Try the model
NORF

Norfolk State 16 at Wake Forest 41

WAKE
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadNORF aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreNORF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:44 · Ivan Mora punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Justin Smith at the NflkS 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+25.6Home team on offense+34.2Score differential+23.3Garbage-time factor+10.9Blowout margin+9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:24: Josh Nardone 41 yd FG GOOD — NORF win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:35: Christian Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:05: Juwan Carter pass complete to Rayquan Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Josh Nardone PAT MISSED) — NORF win probability +1.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:18: Nick Sciba 46 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:47: Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 64 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 5NORF made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 8:24NORF 4th & 13 at WAKE 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:04NORF 4th & 18 at WAKE 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:35NORF 4th & 11 at NORF 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:18WAKE 4th & 2 at NORF 27, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:03NORF 4th & 8 at NORF 27, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:03WAKE 4th & 6 at NORF 37, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:02WAKE 4th & 4 at NORF 4, up 22
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:12NORF 4th & 6 at WAKE 43, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:21NORF 4th & 2 at NORF 33, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:44WAKE 4th & 4 at WAKE 46, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:46WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 38, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:19NORF 4th & 6 at NORF 47, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NORF made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:37WAKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:43WAKE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:35WAKE Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:05NORF Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:47WAKE Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:39WAKE Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:24NORF Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NORFDrive 1FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 6:361% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Rayquan Smith run for 2 yds to the NflkS 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
99.1%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 14 yds to the NflkS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcque EllingtonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.1%
Cameryn Brent run for 4 yds to the NflkS 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+18
99.1%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 18 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.1%
Cameryn Brent run for 2 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+2
99.1%
Kevin Johnson run for 2 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+16
99.1%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 16 yds to the WFrst 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-9
99.1%
Juwan Carter sacked by Rondell Bothroyd for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 30
+6
99.1%
Kevin Johnson run for 6 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 24
0
99.1%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcque EllingtonSimilar
Q1 8:24
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+41
98.6%
Josh Nardone 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 8 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+7
98.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
50
+11
98.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 11 yds to the NflkS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+24
98.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 24 yds to the NflkS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
98.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 11 yds to the NflkS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.6%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 3PUNT
15 plays · 29 yds · 7:332% → 3%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.5%
Kevin Johnson run for 3 yds to the NflkS 28Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Kevin Johnson run for no gain to the NflkS 28Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
98.5%
Juwan Carter run for 8 yds to the NflkS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.5%
Cameryn Brent run for 5 yds to the NflkS 41Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
98.5%
Cameryn Brent run for 1 yd to the NflkS 42Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+6
98.5%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Cameryn Brent for 6 yds to the NflkS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
98.5%
Rayquan Smith run for 1 yd to the NflkS 49Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+2
98.5%
Rayquan Smith run for 2 yds to the NflkS 47Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+15
98.5%
PENALTY WFU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Holmes,Gavin) 15 yards from NSU47 to WFU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
98.5%
Smith,Rayquan rush for 0 yards to the WFU38 (Johns,JaCorey) PENALTY NSU Holding (Byrd,Colby) 10 yards from WFU38 to WFU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 20
OPP 48
0
98.5%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcque EllingtonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+1
97.6%
Rayquan Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 47
+1
97.6%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 1 yd to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 18
OPP 46
0
97.5%
Ryan Richter punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:2198% → 98%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the WFrst 37Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 4 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+14
97.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 14 yds to the NflkS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
97.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 8 yds to the NflkS 37Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+5
97.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the NflkS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
97.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 12 yds to the NflkS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
97.7%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the NflkS 17Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+10
97.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 10 yds to the NflkS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
97.7%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (Devyn Coles) to the NflkS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:082% → 3%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.6%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 4 yds to the NflkS 39Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+8
97.5%
Kevin Johnson run for 8 yds to the NflkS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
97.5%
Kevin Johnson run for 2 yds to the NflkS 45Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+1
97.6%
Kevin Johnson run for 1 yd to the NflkS 46Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
97.6%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Da'Kendall JamesSimilar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
97.4%
Ryan Richter punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:0097% → 98%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
97.4%
Hartman,Sam pass complete to Williams,Ke'Shawn for 3 yards loss to the WFU25 (Land,Tayvion) PENALTY NSU Offside (Dixon,De'Shaan) 5 yards from WFU28 to WFU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 5
OWN 33
0
97.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
97.4%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the WFrst 34Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+14
97.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 14 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
97.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 11 yds to the NflkS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
97.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 5 yds to the NflkS 36Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
97.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake WhiteheartSimilar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+8
97.5%
Christian Turner run for 8 yds to the NflkS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+24
