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VT

Virginia Tech 21 at West Virginia 27

WVU
2021 · Week 3 · Sep 18, 2021 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:12 · John Parker Romo 24 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Home team on offense+11.1Pregame prior+5.8Score differential+5.2Garbage-time factor+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Time remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:44: Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 16 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +6.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:41: Casey Legg 21 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +4.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:17: Casey Legg 44 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +9.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:01: Raheem Blackshear run for 20 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK) — VT win probability +9.1 pts (now 14%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:10: Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jalen Holston for 29 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK) — VT win probability +9.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:42VT 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21VT 4th & 14 at VT 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:54WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:59VT 4th & 1 at WVU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−1.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:49WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:39VT 4th & 6 at VT 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:34VT 4th & 1 at VT 34, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:41WVU 4th & 4 at VT 4, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.7%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:12VT 4th & 7 at WVU 7, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−6.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:55WVU 4th & 2 at VT 32, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%−2.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:17WVU 4th & 8 at VT 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−5.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:43WVU 4th & 8 at VT 27, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:01VT 4th & 5 at VT 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:21WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 41, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:12VT 4th & 6 at WVU 33, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:54VT 4th & 6 at WVU 6, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−3.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:48WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 14, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:45VT 4th & 4 at WVU 4, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−19.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−22.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:24WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:11WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:11VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:44WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:01VT Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:10VT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:1838% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
61.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 20 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
61.7%
Tre Turner run for no gain to the VTech 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
61.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
50
0
61.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 5
50
0
61.6%
Peter Moore punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:1862% → 63%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.7%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+80
62.6%
Leddie Brown run for 80 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:0338% → 37%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.5%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Alonzo Addae for 0 yards to the VTech 19Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
62.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jalen Holston for no gain to the VTech 19Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+2
62.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jalen Holston for 2 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+8
63.4%
Peter Moore punt for 42 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for 8 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:1064% → 66%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
63.6%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+15
63.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (TyJuan Garbutt) to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
66.1%
Bryce Ford-Wheaton 29 Yd pass from Jarret Doege (Casey Legg Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:0035% → 37%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
65.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
65.3%
Braxton Burmeister run for 2 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Daryl Porter Jr.) to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
65.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+11
65.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 11 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+5
64.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 5 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
64.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Deshawn Stevens) to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+5
64.6%
Jalen Holston run for 5 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
64.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
64.7%
Tre Turner run for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+10
64.8%
BURMEISTER, Braxton pass to the left complete for 8 yards to SMITH, Kaleb caught at the WVU34 and advanced to the WVU26 (PORTER JR., Darryl). PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on PORTER JR., Darryl enforced 10 yards to the WVU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+10
64.8%
BURMEISTER, Braxton pass to the left complete for 8 yards to SMITH, Kaleb caught at the WVU34 and advanced to the WVU26 (PORTER JR., Darryl). PENALTY WVU Pass Interference on PORTER JR., Darryl enforced 10 yards to the WVU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
67.4%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
63.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 23 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1266% → 68%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
66.2%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+6
68.4%
Garrett Greene run for 6 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
68.5%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
68.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 5 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
68.1%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:54
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+1
67.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 38 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 1 yd to the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:5535% → 35%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
65.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
64.4%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+25
65.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 25 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
63.5%
Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
63.6%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+5
64.2%
Tayvion Robinson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
65.0%
Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:1070% → 69%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
69.5%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
69.4%
BROWN, Leddie rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the WVU33 (TISDALE, Alan). PENALTY Before the snap, WVU Illegal Motion on WRIGHT, Winston enforced 5 yards from the WVU28 to the WVU23. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
69.3%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
68.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 11 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
68.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
69.1%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 68 yds, downed at the VTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1033% → 31%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
67.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kaleb Smith) to the VTech 2Similar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+1
67.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the VTech 3Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+4
67.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the VTech 7Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 6
OWN 7
0
68.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 6
OWN 7
0
69.0%
Peter Moore punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Esdale at the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:5572% → 79%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
72.0%
Garrett Greene run for 10 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
72.3%
Garrett Greene pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
72.1%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+30
71.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 30 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
72.4%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
79.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 16 yds for a TD, (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0426% → 25%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
73.5%
Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
73.5%
Jalen Holston run for no gain to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
74.8%
