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NIU

Northern Illinois 22 at Georgia Tech 21

GT
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:27 · D.Shanahan punts 55 yards to NIL End Zone, Center-C.Long. Touchback.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+10.6Home team on offense−12.7Garbage-time factor−5.4Score differential−3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:59: J.Yates pass complete to NIL 22. Catch made by K.McGowan at NIL 22. Gain of 22 yards. K.McGowan for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — GT win probability +13.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 7:48: D.Smith rushed to NIL End Zone for 15 yards. D.Smith for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — GT win probability +27.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:39: J.Yates rushed to NIL End Zone for 4 yards. J.Yates for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — GT win probability +22.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:44: R.Lombardi pass complete to GT 3. Catch made by C.Ratkovich at GT 3. Gain of 3 yards. C.Ratkovich for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — NIU win probability +65.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:30: J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates pass incomplete intended for K.McGowan. PENALTY on NIL-NIL, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, accepted. No Play. — GT win probability +22.1 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9NIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 13:50NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:11GT 4th & 3 at NIU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    88.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:44GT 4th & 3 at NIU 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.3%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:45GT 4th & 11 at NIU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:58NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:54GT 4th & 6 at GT 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:06NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:56NIU 4th & 8 at NIU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−2.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:49GT 4th & 2 at NIU 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−3.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−16.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:17NIU 4th & 4 at GT 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:17GT 4th & 1 at GT 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.7%−5.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:27GT 4th & 16 at GT 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−4.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:16NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 27, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:48GT 4th & 1 at NIU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−4.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−18.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:24NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 26, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:52GT 4th & 6 at GT 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 2:05NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:29NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:59GT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:48GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.9
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:39GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−1.6
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:44NIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.5 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.2%−2.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1010% → 10%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.5%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 26.Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
90.3%
R.Lombardi steps back to pass. R.Lombardi pass incomplete intended for NIL.Similar
Q1 14:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
90.3%
R.Lombardi steps back to pass. R.Lombardi pass incomplete intended for T.Rudolph.Similar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+33
90.2%
M.Ference punts 33 yards to GT 41, Center-E.Abrell. A.Rey returned punt from the GT 41. Tackled by NIL at GT 41.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3090% → 90%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
90.1%
J.Gibbs rushed to GT 47 for 6 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 47.Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
90.1%
J.Sims steps back to pass. J.Sims pass incomplete intended for K.McGowan.Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+8
90.1%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 45 for 8 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 45.Similar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
90.1%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 37 for 8 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 37.Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 2
OPP 37
-5
90.0%
J.Sims steps back to pass. J.Sims sacked at NIL 42 for -5 yards (NIL)Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+3
89.7%
J.Sims pass complete to NIL 42. Catch made by M.Carter at NIL 42. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 39.Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
89.5%
J.Sims steps back to pass. J.Sims pass incomplete intended for K.McGowan.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:1489% → 88%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
88.7%
J.Sims rushed to GT 29 for 0 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 29.Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+14
88.6%
J.Sims rushed to GT 43 for 14 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 43.Similar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
88.7%
J.Sims pass complete to GT 43. Catch made by A.Sanders at GT 43. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 48.Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+3
88.6%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 49 for 3 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 49.Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+16
88.4%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 33 for 16 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 33.Similar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
88.5%
K.McGowan rushed to NIL 31 for 2 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 31.Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
88.4%
J.Sims steps back to pass. J.Sims pass incomplete intended for J.Gibbs.Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+5
88.2%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 26 for 5 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 26.Similar
Q1 5:44
4TH & 3
OPP 26
0
87.8%
B.Cimaglia 43 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-C.Long, Holder-A.Kent.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:3313% → 17%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
87.5%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 35 for 9 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 35.Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
87.1%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 41 for 6 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 41.Similar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
