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BC

Boston College 13 at Clemson 19

CLEM
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:05 · Will Spiers punt for 55 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 6 yds to the BC 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+25.1Home team on offense+1.0Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score differential+0.0Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:02: Kobe Pace run for 59 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 10:10: B.T. Potter 18 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +2.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:05: Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK) — BC win probability +11.7 pts (now 37%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:10: B.T. Potter 35 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +3.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:51: B.T. Potter 42 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +9.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 11BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:00CLEM 4th & 1 at BC 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    82.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:44BC 4th & 4 at CLEM 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:59BC 4th & 5 at CLEM 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:05CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:17BC 4th & 21 at BC 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:10CLEM 4th & 2 at BC 2, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:07CLEM 4th & 7 at BC 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:19BC 4th & 15 at CLEM 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:13CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:32BC 4th & 10 at BC 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:21CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:18BC 4th & 12 at CLEM 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    32.8%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:00CLEM 4th & 11 at BC 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:10CLEM 4th & 8 at BC 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−1.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−10.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:49BC 4th & 15 at BC 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−3.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:51CLEM 4th & 4 at BC 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−4.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:12BC 4th & 19 at BC 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−4.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:51CLEM 4th & 7 at BC 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−15.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:14BC 4th & 9 at CLEM 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%−2.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−5.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:48CLEM 4th & 12 at CLEM 21, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−2.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:02CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:05BC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:3081% → 80%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
80.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Justyn Ross for 15 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
80.9%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+7
80.8%
Kobe Pace run for 7 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
80.7%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
80.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to E.J. Williams for 2 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
80.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Taylor for 1 yd to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-4
80.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Clem 44Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+11
80.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to E.J. Williams for 11 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
80.1%
Kobe Pace run for no gain to the BC 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1120% → 21%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
79.7%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
79.6%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BC 40Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+11
79.6%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 11 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
79.3%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
79.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 35 yds, downed at the Clem 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 1:3580% → 81%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
79.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to E.J. Williams for 17 yds to the Clem 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
79.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+8
79.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 8 yds to the Clem 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
79.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+59
81.1%
Kobe Pace run for 59 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4FG
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:4419% → 22%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.8%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 6 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
80.6%
Pat Garwo III run for 7 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
80.5%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 38Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
80.5%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 6 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+19
80.2%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 19 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+27
80.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 27 yds to the Clem 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
79.5%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the Clem 7Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
79.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Clem 5Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
79.7%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
78.4%
Connor Lytton 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3479% → 78%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
78.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
78.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+6
77.9%
Will Spiers punt for 55 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 6 yds to the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 1:4822% → 21%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
78.4%
CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
78.1%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 39 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BC 29Similar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 16
OWN 29
-5
78.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 24Similar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 21
OWN 24
0
78.3%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 21
OWN 24
0
78.4%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Pat Garwo IIISimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 21
OWN 24
-5
78.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BC 19Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 26
OWN 19
+5
78.7%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 5 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 21
OWN 24
0
78.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 72 yds, downed at the Clem 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7FG
10 plays · 94 yds · 4:5078% → 80%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
77.8%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the Clem 8Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+8
77.6%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Sage Ennis for 8 yds to the Clem 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
77.7%
Phil Mafah run for 10 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
77.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 14 yds to the Clem 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
78.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 25 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+28
78.8%
Phil Mafah run for 28 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
78.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 4 yds to the BC 3Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
78.7%
Phil Mafah run for no gain to the BC 3Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
78.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the BC 2Similar
Q2 10:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+18
80.3%
B.T. Potter 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0120% → 20%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 25Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-2
80.4%
Dennis Grosel pass intercepted Nolan Turner return for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:2881% → 81%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
50
+12
81.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 12 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
81.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
81.9%
Phil Mafah run for 12 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
82.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
82.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
81.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
80.7%
B.T. Potter 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10FG
21 plays · 58 yds · 6:3819% → 18%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.3%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
80.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, Roughing Passer (14 Yards) to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
80.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+4
79.8%
Dennis Grosel run for 4 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
79.7%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 49Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+11
80.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 11 yds to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
79.7%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
79.9%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-5
80.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 16
OPP 42
+19
81.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 19 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
78.8%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-1
78.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 20Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+8
79.2%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 8 yds to the Clem 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
