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BC

Boston College 45 at Massachusetts 28

MASS
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:10 · G Georgeopoulos punt for 32 yds, downed at the UMass 49 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, IM (-5 Yards) to the UMass 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior−47.2Home team on offense−15.6Score differential−8.0Garbage-time factor−4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:21: Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 56 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +1.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:10: Travis Levy run for 20 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK) — BC win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:04: Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 44 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK) — BC win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:17: Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK) — MASS win probability +2.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:04: BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (Khris Banks) to the BC 20 — BC win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 6:33MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:58MASS 4th & 1 at BC 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:51MASS 4th & 1 at BC 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:59BC 4th & 14 at MASS 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:10MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 17, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:29MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:04BC 4th & 9 at BC 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:56MASS 4th & 5 at BC 15, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:21BC 4th & 8 at MASS 10, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:00BC 4th & 12 at MASS 16, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:33BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:26BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:21MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:10BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:04BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:17MASS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1INT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
0.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
0.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Michael Fitzgerald for 11 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
0.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Taylor Edwards BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jaiden Woodbey) to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 6
OWN 47
+18
0.2%
Brady Olson pass intercepted Josh DeBerry return for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 44 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the BC 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2TD
16 plays · 65 yds · 6:32100% → 100%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
0.3%
Alec Sinkfield run for 8 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
0.3%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
0.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Trae Barry for 4 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
0.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
0.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
0.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 1 yd to the UMass 41Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
0.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Alec SinkfieldSimilar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+17
0.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Trae Barry for 17 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
0.4%
Travis Levy run for 6 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+1
0.4%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the UMass 17Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+4
0.4%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
0.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 7 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
0.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the UMass 6Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
0.5%
Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 6 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
0.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete, broken up by Shitta SillahSimilar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jermaine Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.5%
G Georgeopoulos punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 4:0799% → 99%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
0.6%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 14 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+36
0.6%
Patrick Garwo run for 36 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
0.5%
Alec Sinkfield run for 8 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+3
0.5%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
0.5%
Dennis Grosel run for 5 yds to the UMass 2Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.5%
Patrick Garwo run for no gain to the UMass 2Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.6%
Dennis Grosel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5DOWNS
20 plays · 68 yds · 7:351% → 1%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 8 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
0.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
0.7%
Eric Collins run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
50
+2
0.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 2 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+10
0.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 10 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
0.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
0.8%
Zamar Wise run for 1 yd to the BC 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+5
0.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (CJ Lewis) to the BC 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+15
0.8%
Olson,Brady pass incomplete to Arnold,Rico ( Graham-Mobley,), PENALTY BC roughing passer ( Sillah, Shitta) 15 yards to the BC17, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
0.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+4
0.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 4 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+1
0.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the BC 8Similar
Q2 10:58
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+6
1.1%
Brady Olson run for 6 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the BC 1Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
1.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 2Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
1.0%
Zamar Wise run for 1 yd to the BC 1Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-6
1.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
1.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the BC 8Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+6
1.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 6 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+5
1.0%
Dennis Grosel run for 5 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+34
1.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 19 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
1.0%
Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+5
0.9%
Dennis Grosel run for 5 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
0.9%
Dennis Grosel run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 12
OPP 39
-5
0.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 17
OPP 44
+3
1.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
1.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Eric Collins at the UMass 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7END OF HALF
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
1.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+32
1.3%
Ellis Merriweather run for 32 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
1.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Tray Pettway, broken up by Jaiden WoodbeySimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
1.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
1.8%
Patrick Garwo run for 42 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-8
1.7%
