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FIU

Florida International 17 at Southern Miss 37

USM
2021 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2021 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:50 · Tommy Heatherly punt for 58 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 77 yds to the FlaIn 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+19.3Home team on offense+3.9Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:46: Frank Gore Jr. 2 Yd Run (Briggs Bourgeois Kick) — USM win probability +4.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:58: Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 91 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +5.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:01: Lexington Joseph run for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +5.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:37: Frank Gore Jr. 5 Yd Run (Briggs Bourgeois Kick) — USM win probability +10.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:45: Frank Gore Jr. pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 34 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois PAT BLOCKED) — USM win probability +7.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 3:50FIU 4th & 14 at FIU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:15USM 4th & 3 at USM 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:23USM 4th & 8 at USM 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:11FIU 4th & 13 at FIU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:27USM 4th & 4 at FIU 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:21FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:59USM 4th & 5 at FIU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:46FIU 4th & 3 at USM 9, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%−0.7
    89% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−8.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:06FIU 4th & 4 at USM 25, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%−0.8
    66% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−8.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00USM 4th & 1 at FIU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−4.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:51FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.5%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:36FIU 4th & 21 at FIU 14, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:26USM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:01USM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:46USM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:58FIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:01FIU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:37USM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:45USM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 67 yds · 8:3426% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
73.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
73.6%
Max Bortenschlager run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+34
73.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 34 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
73.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (EJ Wilson Jr.) to the SoMis 33Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+5
73.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
73.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+25
72.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 25 yds to the SoMis 8Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-5
71.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 5:1573% → 75%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
72.9%
run for no gain to the SoMis 8Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+11
72.9%
run for 11 yds to the SoMis 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
73.0%
Antavious Willis pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 18 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
73.0%
run for 6 yds to the SoMis 43Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+13
73.2%
Frank Gore Jr. pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 13 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
73.3%
Dajon Richard run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
73.3%
run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+10
73.3%
run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
75.2%
Dajon Richard 29 Yd Run (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted return for no gain to the FlaIn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
78.3%
Frank Gore Jr. pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 34 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:1123% → 22%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.0%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
76.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
77.0%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Santrell Latham for 0 yards to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+77
77.7%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 58 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 77 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.4%
Frank Gore Jr. 2 Yd Run (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 33 yds · 1:1217% → 17%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
82.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
50
+8
83.0%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8INT
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:4583% → 84%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
83.4%
run for 22 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
84.2%
Jason Goldstein pass intercepted return for no gain to the FlaIn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 96 yds · 0:5116% → 21%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
84.3%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+91
78.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 91 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4380% → 80%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.6%
run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
80.0%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+8
79.6%
run for 8 yds to the SoMis 32Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
79.6%
Mason Hunt punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyrese Chambers at the FlaIn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:1421% → 28%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
78.8%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+18
78.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
78.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+11
78.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 11 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
77.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 19 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
76.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 17 yds to the SoMis 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
71.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3875% → 74%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.8%
run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
74.8%
Frank Gore Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
74.1%
Frank Gore Jr. pass complete to Demarcus Jones for no gain to the SoMis 27Similar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
73.8%
Mason Hunt punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Tyrese Chambers at the FlaIn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 4:1225% → 23%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
74.7%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 4
OWN 25
0
74.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+12
74.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
74.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
75.1%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
74.8%
run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.6%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by TQ Newsome and Everitt Cunningham for 0 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+2
76.1%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
76.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
77.3%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:4478% → 77%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
77.9%
Direct snap to WILLIS, Antavious rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the USM49 (POTTS, Jamal;PACE, Shykieim). PENALTY USM Holding on GUNTER, Grayson enforced 10 yards from the USM45 to the USM35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+4
76.5%
run for 4 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+9
77.0%
run for 9 yds to the SoMis 48Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+3
77.1%
run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
76.7%
Mason Hunt punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0624% → 21%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
78.3%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+3
78.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
79.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 47 yds, downed at the SoMis 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 1:2177% → 77%
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
76.5%
run for 1 yd to the SoMis 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+5
76.9%
run for 5 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17FG
10 plays · 67 yds · 5:0177% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
77.0%
run for 33 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
78.9%
Antavious Willis pass complete to Brandon Hayes for 11 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
79.0%
run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
79.0%
run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+10
78.3%
run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
79.0%
Dajon Richard run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-3
79.7%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+4
78.8%
run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
81.2%
Briggs Bourgeois 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:1319% → 25%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+23
80.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 23 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
78.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
79.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 8 yds to the SoMis 41Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+13
78.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 13 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
77.4%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+6
77.4%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
77.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+7
77.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 7 yds to the SoMis 9Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
78.6%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the SoMis 9Similar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
74.8%
Chase Gabriel 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3228% → 24%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
71.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 31Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
72.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+6
74.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 6 yds to the SoMis 25Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+42
75.7%
Chase Gabriel 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:4281% → 97%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.8%
Dajon Richard run for 4 yds to the SoMis 29Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+17
80.9%
run for 17 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
83.0%
Antavious Willis pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 5 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
83.2%
Dajon Richard run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
85.2%
run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+4
84.3%
run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
86.2%
run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+7
86.0%
Antavious Willis pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+10
85.5%
run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
86.4%
Demarcus Jones run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
86.4%
run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.1%
Frank Gore Jr. 5 Yd Run (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:468% → 8%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
Max Bortenschlager run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.3%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
91.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 2 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
92.1%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 22TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.4%
Frank Gore Jr. pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 34 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:091% → 1%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Everitt Cunningham for 0 yards to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+4
99.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 44 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 4 yds to the SoMis 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:541% → 1%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 1 yd to the SoMis 45Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
98.8%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by TQ Newsome for 0 yards to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 17
OWN 47
+17
99.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 17 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted return for no gain to the SoMis 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 87 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
99.7%
run for 5 yds to the SoMis 8Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+8
99.6%
run for 8 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+56
99.6%
run for 56 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.6%
run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-1
99.6%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+8
99.6%
run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.6%
run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:37
Frank Gore Jr. 5 Yd Run (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)
+10.7
TD · Q4 8:45
Frank Gore Jr. pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 34 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois PAT BLOCKED)
+7.4
TD · Q1 0:58
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 91 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)
-5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com