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SYR

Syracuse 30 at Florida State 33

FSU
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Ryan Fitzgerald 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 0:09: Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +20.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 13:24: Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK) — FSU win probability +15.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:35: Garrett Shrader pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 26 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +19.2 pts (now 35%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 5:17: Andre Szmyt 24 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +13.6 pts (now 50%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Ryan Fitzgerald 34 yd FG GOOD — FSU win probability +29.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:22SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:35FSU 4th & 2 at SYR 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.4%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    65.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:17FSU 4th & 1 at SYR 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:12FSU 4th & 8 at SYR 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:46SYR 4th & 2 at FSU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    34.6%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:16FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:05SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:34FSU 4th & 19 at FSU 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−1.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:33SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:11FSU 4th & 14 at FSU 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−2.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00SYR 4th & 10 at FSU 40, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    33.6%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    34.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:40FSU 4th & 3 at FSU 30, up 3
    Close callPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:43SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:29SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−2.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:34SYR 4th & 1 at FSU 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    15.1%−3.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−13.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:39FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 10, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−2.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:17SYR 4th & 6 at FSU 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−17.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:17FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 24, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−1.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:03SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−2.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 7:40FSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:21SYR Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:33SYR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:36FSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:48FSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:09SYR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:24FSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:35SYR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2436% → 36%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.5%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
64.5%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
64.4%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
64.5%
Ian Hawkins punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 35 , Ontaria Wilson returns for 1 yd to the FlaSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2FG
17 plays · 48 yds · 6:4764% → 65%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
64.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
64.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
64.5%
Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
64.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 4 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
64.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 4 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
64.7%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClainSimilar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+4
64.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 4 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
64.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 1 yd to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+10
64.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 10 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
65.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Darion Williamson for 5 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
64.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Treshaun WardSimilar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
64.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 4 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
64.3%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
64.9%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 2 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
64.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+3
64.5%
Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
65.0%
Ryan Fitzgerald 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:0835% → 36%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
64.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jammie Robinson) to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
64.2%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
64.1%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+14
64.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 14 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
63.5%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 32Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
63.5%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+3
63.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Devaughn Cooper for 3 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+2
64.4%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1465% → 65%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
65.1%
Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 29Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
65.1%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Fernando PadronSimilar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+8
64.4%
Jordan Travis run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q1 0:16
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+8
64.7%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5535% → 34%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
65.2%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
65.3%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
65.6%
(14:24) Shrader,Garrett pass incomplete to Gadsden II,Oronde PENALTY SYR Pass Interference offsetting FSU Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Courtney JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+12
66.2%
Ian Hawkins punt for 44 yds , Ontaria Wilson returns for 12 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 2:1866% → 64%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
66.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 14
OWN 39
+5
65.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 5 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-10
66.1%
Jordan Travis sacked by Kingsley Jonathan for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 19
OWN 34
0
64.3%
Jordan Travis run for no gain to the FlaSt 34Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 19
OWN 34
+7
64.0%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds , Trebor Pena returns for 7 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4435% → 34%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
65.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 1 yd to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
65.5%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
65.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete pass incomplete fumbled, recovered by Syrac , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+3
66.5%
Ian Hawkins punt for 30 yds , Ontaria Wilson returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:4067% → 75%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
50
+12
67.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 12 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
67.3%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+20
67.2%
Jordan Travis run for 20 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
68.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
74.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 0:4628% → 36%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
72.3%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+11
72.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sharod Johnson for 11 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
63.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 55 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5666% → 64%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.2%
Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
66.0%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-1
65.0%
Jordan Travis sacked by Terry Lockett for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
64.4%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:3836% → 49%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
64.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 12 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
63.1%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
63.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 17 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
61.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 16 yds to the FlaSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
51.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:4256% → 69%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
56.0%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 8 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
56.4%
(01:49) Travis,Jordan pass intercepted by Simmons Jr.,Jason at SYR31 Simmons Jr.,Jason return 31 yards to the FSU38, out of bounds PENALTY SYR Holding (Chestnut,Darian) 10 yards from FSU38 to FSU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
58.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 10 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
57.9%
(01:15) Travis,Jordan pass incomplete to Wilson,Ontaria QB hurried by Wax,Marlowe PENALTY SYR Roughing The Passer (Wax,Marlowe) 15 yards from SYR42 to SYR27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
59.6%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 8 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+5
59.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 5 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
68.7%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:2136% → 33%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+26
64.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 26 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sean TuckerSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
63.5%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
64.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Sean TuckerSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
66.8%
Garrett Shrader pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5767% → 65%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
66.5%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Treshaun Ward for no gain to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
66.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 30Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
65.8%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn HeltonSimilar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
65.0%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3535% → 34%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
65.0%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
64.6%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+1
65.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 33Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
66.4%
Ian Hawkins punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:3969% → 81%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
69.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 17 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
70.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for 11 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
70.1%
Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the Syrac 15Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
70.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Darion WilliamsonSimilar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+12
69.4%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Keyshawn Helton for 12 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
70.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the Syrac 3Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
70.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Preston DanielSimilar
Q3 8:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.6%
Andrew Parchment 3 Yd Run (Ryan Fitzgerald Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0221% → 18%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
79.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Abdul Adams for no gain to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-6
80.5%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Fabien Lovett for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
82.0%
Ian Hawkins punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:3623% → 18%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
76.7%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+17
76.5%
Sean Tucker run for 17 yds to the FlaSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
77.1%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the FlaSt 8Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
77.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Maximilian MangSimilar
Q3 4:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
81.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 7 yds to the FlaSt 1Similar
Q3 3:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.2%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the FlaSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1684% → 83%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
83.5%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 3Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+3
83.5%
Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+4
82.8%
Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 10Similar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
83.2%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the FlaSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:1618% → 38%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
82.3%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+32
82.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 32 yds to the FlaSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
82.7%
run for 13 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:3668% → 89%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.2%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClainSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
67.9%
PENALTY FSU False Start (Smith,Maurice) 5 yards from FSU20 to FSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+11
67.7%
Jordan Travis run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
71.3%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 4 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+68
72.6%
Treshaun Ward run for 65 yds to the FLORIDAST 5 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Aman Greenwood) to the Syrac 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.5%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:2215% → 35%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+24
85.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 24 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
84.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 9 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+2
83.5%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
83.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Devaughn CooperSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
84.4%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+26
65.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 26 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:5175% → 77%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
74.8%
Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 36Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
75.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
75.7%
Jordan Travis run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
77.4%
Jordan Travis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24FG
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:5936% → 50%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
64.2%
Garrett Shrader run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
62.3%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+8
61.2%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
61.7%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 8Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
62.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 6Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
64.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q4 5:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
50.5%
Andre Szmyt 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4160% → 56%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
59.9%
Jordan Travis run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 23Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+1
60.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
58.7%
Jordan Travis run for no gain to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
55.5%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5648% → 48%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
51.6%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+11
51.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
47.4%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 2 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+1
46.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
47.7%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
52.3%
Ian Hawkins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Keyshawn Helton at the FlaSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 27FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 0:4759% → 96%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
59.2%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 5 yds to the FlaSt 26Similar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+33
60.1%
Jordan Travis run for 33 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.9%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
63.8%
Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 3 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+25
63.1%
Jordan Travis run for 25 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
66.5%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 16Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+34
96.3%
Ryan Fitzgerald 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Ryan Fitzgerald 34 yd FG GOOD
+29
TD · Q3 0:09
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-20.8
TD · Q4 10:35
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 26 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
-19.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com