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LOU

Louisville 34 at Wake Forest 37

WAKE
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:38 · Mark Vassett punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+10.7Home team on offense−6.4Garbage-time factor−1.7Score differential−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:52: Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +10.1 pts (now 48%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:51: Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 42 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +12.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:25: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 10 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +5.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:52: Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — LOU win probability +7.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 3:01: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 75 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +3.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 9LOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:05WAKE 4th & 4 at LOU 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.1%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:12LOU 4th & 8 at WAKE 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−2.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:26WAKE 4th & 4 at LOU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:51WAKE 4th & 11 at WAKE 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:38LOU 4th & 3 at WAKE 46, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−2.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:38WAKE 4th & 2 at LOU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.5%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:35LOU 4th & 8 at WAKE 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:30WAKE 4th & 10 at LOU 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00WAKE 4th & 1 at LOU 1, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%−4.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    50.2%−12.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:31LOU 4th & 3 at LOU 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:25WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:37LOU 4th & 25 at LOU 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−5.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:07LOU 4th & 3 at LOU 43, up 3
    Close callPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:45WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−1.0
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:48LOU 4th & 8 at WAKE 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−14.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:22WAKE 4th & 1 at LOU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−13.4
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−34.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:45LOU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:53WAKE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:52LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:51WAKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 2:5568% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
67.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
67.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+42
67.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 42 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
67.6%
Jaquarii Roberson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 18Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-6
67.6%
Sam Hartman sacked by Jack Fagot for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 24Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+10
67.5%
Sam Hartman run for 10 yds to the Lvile 14Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+33
67.6%
Nick Sciba 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:2033% → 36%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 9 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
67.4%
Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
67.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
67.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
67.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 6 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
67.3%
Jalen Mitchell run for 9 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
67.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tyler HarrellSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
67.2%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
67.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+3
67.2%
Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the WFrst 34Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+7
67.2%
Trevion Cooley run for 7 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
67.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Trevion Cooley for 20 yds to the WFrst 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
64.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:5265% → 68%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
65.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 12 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
65.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
65.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+9
65.5%
Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
66.0%
Jaquarii Roberson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+28
66.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 28 yds to the Lvile 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
66.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 11 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
66.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Sam Hartman for 3 yds to the Lvile 1Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.4%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:3633% → 36%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
67.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+1
67.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 1 yd to the Lvile 20Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+17
67.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 17 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+36
66.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Melton for 36 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
65.6%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
65.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon FordSimilar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+5
66.3%
PENALTY WFU Offside (Bothroyd,Rondell) 5 yards from WFU25 to WFU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 3
OPP 20
-5
66.1%
Malik Cunningham sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 0:12
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
64.1%
James Turner 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:4066% → 66%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
65.7%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Kenderick Duncan) to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
66.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
66.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Justice Ellison for 6 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
66.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q2 14:26
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
65.8%
Ivan Mora punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Josh Johnson at the Lvile 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:3435% → 48%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
64.6%
Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the Lvile 10Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+11
64.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 11 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
64.5%
Trevion Cooley run for 18 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
63.5%
Trevion Cooley run for 9 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
62.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
62.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 2 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+4
62.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
63.1%
PENALTY WFU Offside (Johns,JaCorey) 5 yards from WFU41 to WFU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
62.8%
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce run for 12 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
62.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
62.1%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the WFrst 10Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
62.1%
Cunningham,Malik pass incomplete to Johnson,Josh PENALTY WFU Roughing The Passer (Williams,Tyler) 5 yards from WFU10 to WFU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5755% → 52%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
54.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-1
53.8%
Sam Hartman sacked by Derek Dorsey for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 19Similar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
51.8%
Ivan Mora punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1349% → 48%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
50.7%
Trevion Cooley run for 4 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
50.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
51.0%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
51.9%
Mark Vassett punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 2:4752% → 67%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
52.4%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+7
52.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 7 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
52.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 11 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
53.1%
Christian Turner run for 9 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
55.0%
Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
54.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
53.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Brandon Chapman for 7 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+1
55.3%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the Lvile 47Similar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+5
54.1%
Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
66.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 42 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:1639% → 44%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
61.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 8 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
59.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
59.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 12 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
58.2%
Jalen Mitchell run for 16 yds to the WFrst 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
57.3%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
57.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Jordan WatkinsSimilar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