Peter Moore punt for 49 yds , Isaiah Esdale returns for no gain to the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12FG
15 plays · 79 yds · 3:5380% → 85%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+32
79.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 32 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
80.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
80.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 6 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+6
80.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 6 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
81.1%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+6
80.9%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
81.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Jermaine Waller) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
81.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Roughing the Passer on WILLIAMS, Jordan enforced half the distance from the goal (Jordan Williams) to the VTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
80.7%
Leddie Brown run for 11 yds to the VTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
79.9%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
80.1%
Jarret Doege run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 4Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
79.8%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
79.8%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
84.5%
Casey Legg 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 15 yds · 1:1721% → 16%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
78.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
79.3%
Braxton Burmeister run for 9 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+3
79.3%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
78.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
79.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kaleb Smith) to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
79.3%
Braxton Burmeister run for 8 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
80.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
83.7%
John Parker Romo 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 8:1285% → 95%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
84.8%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+25
84.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 25 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.4%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+18
85.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 18 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
85.4%
Isaiah Esdale sacked by Dax Hollifield for 0 yards to the VTech 47Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 17
OPP 47
+7
85.1%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+8
84.8%
Leddie Brown run for 8 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+3
84.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 3 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
85.5%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 36 fumbled, recovered by WVirg Jarret DoegeSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+5
85.2%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+4
84.8%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 4 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+44
94.5%
Casey Legg 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+37
95.3%
Casey Legg 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:165% → 5%
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.7%
Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
94.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
95.1%
Peter Moore punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:4096% → 96%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
95.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 1 yd to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+8
95.7%
Leddie Brown run for 8 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-9
95.6%
BROWN, Leddie rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the VAT43 (CONNER, Chamarri). PENALTY WVU Holding on O'LAUGHLIN, Mike enforced 9 yards from the VAT49 to the WVU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-1
95.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+4
95.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 39 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 4 yds to the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:204% → 14%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.9%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Jared Bartlett for 0 yards to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 19
OWN 15
+10
96.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 10 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+10
96.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 10 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
95.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Luke Tenuta) to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+39
95.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Drake DeIuliis for 39 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.1%
run for no gain to the WVirg 35 fumbled, recovered by VTech Braxton BurmeisterSimilar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 14
OPP 35
0
95.2%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Taijh Alston for 0 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 24
OPP 45
+25
95.9%
Braxton Burmeister run for 25 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
85.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 20 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:4892% → 93%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.6%
Leddie Brown run for 8 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
91.9%
Tony Mathis Jr. run for 1 yd to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
91.7%
Jarret Doege run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
91.9%
Garrett Greene run for 7 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
92.2%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
92.3%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+5
92.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 5 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
93.4%
Jarret Doege sacked for 0 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 5:1810% → 7%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
89.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 5 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
89.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
89.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
89.5%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Jared Bartlett for 0 yards to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 17
OPP 44
+11
90.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 11 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+8
90.2%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 8 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
88.5%
Jalen Holston run for 17 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
88.5%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
88.5%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
89.2%
Tre Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
93.0%
Braxton Burmeister sacked for 0 yards to the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0296% → 97%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
95.5%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 9Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+1
96.1%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd to the WVirg 10Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+4
96.4%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 5
OWN 14
+5
96.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 38 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 5 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 1:384% → 14%
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.7%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
95.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 12 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
95.3%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 13 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
95.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
95.3%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Taijh Alston and Jordan Jefferson for 0 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 17
OPP 29
+29
85.8%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jalen Holston for 29 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23INT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:5593% → 94%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.3%
Garrett Greene run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
94.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (James Gmiter) to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted return for no gain to the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:2114% → 14%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
85.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+8
85.8%
Jalen Holston run for 8 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
85.2%
Jalen Holston run for no gain to the WVirg 3Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
79.7%
Jalen Holston run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 4Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
82.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
85.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
96.5%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd to the WVirg 3Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
96.5%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd to the WVirg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 8:17
Casey Legg 44 yd FG GOOD
+9.7
TD · Q4 3:10
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Jalen Holston for 29 yds for a TD (John Parker Romo KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q3 0:01
Raheem Blackshear run for 20 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)
-9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com