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WAKE

Wake Forest 40 at Syracuse 37

SYR
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:02 · James Williams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 91Pregame prior−7.6Home team on offense+4.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score differential+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:32: Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 69 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WAKE win probability +21.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:23: Sean Tucker run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SYR win probability +22.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 3:28: Christian Beal-Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to Jaquarii Roberson for Two-Point Conversion) — WAKE win probability +39.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:21: Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 28 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +49.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 22 yds for a TD — WAKE win probability +59.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 6WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:06WAKE 4th & 3 at SYR 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:52SYR 4th & 10 at WAKE 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    40.1%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:48WAKE 4th & 17 at WAKE 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:02SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 45, up 4
    Close callPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:53SYR 4th & 18 at SYR 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−3.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:23WAKE 4th & 1 at SYR 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−3.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:57WAKE 4th & 20 at SYR 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−3.3
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−7.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:44SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:17WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 42, down 1
    Close callPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:39SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 38, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:49WAKE 4th & 22 at WAKE 28, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−7.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:13SYR 4th & 2 at WAKE 27, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%−3.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−18.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:21WAKE 4th & 8 at SYR 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:28SYR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:21SYR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:53WAKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:49SYR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:48WAKE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:32WAKE Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    67.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:23SYR Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    58.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:28WAKE Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    75.0%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    76.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:21SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−7.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1FG
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4465% → 64%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
35.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 11 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
35.4%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the WFrst 32Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+4
35.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+11
35.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 11 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+42
35.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 42 yds to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
35.8%
Sam Hartman run for 6 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
35.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
36.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Brandon ChapmanSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
36.0%
Nick Sciba 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:2636% → 39%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+21
36.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 21 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
36.6%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+9
36.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
37.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
37.5%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+15
37.7%
Sean Tucker run for 15 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
37.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the WFrst 6Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
39.2%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0261% → 60%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
38.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
39.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jahmal BanksSimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+7
39.8%
Ivan Mora punt for 44 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:1739% → 40%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+24
39.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 24 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
40.5%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the WFrst 44Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
40.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
40.3%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
39.8%
James Williams punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5860% → 58%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
40.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
40.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-7
40.7%
Sam Hartman sacked by Cody Roscoe and Caleb Okechukwu for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 27Similar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+8
41.6%
Ivan Mora punt for 58 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 5:2041% → 51%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
40.7%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+10
40.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sharod Johnson for 10 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
41.4%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+10
41.5%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
42.3%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
42.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
43.2%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 0:29
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+13
43.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 13 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
44.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 6 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+8
44.8%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
50.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 24 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:1451% → 55%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
49.2%
Sam Hartman run for 11 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
49.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
49.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 6 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+15
49.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 15 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
49.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 46Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+46
43.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 46 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+15
44.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (Marlowe Wax) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:4945% → 59%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
44.8%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
45.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 8 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+7
45.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
46.7%
Courtney Jackson run for 7 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+4
47.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
48.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 15 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
48.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 15 yds to the WFrst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
49.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Trebor Pena for 7 yds to the WFrst 7Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
50.5%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
58.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:1043% → 44%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
56.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Darian Chestnut) to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
56.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 5 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
55.4%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
56.1%
Sam Hartman pass intercepted Jason Simmons return for 4 yds to the Syrac 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5558% → 57%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 0
OWN 6
0
57.7%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 6Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 0
OWN 6
0
58.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 0
OWN 6
0
57.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sharod JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 0
OWN 6
+8
56.6%
James Williams punt for 33 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11TD
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:3243% → 54%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
56.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
56.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 8
OPP 29
-5
58.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, False Start (Taylor Morin) to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 13
OPP 34
-10
59.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive Holding (DeVonte Gordon) to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 23
OPP 44
+25
61.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 25 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
57.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+11
58.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 11 yds to the Syrac 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
58.2%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Syrac 1Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.0%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the Syrac 1Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.1%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:3652% → 53%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
51.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 14 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
53.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 6 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
55.4%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
54.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
52.9%
James Williams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
51.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:5553% → 51%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
52.5%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-7
52.7%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Christian Masterson and Dion Bergan Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 16Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 15
OWN 16
-3
51.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 18
OWN 13
+7
50.9%
James Williams punt for 36 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 7 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15FG
10 plays · 20 yds · 4:4651% → 46%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
49.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+3
49.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
50.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 4 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+10
51.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 10 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
49.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the Syrac 22Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+10
50.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 10 yds to the Syrac 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
50.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-1
51.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 10Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-12
52.9%
Sam Hartman sacked by Cody Roscoe and Geoff Cantin-Arku for a loss of 12 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 20
OPP 22
+40
54.3%
Nick Sciba 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:0154% → 53%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
53.6%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Luke Benson for no gain to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-1
53.7%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 13Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+12
52.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 12 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.4%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
54.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
53.3%
James Williams punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
1 play · 69 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
32.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 69 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0235% → 62%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+18
35.3%
Sean Tucker run for 18 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
38.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+29
39.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 29 yds to the WFrst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
61.9%
Sean Tucker run for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5145% → 44%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
55.4%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
54.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 7 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
54.8%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
52.2%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
52.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
55.8%
Ivan Mora punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:3157% → 58%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
57.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
57.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+3
56.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 3 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
58.2%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+1
57.9%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+8
56.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
57.9%
James Williams punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:4444% → 39%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
56.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 9 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 11:16
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
53.1%
Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
54.0%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Taylor Morin) to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 25
OWN 25
+3
57.6%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 22
OWN 28
0
58.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 22
OWN 28
0
60.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake WhiteheartSimilar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 22
OWN 28
+16
61.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 52 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 16 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22MISSED FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:3062% → 64%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
61.7%
Sean Tucker run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
50
+15
65.2%
Sean Tucker run for 15 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
67.2%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 12
OPP 37
0
66.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+10
63.4%
Cooper Lutz run for 10 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q4 7:13
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+45
63.7%
Andre Szmyt 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:4043% → 90%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
56.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+19
56.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 19 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
51.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 11 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
52.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
52.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 5 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+7
53.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 7 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
50.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+8
50.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 8 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
50.2%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
50.4%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
10.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to Jaquarii Roberson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:3421% → 22%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
21.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+13
20.6%
Sean Tucker run for 13 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
22.3%
Cooper Lutz run for 6 yds to the Syrac 43 Cooper Lutz fumbled, forced by Traveon Redd, recovered by WFrst Ja'Sir TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:1691% → 90%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
9.0%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
8.3%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
8.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
10.2%
Ivan Mora punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26TD
13 plays · 94 yds · 1:5618% → 68%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
18.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sharod JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+13
15.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 13 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
15.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
14.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+4
15.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 4 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
14.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sharod JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+25
13.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Luiji Vilain) to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
16.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 9 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+2
18.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 2 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
18.9%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+28
65.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 28 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
68.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
46.5%
Sam Hartman run for no gain to the WFrst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 28FG
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0066% → 70%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
65.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+8
65.6%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
65.6%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 15Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+4
65.4%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the WFrst 11Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-9
63.3%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Chelen Garnes for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 20Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+38
70.4%
Andre Szmyt 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 29TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
71.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
12.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 22 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 22 yds for a TD
-59.2
TD · Q4 0:21
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 28 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
+49.4
TD · Q4 3:28
Christian Beal-Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Sam Hartman pass to Jaquarii Roberson for Two-Point Conversion)
-39.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com