86.8%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 43 for 2 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 43.Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+9
86.5%
H.Waylee rushed to GT 48 for 9 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 48.Similar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
86.3%
H.Waylee rushed to GT 46 for 2 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 46.Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
86.0%
C.Ratkovich rushed to GT 46 for 0 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 46.Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+11
85.6%
R.Lombardi pass complete to GT 46. Catch made by C.Tucker at GT 46. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 35.Similar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
82.7%
H.Waylee rushed to GT End Zone for 35 yards. H.Waylee for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5MISSED FG
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:0584% → 83%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+28
83.7%
J.Sims rushed to NIL 33 for 28 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 33.Similar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
84.4%
J.Sims steps back to pass. J.Sims pass incomplete intended for N.McCollum.Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
84.3%
J.Sims steps back to pass. J.Sims sacked at NIL 34 for -1 yards (NIL)Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
83.4%
J.Sims steps back to pass. J.Sims pass incomplete intended for K.McGowan.Similar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 11
OPP 34
0
82.6%
B.Cimaglia 51 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-C.Long, Holder-A.Kent.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
15 plays · 66 yds · 5:1018% → 29%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
82.1%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 36 for 2 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 36.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
81.5%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 39 for 3 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 39.Similar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+25
80.9%
R.Lombardi pass complete to NIL 39. Catch made by T.Richie at NIL 39. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 36.Similar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
80.4%
R.Lombardi rushed to GT 27 for 9 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 27.Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+6
80.1%
H.Waylee rushed to GT 21 for 6 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 21.Similar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
79.2%
R.Lombardi steps back to pass. R.Lombardi pass incomplete intended for T.Richie. PENALTY on GT-GT, Illegal Substitution, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 5
OPP 16
+4
79.7%
C.Ratkovich rushed to GT 12 for 4 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 12.Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+1
79.5%
C.Ratkovich rushed to GT 11 for 1 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 11.Similar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
78.9%
H.Waylee rushed to GT 8 for 3 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 8.Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
78.2%
H.Waylee rushed to GT 3 for 5 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 3.Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
78.3%
R.Lombardi rushed to GT 1 for 2 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 1.Similar
Q2 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
77.7%
R.Lombardi rushed to GT 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 1.Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
77.2%
PENALTY on NIL-B.Bostad, False Start, 4 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
70.7%
R.Lombardi pass complete to GT 5. Catch made by M.Joiner at GT 5. Gain of 5 yards. M.Joiner for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:0972% → 72%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
72.2%
J.Mason rushed to GT 34 for 5 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 34.Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
71.9%
J.Mason rushed to GT 41 for 7 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 41.Similar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
72.1%
J.Sims pass complete to GT 41. J.Sims pass incomplete intended for K.McGowan. PENALTY on NIL-NIL, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+13
72.0%
J.Sims pass complete to GT 46. Catch made by M.Carter at GT 46. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 41.Similar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
71.9%
J.Sims rushed to NIL 43 for -2 yards. J.Sims FUMBLES, forced by NIL. Fumble RECOVERED by NIL-NIL at NIL 43. Tackled by GT at NIL 43.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5732% → 33%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
68.2%
R.Lombardi steps back to pass. R.Lombardi pass incomplete intended for M.Toure.Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
68.1%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 45 for 2 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 45.Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+6
67.1%
R.Lombardi rushed to GT 49 for 6 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 49. PENALTY on NIL-NIL, Illegal Motion, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+5
67.1%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 45 for 5 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 45.Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 8
OWN 45
+52
66.6%
M.Ference punts 52 yards to GT 3, Center-E.Abrell. Downed by NIL.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 5:5566% → 72%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
66.2%
J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates pass incomplete intended for M.Carter.Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+1
64.7%
J.Mason rushed to GT 4 for 1 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 4.Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
60.5%
J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates pass incomplete intended for D.Leonard.Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
60.3%
J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates pass incomplete intended for J.Gibbs.Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+11
59.2%
J.Yates scrambles to NIL 22 for 11 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 22.Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
72.4%
J.Yates pass complete to NIL 22. Catch made by K.McGowan at NIL 22. Gain of 22 yards. K.McGowan for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10END OF HALF
15 plays · 58 yds · 4:1272% → 72%
Q2 5:43
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+12
72.3%
J.Mason rushed to GT 16 for 12 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 16.Similar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
73.3%
J.Mason rushed to GT 21 for 5 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 21.Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+12
73.3%
J.Yates pass complete to GT 21. Catch made by M.Carter at GT 21. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 33.Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
73.1%
J.Yates rushed to GT 36 for 3 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 36.Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-3
73.2%
J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates sacked at GT 33 for -3 yards (NIL)Similar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+12
70.9%
