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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 3 at Louisville 30

LOU
2021 · Week 2 · Sep 11, 2021 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:28 · Phillip Richards punt for 51 yds, downed at the Lvile 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior+14.0Home team on offense+34.7Score differential+31.1Garbage-time factor+9.9Blowout margin+15.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8
This game in five plays
  1. PUNT · Q2 10:15: Phillip Richards punt for 36 yds , Braden Smith returns for 49 yds for a TD — LOU win probability +1.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:48: Patrick Nations 39 yd FG GOOD — EKU win probability +1.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:47: Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds for a TD (Jason Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +3.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:30: Parker McKinney run for 5 yds to the EKent 30 — EKU win probability +1.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:32: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 30 yds for a TD (Jason Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9EKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 10:50LOU 4th & 17 at LOU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:11EKU 4th & 10 at EKU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:39LOU 4th & 2 at LOU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:39EKU 4th & 7 at LOU 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:37LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:50LOU 4th & 10 at EKU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:15EKU 4th & 12 at EKU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:48EKU 4th & 3 at LOU 22, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.7%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:53LOU 4th & 1 at EKU 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−2.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:48EKU 4th & 3 at EKU 43, down 17
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:30LOU 4th & 11 at midfield, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:58EKU 4th & 5 at EKU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:25LOU 4th & 2 at EKU 27, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:56LOU 4th & 10 at EKU 10, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:28EKU 4th & 5 at EKU 42, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:32EKU 4th & 9 at LOU 41, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:21LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 39, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:27LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:47LOU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:32LOU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:4196% → 96%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
96.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+3
96.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+4
96.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 4 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
96.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 11 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.1%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
96.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
95.8%
Malik Cunningham sacked for 0 yards to the Lvile 28Similar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 17
OWN 28
+7
95.7%
Mark Vassett punt for 43 yds , Matt Wilcox Jr. returns for 7 yds to the EKent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:244% → 5%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.7%
Da'Joun Hewitt run for 5 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
95.6%
MCKINNEY, Parker pass up the middle incomplete intended for EDWARDS JR., Mo broken up by ROBBINS, Aidan at the LOU28. PENALTY LOU Offsides on GILLOTTE, Ashton enforced 5 yards from the EKU41 to the EKU46 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.5%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
95.5%
Da'Joun Hewitt run for no gain to the EKent 46Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
95.4%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+22
95.5%
Phillip Richards punt for 39 yds , Braden Smith returns for 22 yds to the LOUISVILLE 32 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Block ( Yards) to the Lvile 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:5895% → 95%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
95.3%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 9Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+4
95.2%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+19
94.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 19 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
94.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
94.8%
Jalen Mitchell run for no gain to the Lvile 40Similar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
94.6%
Mark Vassett punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:5395% → 95%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
94.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 10 yds to the EKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
94.7%
Trevion Cooley run for 5 yds to the EKent 10Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
95.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds for a TD (Jason Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:325% → 6%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.1%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Matt Wilcox Jr. for 1 yd to the EKent 26Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
95.0%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+27
94.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 27 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
94.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Matt Wilcox Jr. for 6 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
94.3%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 2 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-5
94.3%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Da'Joun Hewitt for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 38Similar
Q1 1:39
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
94.5%
Phillip Richards punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5395% → 94%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
94.5%
Trevion Cooley run for 5 yds to the Lvile 25Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:37
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Mark Vassett punt for 40 yds , Jaden Smith returns for no gain to the EKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 7INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:386% → 6%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.2%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 2 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
94.1%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
94.2%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for 9 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.9%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
94.0%
Parker McKinney pass intercepted return for no gain to the Lvile 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:2394% → 94%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
94.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 6 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
94.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+4
94.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 4 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
94.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 11 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
94.2%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the EKent 46Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
93.9%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
93.6%
Mark Vassett punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:166% → 5%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
93.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Dakota Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the EKent 12Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+1
93.5%
Da'Joun Hewitt run for 1 yd to the EKent 13Similar
Q2 10:32
3RD & 12
OWN 13
0
93.6%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 12
OWN 13
+49
95.1%
Phillip Richards punt for 36 yds , Braden Smith returns for 49 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:065% → 7%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Kyeandre Magloire run for no gain to the EKent 25Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.9%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 2 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
95.0%
MCKINNEY, Parker pass up the middle incomplete intended for MITCHELL, Jyran thrown to the EKU35. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on ROBBINS, Aidan enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards from the EKU36 to the EKU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
94.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Matt Wilcox Jr. for 18 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.5%
Kyeandre Magloire run for no gain to the Lvile 46Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+17
94.6%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Matt Wilcox Jr. for 17 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
