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WAKE

Wake Forest 70 at Army 56

ARMY
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:15 · Cade Barnard run for 4 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Home team on offense−32.0Score differential−17.4Garbage-time factor−14.1Pregame prior−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:38: Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) — ARMY win probability +16.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:32: Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +15.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:04: Cade Ballard pass intercepted for a TD Traveon Redd return for 83 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +16.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:16: Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +19.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:20: Jabari Laws pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) — ARMY win probability +23.9 pts (now 33%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WAKE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:53ARMY 4th & 12 at ARMY 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:30WAKE 4th & 1 at ARMY 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    57.3%−1.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:35ARMY 4th & 1 at WAKE 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.5%−1.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q3 6:04ARMY 4th & 5 at WAKE 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    34.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−9.6
    average punt
  5. Q4 14:53ARMY 4th & 9 at WAKE 21, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q4 4:15ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WAKE made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:56WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:02ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:43WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:55ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:48WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:17ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:35WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:38ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:32WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:04WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 5:30ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 5:16WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 14:53ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 11:43WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 8:20ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
  16. Q4 6:57WAKE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.9
    45% to convert
  17. Q4 1:48WAKE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  18. Q4 0:39ARMY Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 2:4459% → 59%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
41.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+17
41.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 17 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+27
41.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 12 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, Roughing Passer (Kwabena Bonsu) to the Army 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
41.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 5 yds to the Army 9Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+2
41.5%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+4
41.6%
ARMY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Andre Carter II) to the Army 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
41.6%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the Army 3Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
41.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q1 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.7%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+15
40.7%
ARMY Penalty, Personal Foul (Malkelm Morrison) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3141% → 44%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
41.0%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Brandon Walters for 39 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Ja'Sir Taylor) to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
41.6%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the WFrst 19Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+3
41.6%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+8
41.5%
Brandon Walters run for 8 yds to the WFrst 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
41.8%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the WFrst 6Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
41.8%
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 6Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
44.0%
Brandon Walters run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
6 plays · 97 yds · 1:0257% → 60%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
43.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+50
43.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 50 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
42.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
42.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+41
39.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 41 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1741% → 40%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.5%
Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the Army 25Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
40.4%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 21Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+2
39.9%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 2 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
39.7%
Zach Harding punt for 31 yds, downed at the WFrst 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0061% → 61%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
39.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for no gain to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
39.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+12
39.8%
Sam Hartman run for 12 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
39.4%
Sam Hartman run for no gain to the Army 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
12 plays · 55 yds · 6:1541% → 49%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
41.1%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
40.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
41.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
41.2%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 6 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
41.3%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
41.2%
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 14:35
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
40.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
41.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 7 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+14
41.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 14 yds to the WFrst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
41.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the WFrst 9Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+6
42.0%
Tyson Riley run for 6 yds to the WFrst 3Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
48.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 0:5555% → 63%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
45.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+14
45.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 14 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
44.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 3 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+54
37.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 54 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:2638% → 53%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.2%
Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Tyrell RobinsonSimilar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
38.0%
Reikan Donaldson run for 9 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
38.3%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
38.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
39.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
38.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
39.1%
A.J. Howard run for 5 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
38.9%
Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
39.1%
A.J. Howard run for 1 yd to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+1
38.9%
Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+6
38.3%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 6 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+6
37.5%
Tyler, Tyhier rush for loss of 3 yards to the WAKEFOREST35, PENALTY WAKEFOREST 12 men on the field 6 yards to the WAKEFOREST26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY.Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
40.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+24
52.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 24 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 2:2554% → 71%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
45.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
45.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