J.Yates scrambles to GT 45 for 12 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 45.Similar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
73.0%
J.Gibbs rushed to GT 47 for 2 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 47.Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
72.8%
J.Yates rushed to NIL 46 for 7 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 46.Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
72.6%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 44 for 2 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 44.Similar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
72.3%
J.Yates pass complete to NIL 44. Catch made by J.Gibbs at NIL 44. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 37.Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+4
71.7%
J.Yates pass complete to NIL 37. Catch made by P.Harris at NIL 37. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0267% → 64%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
66.9%
J.Yates scrambles to GT 28 for 2 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 28.Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
66.4%
J.Gibbs rushed to GT 30 for 2 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 30.Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
65.0%
J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates pass incomplete intended for M.Carter.Similar
Q3 13:54
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+40
63.8%
D.Shanahan punts 40 yards to NIL 30, Center-C.Long. Fair catch by C.Tucker.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4237% → 39%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
62.9%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 34 for 4 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 34.Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
61.3%
C.Ratkovich rushed to NIL 35 for 1 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 35.Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+2
61.6%
R.Lombardi pass complete to NIL 35. Catch made by C.Ratkovich at NIL 35. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 37.Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+53
61.4%
M.Ference punts 53 yards to GT 10, Center-E.Abrell. A.Rey returned punt from the GT 10. A.Rey FUMBLES, forced by NIL. Fumble RECOVERED by NIL-NIL at GT 10. Tackled by GT at GT 10. PENALTY on NIL-NIL, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13PUNT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q3 11:56
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+35
62.7%
M.Ference punts 35 yards to GT 33, Center-E.Abrell. Fair catch by T.Swilling.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:5963% → 60%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
63.1%
J.Gibbs rushed to GT 45 for 12 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 45.Similar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
64.5%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 36 for 19 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 36.Similar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
65.2%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 33 for 3 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 33.Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+4
66.1%
J.Mason rushed to NIL 29 for 4 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 29.Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+24
64.1%
J.Mason rushed to NIL 5 for 24 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 5.Similar
Q3 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
65.4%
J.Mason rushed to NIL 2 for 3 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 2.Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
64.7%
J.Mason rushed to NIL 3 for -1 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 3.Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
62.5%
J.Yates pass complete to NIL 3. Catch made by J.Gibbs at NIL 3. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 2.Similar
Q3 7:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
59.7%
J.Yates pass complete to NIL 2. Catch made by K.McGowan at NIL 2. Gain of yards. K.McGowan for yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion and the play was overturned. J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates pass incomplete intended for K.McGowan.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:3245% → 54%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
55.4%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 6 for 4 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 6.Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+3
54.8%
PENALTY on NIL-NIL, False Start, 3 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+20
54.8%
R.Lombardi pass complete to NIL 3. Catch made by M.Travis at NIL 3. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 23.Similar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
53.5%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 34 for 11 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 34.Similar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
50.9%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 42 for 8 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 42.Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+4
48.6%
C.Ratkovich rushed to NIL 46 for 4 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 46.Similar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
47.8%
C.Ratkovich rushed to NIL 46 for 0 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 46.Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
46.5%
H.Waylee rushed to GT 48 for 6 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 48.Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
44.5%
H.Waylee rushed to GT 48 for 0 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 48.Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+41
45.6%
M.Ference punts 41 yards to GT 7, Center-E.Abrell. T.Swilling returned punt from the GT 7. Tackled by NIL at GT 5.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
16 plays · 40 yds · 5:3750% → 38%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
50.4%
J.Mason rushed to GT 10 for 5 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 10.Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+9
50.0%
J.Yates pass complete to GT 10. Catch made by M.Carter at GT 10. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 19.Similar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
49.7%
J.Yates pass complete to GT 19. Catch made by A.Sanders at GT 19. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 23.Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
49.5%
J.Mason rushed to GT 27 for 4 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 27.Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+3
47.8%
J.Mason rushed to GT 30 for 3 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 30.Similar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
45.6%
J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates pass incomplete intended for M.Carter. PENALTY on NIL-Z.March, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
48.0%
J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates pass incomplete intended for T.Davis. PENALTY on NIL-NIL, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+4
49.2%
J.Gibbs rushed to GT 49 for 4 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 49.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-1
49.4%
J.Gibbs rushed to GT 48 for -1 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 48.Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
47.6%
J.Gibbs rushed to GT 49 for 1 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 49.Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
