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WKU

Western Kentucky 53 at Marshall 21

MRSH
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
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Q4 8:30 · Luke Zban pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 3 yds to the Marsh 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 218Home team on offense−42.7Score differential−25.2Pregame prior+1.4Garbage-time factor−13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:41: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 47 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +13.2 pts (now 41%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:10: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 14 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +19.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:28: Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 50 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WKU win probability +15.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:25: Brayden Narveson 53 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +8.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:23: Luke Zban pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 41 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +10.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 18 of 20WKU made the numbers' call on 14 of 16
  1. Q1 13:59WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:59WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:57WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:19WKU 4th & 7 at MRSH 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−0.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:19WKU 4th & 7 at MRSH 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−0.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:22MRSH 4th & 3 at WKU 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    62.1%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:55WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:55WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:33MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−2.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:33MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−2.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 11:38WKU 4th & 9 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 11:38WKU 4th & 9 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 8:05WKU 4th & 9 at MRSH 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−4.9
    average punt
  14. Q2 6:00MRSH 4th & 1 at WKU 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−2.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q2 6:00MRSH 4th & 1 at WKU 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−2.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q2 2:48WKU 4th & 10 at MRSH 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q2 1:31MRSH 4th & 8 at WKU 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  18. Q2 1:31MRSH 4th & 8 at WKU 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  19. Q2 0:28WKU 4th & 6 at MRSH 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−5.5
    average punt
  20. Q2 0:28WKU 4th & 6 at MRSH 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−5.5
    average punt
  21. Q3 14:04MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  22. Q3 14:04MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 23, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  23. Q3 11:31MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  24. Q3 11:31MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 35, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  25. Q3 7:37MRSH 4th & 19 at MRSH 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−5.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  26. Q3 7:37MRSH 4th & 19 at MRSH 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−5.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  27. Q3 6:55MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  28. Q3 6:55MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  29. Q3 3:25WKU 4th & 12 at MRSH 35, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−1.2
    average punt
  30. Q3 2:48MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  31. Q3 2:48MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  32. Q4 12:16MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 22, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%−0.6
    average punt
  33. Q4 8:30MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 39, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%
    average punt
  34. Q4 8:30MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 39, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%
    average punt
  35. Q4 6:16WKU 4th & 2 at MRSH 34, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.5
    average punt
  36. Q4 1:12WKU 4th & 9 at MRSH 21, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 7:01MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:22MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:41WKU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:10WKU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:28WKU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    72.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:18WKU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:23MRSH Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:16WKU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 6 yds · 1:0140% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
60.4%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
60.4%
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
60.4%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q1 13:59
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
60.5%
John Haggerty III punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 13:59
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
60.5%
John Haggerty III punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2TD
21 plays · 79 yds · 6:5861% → 64%
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
60.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the Marsh 22Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+9
60.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 9 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
60.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 6 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
60.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
60.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
60.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 9 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+3
60.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
60.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 12 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
60.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+3
60.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+5
60.6%
PENALTY WKU Offside (Shipp,Darius) 5 yards from WKU29 to WKU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-5
60.6%
Ali,Rasheen rush for 2 yards gain to the WKU22 (Kincade,Antwon; Jones,Juwuan) PENALTY MAR Illegal Formation 5 yards from WKU24 to WKU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+15
60.6%
Wells,Grant pass incomplete to Johnson,Willie PENALTY WKU Pass Interference (Bradshaw,Dominique) 15 yards from WKU29 to WKU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
60.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+4
60.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 4 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
60.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.6%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+4
60.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 4 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
60.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.6%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.1%
Grant Wells run for 1 yd for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3DOWNS
15 plays · 27 yds · 3:4237% → 36%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
63.1%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
63.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 8 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
62.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 1 yd to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+4
63.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
63.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Noah Whittington for 1 yd to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+9
63.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 9 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
62.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
62.7%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