78.6%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Clem 11Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-6
79.5%
Dennis Grosel sacked by Myles Murphy for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 17Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
82.9%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
81.6%
Connor Lytton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
80.5%
Kobe Pace run for 6 yds to the Clem 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:4520% → 37%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.9%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+33
80.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 33 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+39
77.7%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 39 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
62.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2971% → 68%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
70.6%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the Clem 25Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
70.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
69.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Beaux CollinsSimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
68.2%
Will Spiers punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2435% → 32%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
64.8%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the BC 40Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
65.4%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Trae BarrySimilar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
66.3%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Jaden WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
68.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jackson Crosby at the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:4769% → 68%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+20
69.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 20 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
69.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 9 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+3
71.6%
Phil Mafah run for 3 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
71.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Phil Mafah for 1 yd to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+1
70.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
69.1%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+9
67.8%
Will Spiers punt blocked by Neto Okpala blocked by Neto Okpala Neto Okpala return for 9 yds to the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0340% → 35%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
60.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 40Similar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+3
62.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 12
OPP 37
0
62.0%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 12
OPP 37
0
63.2%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
65.4%
Grant Carlson punt for 35 yds, downed at the Clem 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:5167% → 65%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
66.8%
Kobe Pace run for 4 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+5
66.4%
Kobe Pace run for 5 yds to the Clem 11Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+11
65.1%
Kobe Pace run for 11 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
66.9%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+33
66.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 33 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
70.5%
Phil Mafah run for 4 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
70.2%
Phil Mafah run for 1 yd to the BC 38Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
69.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 5
OPP 38
-6
67.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, Delay of Game (-6 Yards) to the BC 44Similar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
64.9%
Will Spiers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18INT
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:2038% → 37%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
62.3%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 7Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 13
OWN 7
0
63.1%
Dennis Grosel pass intercepted R.J. Mickens return for no gain to the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19FG
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:5071% → 72%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
70.8%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
70.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+10
69.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-15
70.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the BC 35Similar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 25
OPP 35
-5
69.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 40Similar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 30
OPP 40
+15
68.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 15 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+7
68.6%
Kobe Pace run for 7 yds to the BC 18Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
68.8%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
72.2%
B.T. Potter 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1129% → 26%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
69.8%
Pat Garwo III run for 4 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-13
69.8%
Dennis Grosel sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 13 yards to the BC 20Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+15
73.8%
Grant Carlson punt for 47 yds , Will Brown returns for 15 yds to the Clem 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2977% → 75%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
77.3%
Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 8
50
+7
77.3%
Kobe Pace run for 7 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-3
77.1%
Kobe Pace run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 46Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 4
OPP 46
-2
74.7%
Will Spiers punt for 38 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 6 Jaelen Gill fumbled, recovered by BCSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 5:0628% → 29%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
72.3%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the BC 6Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 6
-1
72.7%
Dennis Grosel sacked by Myles Murphy for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 5Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 11
OWN 5
+12
73.8%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 12 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
71.0%
Travis Levy run for 8 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+4
68.8%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
69.2%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 28Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+25
70.5%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 25 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
64.0%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
63.9%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-13
64.4%
Dennis Grosel sacked by Baylon Spector and Tre Williams for a loss of 13 yards to the BC 44Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 19
OWN 44
0
70.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:1574% → 89%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.0%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
73.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+54
72.7%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Joseph Ngata for 54 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
80.2%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
80.0%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
79.4%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
88.7%
B.T. Potter 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 2:1620% → 22%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
80.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 14 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
76.6%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 8 yds to the BC 47Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
73.2%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 48Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
75.3%
Dennis Grosel run for 3 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
74.5%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 17 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
71.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Clem 37Similar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 15
OPP 37
-5
76.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 20
OPP 42
-5
76.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 47Similar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 25
OPP 47
+16
77.1%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 16 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
72.9%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
75.8%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q4 2:14
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+8
78.2%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 8 yds to the Clem 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:2293% → 94%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
92.6%
Kobe Pace run for 1 yd to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+6
92.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 3
OWN 30
-9
94.5%
D.J. Uiagalelei sacked by Jason Maitre for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+3
93.8%
Will Spiers punt for 46 yds , Jaelen Gill returns for 3 yds to the BC 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 26FUMBLE
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:5211% → 20%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
89.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 15 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
87.2%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 7 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+14
85.6%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 14 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
80.2%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 4 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+13
80.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 13 yds to the Clem 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
80.3%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-11
80.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Clem 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ClemSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:1596% → 96%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-1
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:05
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Lytton KICK)
-11.7
FG · Q4 4:51
B.T. Potter 42 yd FG GOOD
+9.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com