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UAB

UAB 31 at UTSA 34

UTSA
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:17 · Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for no gain to the TexSA 27 Sheldon Jones fumbled, recovered by TexSA
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior+15.8Home team on offense−0.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:24: Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +6.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:41: Dylan Hopkins run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +11.2 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:09: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 54 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +18.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:19: DeWayne McBride run for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +51.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:03: Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +59.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:17UAB 4th & 23 at UAB 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 2:18UTSA 4th & 8 at UAB 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:00UAB 4th & 2 at UTSA 6, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.4%−1.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−10.6
    average punt
  4. Q3 14:09UAB 4th & 21 at UAB 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−4.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:57UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−3.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:33UTSA 4th & 6 at UAB 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−2.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:26UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−3.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:21UTSA 4th & 8 at UAB 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 7 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:47UTSA 4th & 23 at UTSA 2, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−12.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:19UTSA 4th & 10 at UAB 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−1.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:43UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 14:08UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:16UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:08UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:24UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:41UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:09UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:19UAB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:03UTSA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.9%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5233% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
66.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 74 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
8 plays · -10 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
66.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Leroy Watson for 6 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
66.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
66.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Leroy WatsonSimilar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-9
66.2%
Frank Harris sacked by Kyle Harrell and Charlie Benton for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 20 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by TexSA , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 26
OWN 20
-5
66.2%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 15Similar
Q1 14:08
4TH & 31
OWN 15
0
66.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 73 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
65.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+18
65.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 18 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
65.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-15
65.2%
Hopkins, Dylan crossing pass complete to Palmer, Tejhaun for 18 yards to the UTSA44, out-of-bounds (LIGON, Jamal), PENALTY UAB pass interference (Prince, Gerrit) 15 yards to the UAB23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 25
OWN 23
-3
65.5%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 28
OWN 20
+5
65.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 23
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for no gain to the TexSA 27 Sheldon Jones fumbled, recovered by TexSASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:4364% → 67%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
63.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+5
64.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
63.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+10
64.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 10 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
64.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-1
64.4%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+11
64.2%
Frank Harris run for 11 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
64.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+6
64.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
64.0%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the UAB 21Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
64.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+15
66.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 15 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:0835% → 42%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
65.4%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (Jermaine Brown Jr.) to the UAB 18Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+6
65.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 6 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+6
65.4%
Dylan Hopkins run for 6 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 3
OWN 30
-5
65.3%
UAB Penalty, false start (DeWayne McBride) to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+11
65.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 11 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
65.0%
Brown Jr., Jerm rush left for loss of 3 yards to the UAB33 (SAM, Jahmal), PENALTY UAB holding (Hopkins, Dylan) 10 yards to the UAB26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+24
65.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
50
+8
64.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 8 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+2
64.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
57.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 40 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4459% → 68%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
60.2%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
59.2%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
59.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 29 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
61.8%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
61.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-7
60.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 3 yds to the UAB 30 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (Leroy Watson) to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 40
+16
59.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 16 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
61.8%
Frank Harris sacked by Kyle Harrell and Noah Wilder for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+5
61.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+15
60.9%
HARRIS, Frank deep pass incomplete to FRANKLIN, Z. (Cash, Grayson), PENALTY UAB pass interference (McWilliams, Mac) 15 yards to the UAB8, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
67.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4336% → 51%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
63.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+32
62.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 32 yds to the TexSA 33 DeWayne McBride fumbled, forced by Denzel Feaster, recovered by UAB RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
61.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 5 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+7
61.1%
Lucious Stanley run for 7 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
61.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+11
61.1%
Dylan Hopkins run for 11 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
61.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the TexSA 3Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
60.6%
UAB Penalty, false start (DeWayne McBride) to the TexSA 8Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
49.4%
Dylan Hopkins run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:2353% → 58%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
53.0%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 20Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
52.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+38
52.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 38 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
57.1%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-11
57.1%
Frank Harris sacked by Justin Thomas for a loss of 11 yards to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 21
OPP 46
+13
53.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 13 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+51
58.2%
Hunter Duplessis 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 2:1845% → 54%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
55.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 34 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
52.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
49.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr.Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
50.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+8