62.7%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Daewood DavisSimilar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
62.8%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
64.0%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
64.0%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:5765% → 71%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
65.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 14 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
65.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Devin Miller for 20 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
65.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
65.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 1 yd to the WKent 19Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+10
65.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stone Scarcelle for 10 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
65.6%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the WKent 9Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
66.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 2 yds to the WKent 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
66.2%
Grant Wells run for 4 yds to the WKent 3Similar
Q2 14:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
71.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Devin Miller for 3 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:2730% → 30%
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
69.6%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+10
69.2%
Noah Whittington run for 10 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
69.1%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
68.6%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
69.1%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Adam CofieldSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
70.5%
John Haggerty III punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Willie Johnson at the Marsh 11Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
70.5%
John Haggerty III punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Willie Johnson at the Marsh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2272% → 71%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
71.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
71.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
71.2%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
71.0%
Robert Lefevre punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 49Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
71.0%
Robert Lefevre punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5531% → 29%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
69.4%
Bailey Zappe run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 9
50
0
69.6%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Joey BeljanSimilar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 9
50
0
69.9%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 9
50
0
70.8%
John Haggerty III punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 9
50
0
70.8%
John Haggerty III punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:3773% → 75%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
72.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 12 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
73.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
73.5%
Sheldon Evans run for 11 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
75.0%
Grant Wells sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 48 Grant Wells fumbled, recovered by WKent Brodric Martin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
75.0%
Grant Wells sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 48 Grant Wells fumbled, recovered by WKent Brodric Martin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:5630% → 30%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
70.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 14 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
69.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 10 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
70.0%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
70.0%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Daewood DavisSimilar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+4
70.6%
Bailey Zappe run for 4 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
69.7%
Brayden Narveson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:0571% → 72%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
71.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 21 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
72.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 9 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
72.5%
Luke Zban run for no gain to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-5
71.9%
PENALTY MAR False Start (Sartor,Kendrick) 5 yards from WKU45 to WKU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 6
50
+5
71.7%
Luke Zban pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 5 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
72.3%
Luke Zban run for no gain to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
72.3%
Luke Zban run for no gain to the WKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FG
10 plays · 27 yds · 3:1230% → 29%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
69.8%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+8
70.6%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 8 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+9
69.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 9 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
69.0%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+12
70.0%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 12 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+4
68.7%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
67.8%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
68.3%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Joey BeljanSimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
69.2%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
70.8%
Brayden Narveson 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 1:1770% → 74%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
69.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+22
69.7%
Luke Zban pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 22 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
71.8%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
73.0%
Luke Zban pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 3 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+1
72.7%
Luke Zban pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 1 yd to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
73.6%
Robert Lefevre punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 19Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
73.6%
Robert Lefevre punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 1:0325% → 27%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
75.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Adam Cofield for 7 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+13
74.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 13 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+28
73.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 28 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
70.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
69.8%
Bailey Zappe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
71.4%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
73.0%
Brayden Narveson 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
73.0%
Brayden Narveson 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
77.0%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:5675% → 73%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.8%
Luke Zban pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
74.8%
Luke Zban pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
73.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
73.0%
Robert Lefevre punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 42Similar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
73.0%
Robert Lefevre punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:2328% → 41%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
72.3%
Noah Whittington run for 11 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
59.1%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 47 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:1064% → 61%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
64.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
63.8%
Luke Zban pass complete to Corey Gammage for 4 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
65.6%
Luke Zban pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-2
63.1%
