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RICH

Richmond 10 at Virginia Tech 21

VT
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadRICH aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreRICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:38 · Peter Moore punt for 50 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Pregame prior+6.8Home team on offense+22.8Garbage-time factor+14.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.3Score differential+5.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:22: Savon Smith run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jake Larson KICK) — RICH win probability +4.2 pts (now 12%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  2. PUNT · Q2 4:23: Aaron Trusler punt for 42 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 60 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — VT win probability +4.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:07: Timeout RICHMOND, clock 10:07 — VT win probability +1.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:02: Jake Larson 38 yd FG GOOD — RICH win probability +2.1 pts (now 12%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:08: Connor Blumrick run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — VT win probability +6.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7RICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 9:00RICH 4th & 20 at VT 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:58VT 4th & 9 at RICH 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:38RICH 4th & 2 at RICH 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:18VT 4th & 11 at VT 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:07RICH 4th & 8 at RICH 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:44VT 4th & 14 at RICH 41, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    93.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:05RICH 4th & 10 at VT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:30VT 4th & 3 at VT 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:23RICH 4th & 12 at RICH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:53RICH 4th & 7 at RICH 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:40VT 4th & 14 at VT 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:02RICH 4th & 12 at VT 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:39RICH 4th & 10 at VT 34, down 11
    Close callPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    8.0%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:08VT 4th & 3 at VT 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:18RICH 4th & 16 at RICH 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:38VT 4th & 19 at VT 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:34RICH 4th & 7 at RICH 32, down 11
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2RICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:10VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:22RICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:08VT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:2896% → 96%
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
95.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 27 yds to the Richm 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
95.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 12 yds to the Richm 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
95.6%
Jalen Holston run for 16 yds to the Richm 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 10 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:574% → 5%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Aaron Dykes run for no gain to the Richm 25Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
95.5%
Joe Mancuso run for 29 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
95.4%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Jonathan Johnson for 12 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
95.3%
Savon Smith run for no gain to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
95.2%
Beau English Iii sacked by Dax Hollifield for 0 yards to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 17
OPP 41
+5
95.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the VTech 46Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 22
OPP 46
+2
95.1%
Beau English Iii run for 2 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 20
OPP 44
0
95.1%
Aaron Trusler punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:5695% → 94%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
95.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 2 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+13
94.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 13 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
94.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+14
94.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 14 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
94.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 12 yds to the Richm 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
94.8%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Caleb Brooks for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 17
50
+8
94.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 8 yds to the Richm 42Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
94.4%
Peter Moore punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:016% → 6%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
94.4%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Savon Smith for no gain to the Richm 9Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+12
94.3%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Jonathan Johnson for 12 yds to the Richm 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
94.1%
Savon Smith run for 9 yds to the Richm 30Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 30
-4
93.9%
Aaron Dykes run for a loss of 4 yards to the Richm 26Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+3
93.9%
Aaron Dykes run for 3 yds to the Richm 29Similar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
93.9%
Aaron Trusler punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:1894% → 93%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
93.9%
BURMEISTER, Braxton pass to the left incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Tayvion thrown to the RIC45. PENALTY RIC Pass Interference on HARRIS, Nile enforced 15 yards to the VT 40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
94.0%
Tayvion Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+1
93.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
93.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:18
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
93.4%
Peter Moore punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:557% → 6%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
93.5%
Aaron Dykes run for 1 yd to the Richm 10Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
93.5%
Beau English Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+1
93.5%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 1 yd to the Richm 11Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 8
OWN 11
+1
93.6%
Aaron Trusler punt for 41 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 1 yd to the VTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:1194% → 93%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
93.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for 14 yds to the Richm 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
93.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Tre Turner) to the Richm 42Similar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
93.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+1
93.4%
Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd to the Richm 41Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 14
OPP 41
0
93.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
92.9%
Peter Moore pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:257% → 8%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
92.7%
Aaron Dykes run for 11 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
92.3%
Beau English Iii sacked by Keshon Artis for 0 yards to the Richm 45Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 17
OWN 45
-5
92.6%
RICHMOND Penalty, Encroachment on HENLEY, Leroy enforced (-5 Yards) to the Richm 40Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 22
OWN 40
+12
92.5%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Isaac Brown for 12 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
92.2%
Beau English Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
92.5%
Aaron Trusler punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3393% → 92%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
92.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the VTech 6Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
92.4%
Knox Kadum pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 10TD
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
88.2%
Savon Smith run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jake Larson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2890% → 89%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
89.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 12 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
90.1%
Keshawn King run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
89.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+10
88.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 10 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
89.2%
Peter Moore punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaac Brown at the Richm 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 12PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:5412% → 8%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
87.9%
Aaron Dykes run for 4 yds to the Richm 24Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-5
87.5%