Zay Flowers run for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 42 Zay Flowers fumbled, forced by Devin Baldwin, recovered by UMass Uchenna EzewikeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:542% → 4%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
2.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+56
3.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 56 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1197% → 98%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
3.3%
Patrick Garwo run for 1 yd to the BC 26Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+21
3.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 21 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
3.0%
Patrick Garwo run for 21 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
2.9%
Patrick Garwo run for 7 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+5
2.9%
Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
1.9%
Travis Levy run for 20 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
2.4%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 9Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+8
2.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 8 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 1
OWN 17
0
2.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+27
2.4%
G Georgeopoulos punt for 32 yds, downed at the UMass 49 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, IM (-5 Yards) to the UMass 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
0.8%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 44 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:351% → 1%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
1.3%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+11
1.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 11 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
1.3%
Brady Olson run for 5 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive holding (Josh DeBerry) to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
1.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-3
1.4%
Kay'Ron Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+5
1.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive offside (Isaiah Graham-Mobley) to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
1.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric Collins, broken up by Josh DeBerrySimilar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
1.1%
G Georgeopoulos punt for 52 yds , Travis Levy returns for no gain to the BC 1 Travis Levy fumbled, recovered by UMass Javon BattenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:572% → 4%
Q3 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.9%
Brady Olson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the BC 1Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:1398% → 99%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
2.5%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (Khris Banks) to the BC 20Similar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-3
2.5%
Patrick Garwo run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 17Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
2.6%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+9
2.6%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jaden Williams for 9 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+41
0.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 37 yds , Eric Collins returns for 4 yds for a TD Eric Collins fumbled, forced by Vinny DePalma, recovered by BC Jaiden Woodbey , return for 41 yds, (Danny Longman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
0.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (Khris Banks) to the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
50
0
0.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 10
50
+15
0.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Khris Banks) to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
0.2%
Wise,Zamar pass incomplete to Dieke,Onuma, PENALTY BC pass interference ( Horsley, Cam) 15 yards to the BC20, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
0.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the BC 15Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
0.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+15
0.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Eric Collins for 15 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18END OF GAME
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
0.3%
Patrick Garwo run for 33 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
0.3%
Patrick Garwo run for 11 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
0.2%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+2
0.2%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+13
0.2%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 13 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
0.2%
Patrick Garwo run for 2 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
0.2%
Dennis Grosel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
0.2%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
0.2%
Danny Longman 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:170% → 0%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
0.1%
Brady Olson run for 10 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
0.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Tray Pettway for 17 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
0.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Melvin Hill for 4 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+19
0.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 19 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Eric CollinsSimilar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
0.2%
Brady Olson run for 7 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+11
0.2%
Brady Olson pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 11 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
0.2%
Brady Olson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 14Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+14
0.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21INT
7 plays · 53 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Rico Arnold, broken up by Brandon SebastianSimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
0.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 29 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
0.1%
Brady Olson pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 13 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
0.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 20 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
0.1%
Brady Olson run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 22 Brady Olson fumbled, forced by Kam Arnold, recovered by UMass Kay'Ron AdamsSimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 19
OPP 22
0
0.1%
Brady Olson pass intercepted Brandon Sebastian return for no gain to the BC 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22END OF GAME
16 plays · 78 yds · 5:12100% → 100%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
0.2%
Patrick Garwo run for 3 yds to the BC 7Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+4
0.2%
Patrick Garwo run for 4 yds to the BC 11Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+9
0.1%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Travis Levy for 9 yds to the BC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.1%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-1
0.1%
Patrick Garwo run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 21Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+12
0.1%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 12 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
0.1%
Patrick Garwo run for 1 yd to the BC 34Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
0.1%
Patrick Garwo run for 3 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+49
0.1%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 49 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
0.1%
Cam Horsley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
0
0.1%
Cam Horsley run for no gain to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 12
OPP 16
0
0.1%
Dennis Grosel run for no gain to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 12
OPP 16
-2
0.1%
Dennis Grosel run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:17
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q3 13:21
Brady Olson pass complete to Rico Arnold for 56 yds for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q3 8:04
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Trae Barry for 44 yds for a TD, (Danny Longman KICK)
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com