58.6%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Watkins) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+50
55.6%
James Turner 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:0557% → 56%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
57.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
57.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+26
55.9%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 26 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
60.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
60.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
59.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
56.1%
Ivan Mora punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:3061% → 56%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
61.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 12 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
61.4%
Hartman,Sam pass incomplete to Beal-Smith,Christian PENALTY LOU Holding (Clark,Kei'Trel) 4 yards from LOU08 to LOU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
61.4%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
61.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the Lvile 1Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the Lvile 1Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+20
56.1%
Nick Sciba 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:2945% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
55.4%
Cunningham,Malik pass complete to Ford,Marshon for 10 yards to the LOU35 (Redd,Traveon; Masterson,Luke) PENALTY LOU Holding (Reid,Trevor) 10 yards from LOU25 to LOU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
55.7%
Jalen Mitchell run for no gain to the Lvile 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
55.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+12
57.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 12 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+15
56.1%
Mark Vassett punt for 50 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 15 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0656% → 54%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
56.0%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
56.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
54.8%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
53.5%
Ivan Mora punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Josh Johnson at the Lvile 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 3:4846% → 46%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
54.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+9
53.1%
Trevion Cooley run for 9 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
52.7%
Trevion Cooley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+10
52.3%
Cunningham,Malik pass incomplete to Cooley,Trevion QB hurried by Williams,Tyler PENALTY WFU Holding (Taylor,Ja'Sir) 10 yards from LOU40 to LOU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
50
+6
51.6%
Jalen Mitchell run for 6 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-10
51.2%
Cunningham,Malik pass complete to Marshall,Justin for 24 yards to the WFU20 (Roberts,J.J.) PENALTY LOU Illegal Block in Back (Martin,Isaac) 10 yards from WFU44 to LOU46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 14
OWN 46
-6
53.8%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Luiji Vilain for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 40Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 20
OWN 40
0
54.8%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Justin MarshallSimilar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 20
OWN 40
-5
56.5%
PENALTY LOU Delay Of Game 5 yards from LOU40 to LOU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 25
OWN 35
0
54.1%
Mark Vassett punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:3854% → 59%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
54.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
54.0%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 39
-5
55.7%
PENALTY WFU False Start (Maginn,Sean) 5 yards from WFU39 to WFU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
52.2%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete, broken up by Qwynnterrio Cole for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
58.3%
Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the Lvile 45Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+8
58.1%
Sam Hartman run for 8 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+1
57.7%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
58.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 17 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
59.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds to the Lvile 15Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
59.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+8
57.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Justice Ellison for 8 yds to the Lvile 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
58.8%
Justice Ellison run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:5251% → 53%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
48.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 9 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
47.5%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
46.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
46.5%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 43Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
47.3%
Mark Vassett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2250% → 47%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
50.3%
Christian Turner run for 8 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+1
50.8%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the WFrst 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
48.4%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
46.9%
Ivan Mora punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 3:2054% → 64%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+24
46.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 24 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
42.9%
Trevion Cooley run for 5 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+18
42.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 18 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
41.0%
Cunningham,Malik pass complete to Cooley,Trevion for 6 yards to the WFU19 (Jones,Chase) PENALTY LOU Holding (Gonzalez,Michael) 10 yards from WFU25 to WFU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+9
42.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 9 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+16
41.6%
Jalen Mitchell run for 16 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
36.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 10 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4147% → 42%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
47.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. PerrySimilar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
46.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
44.8%
Sam Hartman pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+15
42.0%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WFrst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21FG
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:5064% → 64%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
35.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
34.1%
Trevion Cooley run for 4 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
33.7%
Trevion Cooley run for no gain to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+2
35.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
35.7%
James Turner 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5643% → 45%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
43.4%
PENALTY WFU Illegal Snap (Jurgens,Michael) 5 yards from WFU25 to WFU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
42.9%
Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
43.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+31
42.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 31 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
49.3%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Lvile 38Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
49.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 11 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
51.6%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+4
51.6%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+7
48.7%
Sam Hartman run for 7 yds to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
51.6%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the Lvile 10Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+3
51.6%
Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the Lvile 7Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
44.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 0:4673% → 76%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
27.2%
Jalen Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Lvile 25 Jalen Mitchell fumbled, forced by Traveon Redd, recovered by Lvile Caleb ChandlerSimilar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+75
23.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 75 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 2:3238% → 31%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
38.2%
Justice Ellison run for no gain to the WFrst 29Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
37.1%
Justice Ellison run for 6 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+12
37.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 12 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
43.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake WhiteheartSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
42.4%
Justice Ellison run for 15 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
44.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 7 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+11
47.1%
Justice Ellison run for 11 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
44.1%
Justice Ellison run for 8 yds to the Lvile 12Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+1
43.5%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Lvile 13Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+2
38.1%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the Lvile 11Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+29
30.9%
Nick Sciba 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25Uncategorized
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2293% → 92%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
7.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 7 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
6.8%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+23
7.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Bryan Hudson for 23 yds Bryan Hudson fumbled, forced by Luke Masterson, recovered by WFrst Rondell BothroydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+92.4
TD · Q2 3:51
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 42 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
+12.8
TD · Q2 8:52
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com