97.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 24 yds to the NflkS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
97.6%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the NflkS 1Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.0%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:302% → 4%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.0%
Juwan Carter run for 9 yds to the NflkS 34Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
97.8%
Kevin Johnson run for 2 yds to the NflkS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
97.9%
Juwan Carter run for 17 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
97.7%
Juwan Carter run for 6 yds to the NflkS 47Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+15
98.0%
Juwan Carter run for 15 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+28
97.7%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 28 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.6%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Anthony WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.6%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
96.3%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Rayquan Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Josh Nardone PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 0:4797% → 98%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake WhiteheartSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+10
97.0%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 10 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
97.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 12 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
97.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donald Stewart for 16 yds to the NflkS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
97.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donald StewartSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
97.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jahmal BanksSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+8
97.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 8 yds to the NflkS 27Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+46
97.5%
Nick Sciba 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.2%
run for 1 yd to the NflkS 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 64 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:441% → 1%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
J.J. Davis run for no gain to the NflkS 25Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
J.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the NflkS 27Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Ryan Richter punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:0199% → 100%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.1%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the NflkS 38Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+1
99.1%
Christian Turner run for 1 yd to the NflkS 37Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
99.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake WhiteheartSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+30
99.0%
Sam Hartman run for 23 yds to the NflkS 14 for a 1ST down NORFOLK ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Devyn Coles) to the NflkS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.1%
Christian Turner run for no gain to the NflkS 7Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.1%
Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the NflkS 4Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q3 11:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
99.5%
Nick Sciba 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:501% → 1%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Kendall James for 5 yds to the NflkS 30Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.4%
Lex Henry run for 1 yd to the NflkS 31Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+22
99.4%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 22 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.4%
Juwan Carter run for 8 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-4
99.3%
Juwan Carter sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 43Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
99.4%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
99.4%
Luca Weber punt blocked by Rondell Bothroyd blocked by Rondell BothroydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the NflkS 29Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Turner for 6 yds to the NflkS 23Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+16
99.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Ke'Shawn Williams for 16 yds to the NflkS 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Christian Turner run for 7 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Rayquan Smith run for 1 yd to the NflkS 26Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.6%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 5 yds to the NflkS 31Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.6%
Rayquan Smith run for 2 yds to the NflkS 33Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Luca Weber punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Leo Kelly run for 4 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Leo Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Ivan Mora punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Justin Smith at the NflkS 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 17INT
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:460% → 0%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
99.9%
J.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the NflkS 8Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+13
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 13 yds to the NflkS 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Kevin Johnson for 9 yds to the NflkS 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+18
99.9%
J.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the NflkS 33 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (DJ Taylor) to the NflkS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
J.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+7
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass complete to J.J. Davis for 7 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Da'Quan Felton for 16 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Da'Quan FeltonSimilar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
99.9%
Juwan Carter sacked by Luiji Vilain for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Leo Kelly pass complete to Dez Williams for 8 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Leo Kelly pass incomplete to Jackson HensleySimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the NflkS 46Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Leo Kelly pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 19TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:290% → 1%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Kevin Johnson for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 1
50
+34
99.9%
J.J. Davis run for 34 yds to the WFrst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Kevin JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 3 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Wingfield) to the WFrst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Anthony Williams for 3 yds for a TD (Josh Nardone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
99.8%
Marshall,Ahmani rush for 10 yards gain to the WFU45 (Allen,Devon) PENALTY WFU Holding (Forbes,Christian) 10 yards from WFU35 to WFU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+16
99.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 16 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Santino Marucci run for 3 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Zach Murphy punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:271% → 1%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+25
99.5%
Lex Henry run for 25 yds to the NflkS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.4%
Lex Henry run for 1 yd to the NflkS 42Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+2
99.4%
Lex Henry run for 2 yds to the NflkS 44Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+3
99.4%
Jonah Fitzgerald run for 3 yds to the NflkS 47Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Luca Weber punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 13 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Ahmani Marshall run for 8 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the NflkS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:47
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 64 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 1:05
Juwan Carter pass complete to Rayquan Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Josh Nardone PAT MISSED)
-1.3
FG · Q1 8:24
Josh Nardone 41 yd FG GOOD
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com