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LIB

Liberty 21 at Syracuse 24

SYR
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2021 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:58 · James Williams punt for 46 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior−4.3Home team on offense+11.2Score differential+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Garbage-time factor+7.4Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:46: Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +16.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:57: Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 23 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +15.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:31: Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 33 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +25.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:35: Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Liber 22 — SYR win probability +17.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Andre Szmyt 35 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +32.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 9LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:48SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43LIB 4th & 3 at SYR 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    62.8%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:50SYR 4th & 4 at LIB 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:58LIB 4th & 4 at SYR 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:31LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:32LIB 4th & 24 at LIB 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−3.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:03SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:23SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:32LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:20LIB 4th & 12 at LIB 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:15SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:58SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:56SYR 4th & 18 at SYR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−8.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:00LIB 4th & 2 at SYR 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−5.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−28.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:21SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−2.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00SYR 4th & 8 at LIB 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−17.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−32.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:40SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:51SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:33LIB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:46SYR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:57LIB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:31LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1234% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 8 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
34.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
34.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
34.6%
James Williams punt for 43 yds, downed at the Liber 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:0565% → 64%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
34.7%
Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
34.6%
Shedro Louis run for 4 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+11
34.6%
Malik Willis run for 11 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
34.6%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+26
34.6%
Malik Willis run for 26 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
34.5%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
34.5%
T.J. Green run for 4 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
35.8%
T.J. Green run for no gain to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
36.2%
Alex Barbir 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:5337% → 38%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
36.6%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
36.6%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+7
36.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Taj Harris for 7 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
36.7%
Garrett Shrader run for 15 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
37.1%
Sean Tucker run for 12 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
37.2%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 42Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+10
38.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-2
38.3%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 34Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+52
38.3%
Andre Szmyt 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5263% → 62%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
37.4%
CJ Daniels pass complete to Malik Willis for 13 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
36.8%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
36.7%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
36.9%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 4
OPP 47
+39
37.9%
Max Morgan punt for 31 yds SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (8 Yards) to the Syrac 8Similar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
38.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Syrac 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5TD
13 plays · 92 yds · 5:1838% → 48%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+4
38.4%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+15
38.3%
TUCKER, Sean rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the SYR9 (SINGS V, Stephen). PENALTY LIB Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the SYR9 to the SYR24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
38.5%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+19
38.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Sean Tucker for 19 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
39.5%
Abdul Adams run for 10 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
39.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
39.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Abdul Adams for 11 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
40.1%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+19
41.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Damien Alford for 19 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
42.4%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the Liber 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
42.4%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Liber 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
42.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the Liber 1Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0453% → 50%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
47.3%
Demario Douglas run for 2 yds to the Liber 10Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+5
47.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 5 yds to the Liber 15Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
47.8%
Malik Willis sacked by Mikel Jones for 0 yards to the Liber 12Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
50.2%
Max Morgan punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:4050% → 61%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
50.2%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+6
50.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
50.4%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+10
50.4%
LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (T.J. Green) to the Liber 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
60.9%
Sean Tucker run for 27 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:1341% → 37%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
59.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 3 yds to the Liber 8Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+4
59.8%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 12Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+5
59.3%
Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+23
58.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 23 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
58.1%
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
58.4%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
58.8%
Malik Willis sacked by Kingsley Jonathan and Geoff Cantin-Arku for 0 yards to the Liber 26Similar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 24
OWN 26
0
63.3%
Max Morgan punt for 48 yds, downed at the Syrac 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2963% → 63%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
62.5%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
62.7%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
61.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+10
62.8%
James Williams punt for 55 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 10 yds to the Liber 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:3036% → 48%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
64.1%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 26Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
64.2%
Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
63.5%
Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
63.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Treon Sibley for 22 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
62.0%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+7
62.0%
Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+25
60.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 25 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
51.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:1058% → 56%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.7%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
58.1%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
59.7%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
59.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
57.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
56.0%
James Williams punt for 36 yds, downed at the Liber 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
58.4%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2842% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
57.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
56.0%
Malik Willis sacked by Marlowe Wax for 0 yards to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+1
58.8%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 1 yd to the Liber 29Similar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
61.1%
Max Morgan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Courtney Jackson at the Syrac 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:4661% → 80%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
60.6%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
60.6%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
61.4%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+15
62.9%
QB Keeper SHRADER, Garrett rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the SYR47 (HARDING, Rashaad). PENALTY LIB Face mask enforced 15 yards from the SYR47 to the LIB38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
63.1%
run for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 46Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 18
OPP 46
+19
61.6%
Sean Tucker run for 19 yds to the Liber 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
63.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Taj Harris for 13 yds to the Liber 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
63.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 4 yds to the Liber 10Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
80.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:2623% → 20%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.7%
Malik Willis sacked by Cody Roscoe for 0 yards to the Liber 24Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
76.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 6 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
76.0%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Liber 25Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
77.2%
Malik Willis sacked by Marlowe Wax for 0 yards to the Liber 23Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
79.8%
Max Morgan punt for 53 yds, downed at the Syrac 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0582% → 82%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
82.2%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
82.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
81.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+26
81.6%
James Williams punt for 37 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 26 yds to the Liber 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:1821% → 39%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
79.4%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+15
78.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Geoff Cantin-Arku) to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+7
77.3%
T.J. Green run for 7 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
77.1%
T.J. Green run for 6 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+1
75.5%
T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+5
76.8%
Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
75.5%
T.J. Green run for 3 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
77.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 4 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+23
61.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 23 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5972% → 75%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.9%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
71.9%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
70.8%
Abdul Adams run for no gain to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
74.5%
James Williams punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:2729% → 58%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
70.9%
Shedro Louis run for 30 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
66.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 6 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+2
66.9%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+4
67.3%
Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
41.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 33 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:3552% → 50%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.3%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
52.8%
Sean Tucker run for 12 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
55.3%
Garrett Shrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
53.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
51.5%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Kendy Charles and Ahmad Walker for 0 yards to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & 18
OWN 33
+8
49.6%
James Williams punt for 38 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 8 yds to the Liber 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:5653% → 52%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
47.1%
Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+2
43.9%
T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
44.2%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+35
45.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 35 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
41.5%
T.J. Green run for 8 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 2
OPP 9
0
41.5%
GREEN, TJ rush up the middle for no gain to the SYR9 (BARRON, Justin). PENALTY Before the snap, SYR Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the SYR9 to the SYR5 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
42.0%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
42.0%
T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Syrac 3Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
44.4%
Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
48.1%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:3956% → 54%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
55.5%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+5
55.3%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+6
53.8%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
56.5%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
56.2%
Courtney Jackson run for 4 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
54.4%
Taj Harris run for no gain to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 4
OWN 22
-5
53.8%
James Williams punt for 46 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:4650% → 51%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
50.0%
Malik Willis run for 10 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
48.8%
Malik Willis sacked for 0 yards to the Liber 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24FG
11 plays · 13 yds · 3:3567% → 96%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
66.6%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Liber 22Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+1
67.0%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Liber 21Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
65.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 2 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
68.3%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 23Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 14
OPP 23
-2
66.1%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 25Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 16
OPP 25
+8
59.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 8 yds to the Liber 17Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
95.7%
Andre Szmyt 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Andre Szmyt 35 yd FG GOOD
+32.8
TD · Q4 14:31
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 33 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)
-25.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:35
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Liber 22
+17.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com