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UTEP

UTEP 25 at UAB 42

UAB
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2021 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:53 · Joshua Sloan punt for 25 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+13.3Home team on offense−3.9Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:41: Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +12.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:25: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +7.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:01: Jacob Cowing 30 Yd pass from Gavin Hardison (Jeremy Flores Run for Two-Point Conversion) — UTEP win probability +16.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:00: Jermaine Brown Jr. 10 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick) — UAB win probability +13.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:52: Gerrit Prince 15 Yd pass from Dylan Hopkins (Matt Quinn Kick) — UAB win probability +8.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UTEP made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 14:09UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:31UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:35UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:24UTEP 4th & 21 at UTEP 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:44UTEP 4th & 2 at UAB 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:15UAB 4th & 1 at UTEP 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    66.3%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−8.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:08UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:43UAB 4th & 16 at UAB 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:59UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:59UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:57UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:05UTEP 4th & 2 at UAB 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%−0.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−7.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:29UTEP 4th & 7 at UAB 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:01UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−1.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:53UTEP 4th & 20 at UTEP 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−4.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:06UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:09UAB 4th & 17 at UTEP 39, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 4:50UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:07UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:42UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:15UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:41UAB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:25UAB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:01UTEP Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    26.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:00UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:52UAB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5180% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
80.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 6 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
80.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Lucious StanleySimilar
Q1 14:09
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
80.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:3820% → 20%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
50
-10
79.9%
Hardison,Gavin rush for 4 yards gain to the UAB46, End Of Play PENALTY TEP Holding (Lee,Darta) 10 yards from UAB50 to TEP40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
80.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+3
80.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 3 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 17
OWN 43
-5
80.0%
PENALTY TEP False Start (Smith,Tyrin) 5 yards from TEP43 to TEP38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 22
OWN 38
+7
80.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 7 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
79.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5680% → 79%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
79.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 4 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+1
79.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 5
OWN 23
-3
79.5%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Tyrice Knight for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
78.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Justin Garrett at the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 3:1121% → 22%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
79.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 3 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+6
78.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 6 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+1
78.8%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
78.8%
PENALTY TEP Delay Of Game (Hardison,Gavin) 5 yards from TEP39 to TEP34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 15
OWN 34
0
79.0%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+5
79.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
79.0%
UTEP Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Gavin Hardison) to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 21
OWN 28
0
78.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:3479% → 81%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
78.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to A.J. Davis IV for 9 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
78.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
78.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+8
78.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 8 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+5
78.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
80.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 17 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:4320% → 26%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
79.9%
PENALTY UAB UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Miller,Damon) 15 yards from TEP25 to TEP40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
79.6%
PENALTY UAB Offside (Turner,Tyree) 5 yards from TEP40 to TEP45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+5
79.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
50
+6
79.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 6 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+11
79.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 11 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
78.9%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+15
78.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 15 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
78.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+1
78.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UAB 10Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 2
OPP 10
0
79.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+3
79.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 3 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
73.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 7 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 3:1826% → 33%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
74.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
74.2%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
74.2%
Jacob Cowing run for 9 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+19
73.9%
Deion Hankins run for 19 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
73.9%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
66.9%
Deion Hankins run for 11 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2769% → 76%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+69
69.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 67 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Praise Amaewhule) to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
71.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.7%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.9%
PENALTY TEP Offside (Tonga'uiha,Sione). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.9%
Gerrit Prince run for no gain to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:0127% → 27%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.2%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
73.1%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
73.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q2 9:09
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
74.0%
PENALTY TEP Delay Of Game (Sloan,Joshua) 5 yards from TEP32 to TEP27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
73.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2575% → 73%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
74.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-10
74.5%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Blake Thompson for a loss of 10 yards to the UAB 20 Dylan Hopkins fumbled, recovered by UAB Andrew Smith Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+4
73.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
72.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4430% → 30%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-9
69.9%
Gavin Hardison sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 19
OWN 32
+12
71.6%
Deion Hankins run for 12 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
70.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
70.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 10Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
70.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0272% → 70%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
72.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+3
72.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+2
71.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 7
OWN 8
0
69.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14FG
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:5234% → 40%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
65.6%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
65.2%
Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+2
66.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
65.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-15
65.5%
Hardison,Gavin pass incomplete to Smith,Tyrin PENALTY TEP Chop Block (Klein,Elijah) 15 yards from UAB20 to UAB35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 25
OPP 35
+2
66.8%
Reynaldo Flores run for 2 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 23
OPP 33
+21
68.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 21 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
60.3%
Gavin Baechle 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
63.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 22 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:3137% → 38%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
63.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Deion Hankins for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
62.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+17
63.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 17 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
61.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
61.4%
Gavin Hardison run for 3 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
61.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:29
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
62.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2863% → 60%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
62.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+1
62.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+2
61.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 2 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
59.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 56 yds , Justin Garrett returns for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:0839% → 38%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
61.4%
Deion Hankins run for 10 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
61.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
63.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin SmithSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
62.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:1265% → 79%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
65.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 18 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
66.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+20
66.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 20 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20TD
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:1079% → 86%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
79.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+5
79.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 5 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+4
78.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
78.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
78.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:1915% → 35%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
85.0%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+13
84.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 13 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
84.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 10 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
83.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 12 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
82.6%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+10
82.6%
Deion Hankins run for 10 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
81.2%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+30
65.2%
Jacob Cowing 30 Yd pass from Gavin Hardison (Jeremy Flores Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 5:5571% → 90%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
71.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 5 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+4
71.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+4
71.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
71.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 10 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
73.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 12 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
74.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 6 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 49
+8
72.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 8 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+8
74.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to A.J. Davis IV for 8 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
76.0%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tyrice Knight) to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
76.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
76.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
89.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. 10 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
97.5%
Gerrit Prince 15 Yd pass from Dylan Hopkins (Matt Quinn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:384% → 3%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 4:5797% → 98%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+30
97.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 30 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
97.6%
A.J. Gates run for 6 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+5
97.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
97.7%
UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 16
OPP 38
-10
97.6%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Tyrice Knight for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 26
OPP 48
+10
97.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 10 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 16
OPP 38
+1
97.5%
Dylan Hopkins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 4:09
4TH & 17
OPP 39
0
98.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:342% → 2%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
98.1%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+15
98.1%
Hardison,Gavin pass incomplete to Cowing,Jacob PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Lanier,Xavier) 15 yards from TEP09 to TEP24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
97.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 7 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+15
97.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 15 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
97.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 6
50
-10
97.7%
Hardison,Gavin pass incomplete QB hurried by McWilliams,Fish PENALTY TEP Holding (Lee,Darta) 10 yards from TEP50 to TEP40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+7
98.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 7 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
98.1%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:3599% → 99%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
98.9%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 15
OWN 18
-1
98.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 17Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 17
-1
99.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:01
Jacob Cowing 30 Yd pass from Gavin Hardison (Jeremy Flores Run for Two-Point Conversion)
-16
TD · Q4 11:00
Jermaine Brown Jr. 10 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)
+13.5
TD · Q3 8:41
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
+12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com