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COLG

Colgate 0 at Boston College 51

BC
2021 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2021 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadCOLG aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreCOLG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:42 · Shelby Pruett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Pregame prior+39.6Home team on offense+15.0Score differential+11.6Blowout margin+0.8Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:50: Trae Barry 51 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Danny Longman Kick) — BC win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:42: Zay Flowers 39 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Danny Longman PAT failed) — BC win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:20: Jaden Williams 10 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Danny Longman Kick) — BC win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 1 of 3COLG made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:29COLG 4th & 13 at COLG 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:23BC 4th & 4 at BC 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:40COLG 4th & 7 at BC 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:04BC 4th & 10 at BC 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:28COLG 4th & 13 at COLG 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:14COLG 4th & 1 at COLG 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:42COLG 4th & 8 at COLG 49, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:54COLG 4th & 9 at COLG 39, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:12BC 4th & 4 at COLG 7, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:19COLG 4th & 1 at BC 34, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:24COLG 4th & 6 at COLG 29, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:39COLG 4th & 4 at BC 49, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:40BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:50BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:42BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:20BC Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:10BC Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:53BC Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:58BC Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1299% → 99%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
99.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 33 yds to the Colg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.0%
Travis Levy run for 6 yds to the Colg 36Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+17
99.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 17 yds to the Colg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
98.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Joey Luchetti for 5 yds to the Colg 14Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+7
98.9%
Travis Levy run for 7 yds to the Colg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
98.9%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the Colg 3Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
Travis Levy 3 Yd Run (Danny Longman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 3:071% → 1%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Grant Breneman run for no gain to the Colg 25Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.8%
Grant Breneman pass complete to William Parker for 14 yds to the Colg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.8%
Max Hurleman run for 4 yds to the Colg 43Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-3
98.7%
Max Hurleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colg 40Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-4
98.7%
Grant Breneman sacked by Cam Horsley for a loss of 4 yards to the Colg 36Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+3
98.7%
Shelby Pruett punt for 41 yds , Travis Levy returns for 3 yds to the BC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:5999% → 99%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
98.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaden Williams for 14 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
98.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
98.6%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
98.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaden WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
98.5%
Grant Carlson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Garrett Oakey at the Colg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:372% → 2%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
98.5%
Grant Breneman run for 2 yds to the Colg 13Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+11
98.5%
Myles Bradley run for 11 yds to the Colg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
98.4%
Max Hurleman run for 1 yd to the Colg 25Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+23
98.3%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Max Hurleman for 23 yds to the Colg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
98.2%
Max Hurleman run for 3 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
98.1%
Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Joshua SzottSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
98.1%
Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Garrett OakeySimilar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
98.2%
Shelby Pruett punt for 24 yds, downed at the BC 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3198% → 98%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaden WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Joey LuchettiSimilar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Trae BarrySimilar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Grant Carlson punt for 65 yds, downed at the Colg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 4:322% → 2%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
98.1%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Joshua Szott for 7 yds to the Colg 17Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+5
98.0%
Max Hurleman run for 5 yds to the Colg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
97.9%
Grant Breneman run for 9 yds to the Colg 31Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
97.8%
Max Hurleman run for 5 yds to the Colg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.7%
Grant Breneman run for 3 yds to the Colg 39Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
97.6%
Brendan Cassamajor run for 2 yds to the Colg 41Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-8
97.6%
Grant Breneman sacked by Shitta Sillah for a loss of 8 yards to the Colg 33Similar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+8
97.6%
Shelby Pruett punt for 42 yds , Travis Levy returns for 8 yds to the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:3398% → 98%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
97.6%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-2
97.6%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 34Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+14
97.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 14 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
97.5%
Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the BC 49Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+51
98.2%
Trae Barry 51 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Danny Longman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:332% → 2%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
97.9%
Brendan Cassamajor run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colg 22Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
97.8%
Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Joshua SzottSimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+12
97.9%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Max Hurleman for 12 yds to the Colg 34Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.8%
Shelby Pruett punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:2798% → 99%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
98.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Xavier Coleman for 7 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+12
98.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 12 yds to the Colg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the Colg 39Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
98.8%
Zay Flowers 39 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Danny Longman PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:561% → 1%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.8%
Grant Breneman run for 3 yds to the Colg 38Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+9
98.8%
