 5 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 8:07
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 37 yds , Keyshawn Helton returns for no gain to the FlaSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+25
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 25 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Darion Williamson for 16 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+12
99.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 12 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:02100% → 100%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
99.9%
(04:55) Purdy,Chubba pass incomplete to McClain,Malik PENALTY UMA Pass Interference (Mahoney,Jordan) 15 yards from UMA25 to UMA10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Lawrance Toafili run for 10 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Zamar Wise run for 12 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Zamar Wise sacked by Marcus Cushnie for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Zamar Wise pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
99.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 4:33100% → 100%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
99.9%
Ja'Khi Douglas run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+38
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 38 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Ja'Khi Douglas run for no gain to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Chubba Purdy run for 5 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
(00:18) Douglas,Ja'Khi rush for 2 yards loss to the UMA44 (Logan,Nahji) PENALTY UMA Offside (Wooden,Billy) 5 yards from UMA42 to UMA37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Ja'Khi Douglas run for 3 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Ja'Khi Douglas run for 2 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+27
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 27 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jordan Young for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 64 yds · 6:380% → 0%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
100.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 9Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-2
100.0%
Zamar Wise sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 7Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+18
100.0%
Zamar Wise run for 18 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
100.0%
Zamar Wise run for 18 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
100.0%
Zamar Wise sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+9
100.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 9 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+14
100.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 14 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Onuma DiekeSimilar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
100.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jared Chisari for 6 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 4
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
100.0%
D.J. Williams run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Ja'Khi Douglas run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
100.0%
Ja'Khi Douglas run for no gain to the FlaSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
100.0%
(03:45) Olson,Brady pass complete to Johnson,Jermaine for 32 yards to the FSU05 (Dix, Jr.,Stephen) PENALTY UMA Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from FSU37 to FSU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+5
100.0%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-5
100.0%
PENALTY UMA False Start (Chisari,Jared) 5 yards from FSU37 to FSU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 15
OPP 42
0
100.0%
(02:29) Olson,Brady pass incomplete to Johnson,Jermaine PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (Dix, Jr.,Stephen) 11 yard from FSU42 to FSU31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
100.0%
Jared Chisari run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
100.0%
Zamar Wise pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 1 yd to the FlaSt 18Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 11
OPP 18
0
100.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 11
OPP 18
-4
100.0%
PENALTY UMA False Start (Tomlison,Dalton) 4 yards from FSU18 to FSU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 15
OPP 22
0
100.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray PettwaySimilar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+12
100.0%
Brady Olson run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
100.0%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 8Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 8
-2
100.0%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:00
Treshaun Ward run for 17 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 1:13
D.J. Williams run for 23 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 13:31
Jashaun Corbin run for 29 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com