46.0%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 49 for 2 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 49.Similar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
47.1%
J.Yates pass complete to NIL 49. Catch made by P.Harris at NIL 49. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 45.Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
46.9%
J.Mason rushed to NIL 42 for 3 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 42.Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-13
46.0%
J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates sacked at GT 45 for -13 yards (C.Tucker) PENALTY on GT-GT, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 16
OWN 45
+55
37.6%
D.Shanahan punts 55 yards to NIL End Zone, Center-C.Long. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 12 yds · 2:0364% → 68%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+1
35.8%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 16 for 1 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 16.Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+2
35.5%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 18 for 2 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 18.Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+9
34.9%
R.Lombardi rushed to NIL 27 for 9 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 27.Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+50
32.1%
M.Ference punts 50 yards to GT 23, Center-E.Abrell. Fair catch by A.Rey.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:1935% → 67%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+53
35.1%
J.Yates pass complete to GT 23. Catch made by M.Carter at GT 23. Gain of 53 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 24.Similar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
43.3%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 24 for 0 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 24.Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
42.6%
J.Yates scrambles to NIL 20 for 4 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 20.Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+5
39.4%
J.Gibbs rushed to NIL 15 for 5 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 15.Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+15
66.5%
D.Smith rushed to NIL End Zone for 15 yards. D.Smith for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0641% → 41%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.3%
R.Lombardi steps back to pass. R.Lombardi pass incomplete intended for M.Travis.Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
59.5%
H.Waylee rushed to NIL 25 for 0 yards. H.Waylee FUMBLES, forced by W.Walker. Fumble RECOVERED by GT-Q.Jackson at NIL 25. Tackled by NIL at NIL 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:4771% → 92%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
70.5%
J.Mason rushed to NIL 10 for 15 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 10.Similar
Q4 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
70.0%
J.Mason rushed to NIL 4 for 6 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 4.Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.0%
J.Yates rushed to NIL End Zone for 4 yards. J.Yates for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0813% → 11%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.5%
C.Ratkovich rushed to NIL 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 28.Similar
Q4 5:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
86.6%
T.Richie rushed to NIL 18 for -10 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 18.Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+8
89.0%
R.Lombardi pass complete to NIL 18. Catch made by C.Ratkovich at NIL 18. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by GT at NIL 26.Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+40
89.5%
M.Ference punts 40 yards to GT 34, Center-E.Abrell. T.Swilling returned punt from the GT 34. Tackled by NIL at GT 33.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2093% → 93%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
93.0%
J.Gibbs rushed to GT 33 for 0 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 33.Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
93.3%
J.Gibbs rushed to GT 35 for 2 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 35.Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+2
93.1%
J.Yates pass complete to GT 35. Catch made by M.Carter at GT 35. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 37.Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+63
93.2%
D.Shanahan punts 63 yards to NIL End Zone, Center-C.Long. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:5812% → 82%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+39
88.5%
R.Lombardi pass complete to NIL 20. Catch made by T.Richie at NIL 20. Gain of 39 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 41.Similar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
84.7%
R.Lombardi steps back to pass. R.Lombardi pass incomplete intended for T.Richie.Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
85.1%
R.Lombardi steps back to pass. R.Lombardi pass incomplete intended for M.Travis.Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+16
85.8%
R.Lombardi pass complete to GT 41. Catch made by H.Waylee at GT 41. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 25.Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
81.1%
H.Waylee rushed to GT 14 for 11 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 14.Similar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
81.1%
H.Waylee rushed to GT 12 for 2 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 12.Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
81.0%
R.Lombardi rushed to GT 9 for 3 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 9.Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+6
83.6%
R.Lombardi pass complete to GT 9. Catch made by E.Hampton at GT 9. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by GT at GT 3.Similar
Q4 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
18.2%
R.Lombardi pass complete to GT 3. Catch made by C.Ratkovich at GT 3. Gain of 3 yards. C.Ratkovich for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24BLOCKED FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:2940% → 34%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.4%
J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates pass incomplete intended for K.McGowan. PENALTY on NIL-NIL, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
44.2%
J.Yates steps back to pass. J.Yates pass incomplete intended for A.Sanders.Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
41.8%
J.Yates pass complete to GT 40. Catch made by J.Gibbs at GT 40. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by NIL at GT 49.Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+8
36.1%
J.Yates pass complete to GT 49. Catch made by A.Rey at GT 49. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by NIL at NIL 43.Similar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
34.1%
B.Cimaglia 60 yard field goal attempt is blocked, Center-C.Long, Holder-A.Kent. M.Kennedy blocked the kick.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:44
R.Lombardi pass complete to GT 3. Catch made by C.Ratkovich at GT 3. Gain of 3 yards. C.Ratkovich for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-65.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-34.1
TD · Q4 7:48
D.Smith rushed to NIL End Zone for 15 yards. D.Smith for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+27.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com