DYKES, Aaron rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the RIC27 (HOLLIFIELD, Dax;FUGA, Josh). PENALTY Before the snap, RIC Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the RIC24 to the RIC19. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
87.4%
Beau English Iii run for 1 yd to the Richm 20Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
87.5%
RICHMOND Penalty, False Start (Tyrek Funderburk) to the Richm 15Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+3
87.2%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Savon Smith for 3 yds to the Richm 18Similar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+60
91.9%
Aaron Trusler punt for 42 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 60 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:259% → 9%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
RICHMOND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyrek Funderburk) to the Richm 13Similar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.7%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Jerry Garcia Jr. for 5 yds to the Richm 45Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-2
90.3%
Savon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Richm 43Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
90.6%
Beau English Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
91.1%
Aaron Trusler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 1:5291% → 90%
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+8
91.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+12
90.8%
Braxton Burmeister run for 12 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
91.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 8 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
91.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 5 yds to the Richm 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
91.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the Richm 49Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
91.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jalen Holston for 1 yd to the Richm 48Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
90.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 9
OPP 48
-5
90.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Dorian Strong) to the VTech 47Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
89.7%
Peter Moore punt for 50 yds, downed at the Richm 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:19
3RD & 12
OWN 1
+2
90.5%
Beau English Iii run for 2 yds to the Richm 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 16FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:3510% → 12%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.1%
Aaron Dykes run for 4 yds to the Richm 29Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
89.7%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Savon Smith for 9 yds to the Richm 38 for a 1ST down pass complete to Savon Smith for 16 yds to the Richm 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
89.3%
Aaron Dykes run for 16 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
88.5%
Aaron Dykes run for 16 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
87.5%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Leroy Henley for 5 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
87.0%
Savon Smith run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+6
87.6%
Savon Smith run for 6 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
86.5%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Aaron Dykes for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+3
87.1%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Jonathan Johnson for 3 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 12
OPP 21
0
87.8%
Beau English Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
87.6%
Jake Larson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:2887% → 94%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
87.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
87.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
86.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Nick Gallo for 3 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
86.9%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+11
87.3%
Jalen Holston run for 11 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+42
87.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 42 yds to the Richm 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
88.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the Richm 4Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+1
88.2%
Connor Blumrick run for 1 yd to the Richm 3Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
87.2%
Connor Blumrick run for 2 yds to the Richm 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.6%
Connor Blumrick run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:117% → 7%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.8%
Savon Smith run for 6 yds to the Richm 31Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
92.4%
Savon Smith run for 11 yds to the Richm 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
92.6%
Savon Smith run for no gain to the Richm 42Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
92.8%
Aaron Dykes run for 4 yds to the Richm 46Similar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+10
92.5%
Beau English Iii run for 10 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
91.8%
Beau English Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
91.9%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Jerry Garcia Jr. for 10 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.2%
Beau English Iii run for no gain to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
91.1%
Beau English Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
91.8%
Beau English Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
93.5%
Aaron Trusler punt for 25 yds, downed at the VTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:1194% → 94%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
93.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 17 yds to the VTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
93.9%
Keshawn King run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 25Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+8
93.6%
Keshawn King run for 8 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
93.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
93.5%
Peter Moore punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaac Brown at the Richm 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 5:366% → 4%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.9%
Aaron Dykes run for no gain to the Richm 20Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
94.0%
Aaron Dykes run for 3 yds to the Richm 23Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+8
94.2%
Beau English Iii run for 8 yds to the Richm 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
94.0%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Leroy Henley for 9 yds to the Richm 40Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+4
94.0%
Savon Smith run for 4 yds to the Richm 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
94.0%
RICHMOND Penalty, Tripping (-15 Yards) to the Richm 28Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 26
OWN 28
+13
95.5%
Beau English Iii run for 13 yds to the Richm 41Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 13
OWN 41
-5
95.6%
RICHMOND Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Richm 36Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+2
96.1%
Beau English Iii pass complete to Aaron Dykes for 2 yds to the Richm 38Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 16
OWN 38
+53
96.2%
Aaron Trusler punt for 42 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 53 yds to the VATECH 9 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Richm 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:0895% → 95%
Q4 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
94.9%
Jalen Holston run for no gain to the VTech 10Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
95.0%
RICHMOND Penalty, Offsides (Nile Harris) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
95.2%
Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
95.7%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Tyler Dressler for 0 yards to the VTech 21Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 19
OWN 21
0
95.2%
Peter Moore punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:514% → 3%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
96.4%
Savon Smith run for 3 yds to the Richm 32Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Beau English Iii run for no gain to the Richm 32Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
96.8%
Beau English Iii pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+5
97.0%
Aaron Trusler punt for 42 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 5 yds to the VTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 30 yds · 4:0996% → 98%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
96.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
96.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+5
97.1%
Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
97.1%
Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+1
97.5%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the VTech 47Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+10
97.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 10 yds to the Richm 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.6%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the Richm 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:08
Connor Blumrick run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)
+6.4
PUNT · Q2 4:23
Aaron Trusler punt for 42 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 60 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q2 9:22
Savon Smith run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jake Larson KICK)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com