Luke Zban sacked by Jaden Hunter for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 11:31
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
61.1%
Robert Lefevre punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 22Similar
Q3 11:31
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
61.1%
Robert Lefevre punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 2:2138% → 63%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
62.4%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Daewood DavisSimilar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-5
62.7%
PENALTY WKU False Start (Staats,Rusty) 5 yards from WKU22 to WKU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+33
62.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 33 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
50
+20
58.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 20 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
57.8%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Daewood DavisSimilar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
57.9%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+5
58.8%
Zappe,Bailey pass complete to Tinsley,Mitchell for 5 yards to the MAR21 (Abraham,Micah) PENALTY MAR Offside (Cumberlander,Koby) 5 yards from MAR26 to MAR21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+7
58.7%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Joey Beljan for 7 yds to the Marsh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
57.4%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Kye RobichauxSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
57.3%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
36.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 14 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:3343% → 40%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
42.8%
Luke Zban pass incomplete to Rasheen AliSimilar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-7
41.2%
Luke Zban sacked by Jaden Hunter for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 16Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
39.7%
Robert Lefevre punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
39.7%
Robert Lefevre punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
50
+50
24.4%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 50 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
Q3 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
23.8%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:3330% → 29%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
30.0%
Luke Zban pass complete to Corey Gammage for 5 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
30.3%
Luke Zban pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
29.6%
Luke Zban pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
28.5%
Robert Lefevre punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 28Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
28.5%
Robert Lefevre punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:3074% → 84%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
25.9%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+6
25.8%
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
24.4%
Jakairi Moses run for 12 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
24.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
24.2%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+13
24.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 13 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-8
23.6%
Bailey Zappe sacked by Owen Porter for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 18
OPP 41
-5
24.4%
PENALTY WKU False Start (Spencer,Cole) 5 yards from MAR41 to MAR46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 23
OPP 46
0
24.4%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 23
OPP 46
+11
25.0%
Jakairi Moses run for 11 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+53
16.3%
Brayden Narveson 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:3719% → 18%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.5%
Luke Zban run for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
18.7%
Luke Zban pass incomplete to Jayden HarrisonSimilar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
18.3%
Luke Zban pass incomplete to Rasheen AliSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
17.6%
Robert Lefevre punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 22Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
17.6%
Robert Lefevre punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jerreth Sterns at the WKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:3085% → 97%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
15.2%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 6 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+6
15.1%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
15.1%
Kye Robichaux run for 28 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
13.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+15
13.1%
Adam Cofield run for 15 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
9.3%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 7 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
9.3%
Bailey Zappe pass incomplete to Jerreth SternsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+5
9.5%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Jerreth Sterns for 5 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
2.9%
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 8 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:554% → 16%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
4.4%
Luke Zban pass complete to Talik Keaton for 14 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
4.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+6
4.7%
Luke Zban pass complete to Stone Scarcelle for 6 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
4.9%
Luke Zban run for 13 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
5.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+41
15.6%
Luke Zban pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 41 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:463% → 2%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 12
OWN 11
+2
3.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+5
3.0%
Willie Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+4
3.1%
Luke Zban pass complete to Corey Gammage for 4 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+4
3.1%
Luke Zban pass complete to Talik Keaton for 4 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
3.2%
Luke Zban pass complete to Corey Gammage for 12 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
3.3%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
3.2%
Luke Zban pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+1
3.2%
Luke Zban pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 1 yd to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+3
2.3%
Luke Zban pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 3 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+3
2.3%
Luke Zban pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 3 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27FG
12 plays · 21 yds · 7:1898% → 100%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
1.6%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+1
1.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+3
1.6%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+2
1.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
1.2%
Adam Cofield run for 1 yd to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+6
1.2%
Adam Cofield run for 6 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+3
1.2%
Adam Cofield run for 3 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
1.1%
Adam Cofield run for no gain to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
1.2%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+4
1.2%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
0.1%
Brayden Narveson 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:190% → 0%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Luke Zban pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-45
0.1%
Davion Williams 45 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
0.1%
PENALTY WKU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hailassie,Kahlef) 15 yards from WKU35 to WKU20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
0.1%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
0.1%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:10
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Malachi Corley for 14 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-19.1
TD · Q3 7:28
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 50 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-15.2
TD · Q3 13:41
Bailey Zappe pass complete to Daewood Davis for 47 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com