94.1%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 5 yds to the Lvile 24Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
94.1%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+2
94.3%
Parker McKinney run for 2 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
92.9%
Patrick Nations 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:3993% → 97%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
93.3%
Trevion Cooley run for 6 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+8
93.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 8 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
93.4%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 42Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
93.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 3 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+21
93.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Josh Johnson for 21 yds to the EKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
93.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Josh Johnson for 20 yds to the EKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
93.6%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the EKent 14Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
93.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the EKent 7Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+2
93.2%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the EKent 5Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+2
92.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the EKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds for a TD (Jason Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.6%
Parker McKinney run for 5 yds to the EKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:534% → 4%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Bryant Johnson for no gain to the EKent 25Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.8%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 2 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
95.8%
Parker McKinney run for 9 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
95.7%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Mo Edwards Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 35Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+9
95.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Matt Wilcox Jr. for 9 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-1
95.5%
Kyeandre Magloire run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 43Similar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
95.8%
Phillip Richards punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:0196% → 97%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
96.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 7 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+24
96.6%
Jalen Mitchell run for 24 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
96.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 1 yd to the EKent 48Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+3
96.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the EKent 45Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
96.9%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the EKent 45Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 6
OPP 45
-5
96.7%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 11
50
0
96.6%
Mark Vassett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:184% → 4%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
95.9%
Parker McKinney run for 17 yds to the EKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
95.8%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
96.0%
Parker McKinney run for 4 yds to the EKent 31Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+1
96.1%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 1 yd to the EKent 32Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
96.4%
Phillip Richards punt for 42 yds , Braden Smith returns for no gain to the Lvile 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 1:0297% → 99%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+40
96.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 40 yds to the EKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
97.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the EKent 30Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+30
98.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 30 yds for a TD (Jason Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 17INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:252% → 1%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.5%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Matt Wilcox Jr. for 3 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
98.6%
Parker McKinney pass intercepted return for no gain to the EKent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:2799% → 100%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 3 yds to the EKent 43Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
98.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 8 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
98.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 36Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+4
98.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+5
99.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+17
98.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 17 yds to the EKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.0%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the EKent 7Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
99.1%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the EKent 10Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.1%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
99.9%
Jason Turner 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Cord Sandberg pass complete to Matt Wilcox Jr. for 12 yds to the EKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
99.9%
Kyeandre Magloire run for 22 yds to the LOUISVILLE 41 for a 1ST down EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mo Edwards Jr.) to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 11
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 3 yds to the EKent 39Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Parker McKinney sacked by Ashton Gillotte for 0 yards to the EKent 33Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Ethan Bednarczyk for 9 yds to the EKent 42Similar
Q4 11:28
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Phillip Richards punt for 51 yds, downed at the Lvile 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20Uncategorized
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
99.9%
Trevion Cooley run for 3 yds to the Lvile 10Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
99.9%
COOLEY, Trevion rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the LOU11 (FORD, Elijah;BAILEY, Kyle). PENALTY LOU Holding on REID, Trevor enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the LOU10 to the LOU5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 12
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:390% → 0%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.9%
MCKINNEY, Parker pass to the right incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Jayden thrown to the EKU30. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on CLARK, Kei'Trel enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards from the EKU30 to the EKU30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Parker McKinney run for 1 yd to the EKent 31Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+12
99.9%
Parker McKinney run for 12 yds to the EKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 15 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Khalil Arnold run for 1 yd to the Lvile 41Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Parker McKinney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-5
99.9%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jr. John Blunt) to the Lvile 46Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Parker McKinney pass complete to Reece Adkins for 5 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Phillip Richards punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Braden Smith at the Lvile 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+7
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
Evan Conley pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 6 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Evan Conley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Evan Conley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Mark Vassett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
Cord Sandberg run for 5 yds to the EKent 24Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Cord Sandberg pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 8 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
100.0%
Braedon Sloan run for 13 yds to the EKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Jeriah Hightower run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:47
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds for a TD (Jason Turner KICK)
+3.7
TD · Q3 5:32
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 30 yds for a TD (Jason Turner KICK)
+1.6
PUNT · Q2 10:15
Phillip Richards punt for 36 yds , Braden Smith returns for 49 yds for a TD
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com