Grant Breneman run for 9 yds to the Colg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
98.8%
Max Hurleman run for 2 yds to the Colg 49Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
98.7%
Grant Breneman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
98.8%
Max Hurleman run for no gain to the Colg 49Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
98.8%
Shelby Pruett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 3:1799% → 100%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
98.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+9
98.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 9 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
98.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 8 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+2
98.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Trae BarrySimilar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
98.9%
Zay Flowers run for 1 yd to the BC 34Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+31
98.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 31 yds to the Colg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
99.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 10 yds to the Colg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
99.1%
Jurkovec, Phil pass incomplete to Williams, Jaden, PENALTY COLGATE pass interference 15 yards to the COLGATE10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTONCOLL.Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.6%
Jaden Williams 10 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Danny Longman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
John Cox run for 5 yds to the Colg 30Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.6%
John Cox run for 4 yds to the Colg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:001% → 0%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Garrett Oakey run for 4 yds to the Colg 29Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
99.3%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Myles Bradley for 9 yds to the Colg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.2%
Max Hurleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colg 37Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-6
99.4%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Max Hurleman for a loss of 6 yards to the Colg 31Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 17
OWN 31
+8
99.8%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Myles Bradley for 8 yds to the Colg 39Similar
Q3 11:54
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Shelby Pruett punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14FG
16 plays · 73 yds · 7:37100% → 100%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.7%
Xavier Coleman run for 6 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
99.8%
Xavier Coleman run for 3 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 2 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.8%
Xavier Coleman run for 1 yd to the BC 32Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+20
99.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 20 yds to the Colg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.8%
Xavier Coleman run for 1 yd to the Colg 47Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-10
99.8%
Jurkovec, Phil pass complete to Johnson, Taji for 21 yards to the COLGATE26, PENALTY BOSTONCOLL holding 10 yards to the BOSTONCOLL43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 19
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 19
OWN 43
+26
99.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 26 yds to the Colg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.8%
Travis Levy run for 8 yds to the Colg 23Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+1
99.8%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Colg 22Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+9
99.8%
Phil Jurkovec run for 9 yds to the Colg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds to the Colg 9Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the Colg 7Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
99.9%
Danny Longman 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 15INT
10 plays · 49 yds · 4:080% → 0%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Joshua Szott for 6 yds to the Colg 31Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+26
99.9%
Max Hurleman run for 11 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Grant Breneman run for 3 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Grant Breneman pass complete to William Parker for 4 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
Joshua Szott run for 2 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 1:19
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Grant Breneman run for 3 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Grant Breneman run for 5 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Myles BradleySimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Grant Breneman pass intercepted, touchback. Mike Palmer return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 6 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
99.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 16 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+41
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 41 yds to the Colg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds to the Colg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Pat Garwo III 2 Yd Run (Danny Longman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 17INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-22
99.9%
Jahmin Muse 22 Yd Interception Return (Connor Lytton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Brendan Cassamajor run for 1 yd to the Colg 26Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Harry Kirk run for 3 yds to the Colg 29Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Harry Kirk pass incomplete to Rory BoosSimilar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Shelby Pruett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kobay White at the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:21100% → 100%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 9 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Peter Stehr run for 5 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
99.9%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 43Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+25
99.9%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Kobay White for 25 yds to the Colg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Brendan Smith for 4 yds to the Colg 28Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+12
99.9%
Dennis Grosel run for 12 yds to the Colg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
99.9%
Peter Stehr run for 7 yds to the Colg 9Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 3
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+7
99.9%
Grosel, Dennis pass incomplete to Galloway, Jehlani, PENALTY COLGATE pass interference 7 yards to the COLGATE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTONCOLL.Similar
Q4 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Peter Stehr 2 Yd Run (Connor Lytton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:560% → 0%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Brendan Cassamajor run for 4 yds to the Colg 24Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
100.0%
Rory Boos run for 8 yds to the Colg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
100.0%
Harry Kirk pass complete to Ryan Cekay for 7 yds to the Colg 39Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
Brendan Cassamajor run for 6 yds to the Colg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
Brendan Cassamajor run for 4 yds to the Colg 49Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
Brendan Cassamajor run for 2 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Harry Kirk pass incomplete to Rory BoosSimilar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Shelby Pruett punt for 42 yds, downed at the BC 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
100.0%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jacob Kraft for 7 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 3
OWN 14
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 12Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 5
OWN 12
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:42
Zay Flowers 39 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Danny Longman PAT failed)
+0.9
TD · Q2 10:50
Trae Barry 51 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Danny Longman Kick)
+0.7
TD · Q2 1:20
Jaden Williams 10 Yd pass from Phil Jurkovec (Danny Longman Kick)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com