45.8%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+15
45.9%
Hartman, Sam pass incomplete to Chapman, Brandon, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Smith, Arik) 15 yards to the WAKEFOREST45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WAKEFOREST.Similar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
43.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+18
43.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 18 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
41.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Justice Ellison for 3 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
40.4%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+9
41.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 9 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
40.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 15 yds to the Army 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
40.4%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Michael Jurgens) to the Army 13Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
29.0%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
33.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5235% → 56%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
35.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 22 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+23
37.8%
Brandon Walters run for 23 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
39.8%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+19
39.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 19 yds to the WFrst 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
39.4%
Tyrell Robinson run for 8 yds to the WFrst 1Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 0:4352% → 67%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
47.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
48.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 5 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+75
32.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13INT TD
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:5634% → 20%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 25Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
33.7%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+29
32.6%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 29 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
37.8%
Jabari Laws pass incomplete to Braheam MurphySimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
37.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 10 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
39.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-2
39.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 31 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, recovered by Army Mason KolinchakSimilar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+3
37.1%
Brandon Walters run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 5
OPP 28
-83
20.3%
Cade Ballard pass intercepted for a TD Traveon Redd return for 83 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2218% → 34%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+71
33.7%
Anthony Adkins run for 71 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
15.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0717% → 31%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
17.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
17.8%
Tyrell Robinson run for 13 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
18.8%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (Connor Finucane) to the Army 42Similar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+8
17.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 7
50
0
18.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 7
50
+18
17.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Personal Foul (Ryan Smenda Jr.) to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
18.3%
Robinson, Tyrell pass pass intercepted by Andersen, Nick at the WAKEFOREST5, Andersen, Nick return 0 yards to the WAKEFOREST5, PENALTY WAKEFOREST holding (Taylor, Ja'Sir) 10 yards to the WAKEFOREST22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY.Similar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
18.3%
Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the WFrst 21Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-4
18.0%
Jabari Laws sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+4
16.3%
Braheam Murphy run for 4 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+21
30.5%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 21 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4775% → 92%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
24.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 17 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
22.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 9 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
21.1%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the Army 49Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+18
21.4%
Christian Turner run for 18 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
20.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 8 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
20.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+21
20.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 21 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1713% → 33%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.0%
Tyrell Robinson run for no gain to the Army 25 ARMY Penalty, Illegal Shift (Brandon Walters) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
12.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
50
+5
14.5%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
12.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+6
10.3%
Jabari Laws run for 6 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
9.3%
A.J. Howard run for 13 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
33.2%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:1883% → 95%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
17.0%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 7 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+14
16.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 14 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+18
15.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 18 yds to the Army 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
5.3%
Sam Hartman run for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20FUMBLE
12 plays · 37 yds · 3:276% → 4%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
6.1%
Jabari Laws run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
6.1%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 6 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
6.4%
Cade Barnard run for 6 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
6.4%
Jabari Laws run for 6 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
6.5%
Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the Army 47Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
5.9%
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+4
4.4%
Cade Barnard run for 4 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
4.6%
Cade Barnard run for 5 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+6
4.9%
Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
4.3%
Jabari Laws run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 39 Jabari Laws fumbled, recovered by Army Jabari Laws Jabari Laws run for no gain to the WFrst 39 Jabari Laws fumbled, recovered by Army Jabari LawsSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+1
4.1%
Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the WFrst 38 Cade Barnard fumbled, forced by Chase Jones, recovered by WFrst Chase JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:0597% → 100%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
3.2%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
2.8%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+11
2.7%
Justice Ellison run for 11 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
0.5%
Justice Ellison run for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 22TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 0:441% → 2%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.7%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 6 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+15
0.7%
Laws, Jabari pass incomplete to Alston, Isaiah, PENALTY WAKEFOREST pass interference (Taylor, Ja'Sir) 15 yards to the WAKEFOREST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARMY.Similar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
0.7%
A.J. Howard run for 5 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+39
2.8%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 39 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-5
2.4%
Talley, Cole kickoff 10 yards to the ARMY45, on-side kick, recovered by ARMY on ARMY45, PENALTY ARMY offside 5 yards to the ARMY30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
2.0%
TEAM run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:20
Jabari Laws pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)
+23.9
TD · Q3 5:16
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 75 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
-19.2
TD · Q3 6:04
Cade Ballard pass intercepted for a TD Traveon Redd return for 83 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
-16.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com