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UTSA

UTSA 23 at North Texas 45

UNT
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:46 · Josh Adkins pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 15 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense+34.3Pregame prior−5.9Score differential+27.3Garbage-time factor+10.5Blowout margin+15.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:32: DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +7.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:20: Frank Harris run for 69 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +7.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 5:17: Ikaika Ragsdale run for 15 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +10.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:04: DeAndre Torrey run for 19 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +14.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:52: Ikaika Ragsdale run for 10 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +16.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:09UNT 4th & 8 at UTSA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:46UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:13UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:05UTSA 4th & 2 at UNT 12, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    60.2%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:23UTSA 4th & 7 at UNT 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−7.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:44UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:31UTSA 4th & 2 at UNT 33, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.1%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:45UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 24, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−3.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:45UNT 4th & 1 at UTSA 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    75.5%−4.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:01UTSA 4th & 17 at UTSA 18, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:46UTSA 4th & 8 at UNT 35, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:35UTSA 4th & 25 at UNT 25, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    6% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:26UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 27, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:13UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:32UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:20UTSA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:17UNT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:04UNT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:52UNT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:52UNT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:48UTSA Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:5124% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
24.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 22 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
24.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 7 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+12
24.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 12 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
24.3%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
24.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
24.3%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:09
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
26.0%
Ethan Mooney 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:4726% → 29%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
26.3%
AUNE, Austin pass to the left incomplete intended for PIRTLE, Jason thrown to the TSA9. PENALTY TSA Pass Interference on HENRY, DeQuarius enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the TSA11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
26.8%
Austin Aune run for 6 yds to the TexSA 5Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+4
26.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
26.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 2Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
28.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2772% → 71%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.8%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
27.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
27.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
29.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 63 yds, downed at the NoTex 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3329% → 30%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
29.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Khatib Lyles for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 2Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
29.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 2Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 11
OWN 2
0
28.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 11
OWN 2
+9
30.0%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 42 yds , Cade Stoever returns for 9 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:0871% → 68%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
29.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 15 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
29.3%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
29.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+6
29.8%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
31.6%
Hunter Duplessis 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:3932% → 35%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
32.3%
Bryson Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 24Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
32.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 14 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
32.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
32.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
32.2%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+19
31.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 19 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
33.3%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
33.2%
Austin Aune run for no gain to the TexSA 48Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+4
34.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 4 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:4436% → 43%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
35.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
35.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the TexSA 7Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
35.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the TexSA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
43.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 5:0959% → 57%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
40.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
40.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+3
40.2%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
40.2%
Frank Harris sacked for 0 yards to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
41.3%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
41.5%
HARRIS, Frank pass to the left incomplete intended for CEPHUS, Joshua thrown to the UNT25. PENALTY TSA Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on ROLFE, Brandon UNT Pass Interference on DAVIS, Tyreke , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+18
41.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 18 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
39.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
39.1%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+7
39.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
39.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
39.1%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
39.5%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
42.6%
Hunter Duplessis 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3946% → 46%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
45.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Roderic Burns) to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
45.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
44.9%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-3
46.1%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 42 yds , Cade Stoever returns for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:2455% → 63%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
45.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+69
37.5%
Frank Harris run for 69 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 2:3440% → 56%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
40.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 26 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
42.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+6
42.5%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
42.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+4
42.5%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+13
44.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 13 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
45.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
55.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 15 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:2145% → 42%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
54.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 15 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
53.6%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
54.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Leroy Watson for 2 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-6
58.1%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 25 fumbled, recovered by NoTex Gabriel MurphySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:5258% → 73%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
58.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+19
72.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 19 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 2:3333% → 34%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
66.3%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
67.0%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the TexSA 36 fumbled, recovered by TexSA Frank Harris for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
66.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+16
64.6%
Frank Harris run for 16 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
62.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 8 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
61.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
62.5%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+1
66.3%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the NoTex 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1528% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
72.0%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
72.4%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
72.8%
Josh Adkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:45
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
74.4%
Lucas Dean punt for 46 yds, downed at the NoTex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 5:5378% → 96%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
78.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 6 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
78.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
79.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 9 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+7
79.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
79.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
79.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
78.5%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 13:45
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
77.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
79.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 11 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
79.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+8
79.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 8 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
79.2%
run for no gain to the TexSA 10 fumbled, recovered by NoTex Austin AuneSimilar
Q3 7:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 10 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:325% → 5%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 11 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.6%
Josh Adkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
94.6%
ADKINS, Josh pass to the right incomplete intended for CARDENAS, Oscar thrown to the TSA42; QB hurried by DAVIS, KD. PENALTY TSA Holding on HART, Makai enforced 10 yards from the TSA36 to the TSA26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 20
OWN 26
0
93.1%
Josh Adkins sacked by Gabriel Murphy for 0 yards to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 31
OWN 15
0
93.6%
Josh Adkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 31
OWN 15
0
94.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds , Roderic Burns returns for no gain to the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:2897% → 99%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
96.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
96.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
96.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
96.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+42
99.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 42 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.7%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
98.4%
Josh Adkins sacked by Caleb Colvin for 0 yards to the TexSA 24Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
98.7%
Josh Adkins sacked by Grayson Murphy for 0 yards to the TexSA 18Similar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.5%
Lucas Dean punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:1599% → 100%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
99.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+2
99.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+11
99.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 11 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.5%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
99.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Khatib Lyles for 3 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+4
99.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Bryson Jackson for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the TexSA 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+48
99.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Khatib Lyles for 48 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.6%
Austin Aune run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 3 fumbled, recovered by TexSA Denzel FeasterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:110% → 0%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.7%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the TexSA 7Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+56
99.7%
Brenden Brady run for 56 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.6%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Josh Adkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Josh Adkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+15
99.6%
Josh Adkins pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 15 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
99.6%
B.J. Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
99.6%
ADKINS, Josh pass to the right incomplete intended for CLARK, De'Corian thrown to the UNT0. PENALTY UNT Pass Interference on GADDIE, DeShawn enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the UNT8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
99.6%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Block below the waist on STOEVER, Cade enforced (Cade Stoever) to the NoTex 21Similar
Q4 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 21
+3
99.6%
Josh Adkins run for 3 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
99.6%
Josh Adkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Josh Adkins sacked by Grayson Murphy for 0 yards to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 25
+42
99.9%
Hunter Duplessis 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 54 yds · 4:48100% → 100%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 13 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 9 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+10
99.8%
Austin Aune run for 10 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
99.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+15
99.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 15 yds to the TexSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for no gain to the TexSA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 0:590% → 1%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 7 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
99.4%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Tre'Von Bradley for 67 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:2299% → 100%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Keith Jackson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.3%
Keith Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.3%
Dawson Nobriga run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-3
99.5%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 47 yds , Cade Stoever returns for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:261% → 1%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.5%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the TexSA 10Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 22
OWN 11
+3
99.5%
Eddie Lee Marburger run for 3 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:52
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 10 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+16.7
TD · Q2 3:04
DeAndre Torrey run for 19 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+14.3
TD · Q2 5:17
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 15 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com