50.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the TexSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
49.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-SandersSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
49.1%
Dylan Hopkins run for 9 yds to the TexSA 5Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-1
48.6%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 6Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+23
45.7%
Matt Quinn 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:5148% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus, broken up by Alex WrightSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
47.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
47.4%
HARRIS, Frank sideline pass incomplete to FRANKLIN, Z. (Thomas V, Starl), PENALTY UAB pass interference (Thomas V, Starl) 15 yards to the UTSA46, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
65.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 54 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 0
OWN 0
0
62.3%
PENALTY UAB face mask off-setting, PENALTY UTSA personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
59.3%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 25 DeWayne McBride fumbled, forced by Brandon Brown, recovered by UAB Dylan HopkinsSimilar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
59.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 14:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-11
60.6%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Lorenzo Dantzler for a loss of 11 yards to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 14:09
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
61.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
63.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
64.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-3
63.3%
Frank Harris sacked by Alex Wright and Tyree Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 38Similar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 8
OWN 38
-5
60.8%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Xavier Spencer) to the TexSA 33Similar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+3
59.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 53 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 3 yds to the UAB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13INT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-9
58.9%
Hopkins, Dylan middle pass complete to Pittman, Hayden for 20 yards to the UAB37 (SAM, Jahmal), PENALTY UAB holding (Telfort, Kadeem) 9 yards to the UAB8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 19
OWN 8
+27
59.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for 27 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
58.1%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+15
58.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 15 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
55.6%
Hopkins, Dylan sideline pass incomplete to Johnson-Sanders, QB hurry by CLAYTON, C., PENALTY UAB holding (Jones, Jakoby) 10 yards to the UAB39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 20
OWN 39
-5
58.2%
UAB Penalty, false start (Kadeem Telfort) to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 25
OWN 34
0
58.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted Jamal Ligon return for no gain to the UAB 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:2366% → 62%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
65.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 4
OPP 41
-1
65.7%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+4
65.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-5
63.3%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Terrell Haynes) to the UAB 43Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
62.4%
Lucas Dean punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
58.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 6 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+3
58.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+3
59.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
57.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire, broken up by Rashad WisdomSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
58.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
59.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+22
61.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds, downed at the UTSA 41 UAB Penalty, kick catching interference (Keondre Swoopes) to the UAB 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:5765% → 68%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
65.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
65.0%
Frank Harris run for 9 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
66.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 2 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
66.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
64.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin, broken up by Keondre SwoopesSimilar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
67.7%
Hunter Duplessis 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 1:2132% → 32%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-SandersSimilar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
68.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 6 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
66.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
64.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-1
64.4%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Clarence Hicks for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+5
68.1%
Greenwell, Kyle punt 30 yards to the UTSA28, fair catch by JONES, Sheldon, PENALTY UTSA failure to wear required equipment 5 yards to the UAB47, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
63.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-6
63.4%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Clarence Hicks for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+7
68.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to DeWayne McBride for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
50
0
67.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
72.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 4 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 6
OWN 19
-2
72.1%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 17Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-9
70.2%
Frank Harris sacked by Alex Wright for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 2 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by TexSA Zakhari Franklin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 23
OWN 2
0
68.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds, downed at the TexSA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:3037% → 82%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
63.3%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-10
63.8%
Hopkins, Dylan sideline pass incomplete to Prince, Gerrit, PENALTY UAB holding (Telfort, Kadeem) 10 yards to the UAB46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 20
OWN 46
+16
73.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 16 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+16
67.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 16 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
64.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 13 yds to the TexSA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-7
64.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 16Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 0
OPP 16
+16
18.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 42 yds · 0:0040% → 41%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
40.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 10 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
41.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-5
44.9%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (Zakhari Franklin) to the TexSA 41Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
44.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
43.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
45.1%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
44.3%
Frank Harris run for no gain to the TexSA 49Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+10
41.0%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
46.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
46.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tre'Von BradleySimilar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
44.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 10
OPP 41
+8
40.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0988% → 89%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
11.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+1
9.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+3
9.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-5
10.7%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (Keondre Swoopes) to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
11.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:0320% → 96%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
20.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+28
19.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 28 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
25.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+33
32.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 33 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
36.1%
Frank Harris run for 9 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
36.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:03
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+59
TD · Q4 5:19
DeWayne McBride run for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-51.4
TD · Q3 14:09
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 54 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+18.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com