Try the model
RICE

Rice 28 at UTEP 38

UTEP
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Sun Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-5.4UTEP 91.3%Luke McCaffrey 2 Yd Run (ChristianVanSickle Kick)AWAY 28 - HOME 38 · Q4 5:42
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:42 · Luke McCaffrey 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Pregame prior+2.5Home team on offense+17.9Garbage-time factor+5.3Score differential+6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:03: Jake Constantine pass complete to Jack Bradley for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +12.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:12: Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 33 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +14.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:30: Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +18.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:54: Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +10.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:02: Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +8.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 8:34RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:55UTEP 4th & 29 at UTEP 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:24RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:58UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 2 at UTEP 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.4%−0.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:42RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:33UTEP 4th & 19 at UTEP 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−2.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:20RICE 4th & 5 at UTEP 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%−2.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:20UTEP 4th & 1 at RICE 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    45.7%−6.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:51UTEP 4th & 5 at RICE 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−14.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:32RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−2.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:12RICE 4th & 2 at midfield, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:46RICE 4th & 2 at UTEP 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−2.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−2.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:42RICE 4th & 2 at UTEP 2, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:31UTEP 4th & 10 at RICE 35, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.4 ptsPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%−4.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:44RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 26, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:08UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:13RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:22UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:03RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:12RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:30UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:54UTEP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:02UTEP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:42RICE Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5276% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
75.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 21 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
75.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 10 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
75.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 12 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
75.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+15
75.7%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for COWING, Jacob broken up by CALDERON, Prudy at the RCE9. PENALTY RCE Targeting on LOCKHART, Kirk enforced 15 yards from the RCE30 to the RCE15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
75.7%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Quardraiz Wadley) to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+11
75.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 11 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+4
75.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
75.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
75.7%
run for no gain to the Rice 7Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
76.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 7 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3424% → 24%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
75.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
76.1%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.4%
Charlie Mendes punt for 48 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 9 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:3976% → 76%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
76.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
50
+2
76.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
76.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-15
76.4%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the right complete for 15 yards to GARRETT, Justin caught at the RCE40 and advanced to the RCE30 (SMITH, Naeem). PENALTY TEP Pass Interference on COWING, Jacob enforced 15 yards to the TEP40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 20
OWN 40
0
76.0%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Elijah Garcia and Ikenna Enechukwu for 0 yards to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 29
OWN 31
0
75.8%
Joshua Sloan punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the Rice 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3124% → 24%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
76.0%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
76.1%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
76.4%
RICE Penalty, Illegal Formation (Cedric Patterson III) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
76.5%
Charlie Mendes punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:2676% → 76%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
76.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 23 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
76.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
76.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
76.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+10
75.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 42 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 10 yds to the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6TD
17 plays · 70 yds · 8:4524% → 33%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
76.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+2
75.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+9
76.0%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 9 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
75.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
75.4%
Cameron Montgomery run for 8 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
74.8%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
74.9%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+13
75.5%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 13 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
74.2%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+3
74.3%
Cameron Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+6
75.0%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 6 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 16
0
75.4%
CONSTANTINE, Jake pass to the right incomplete thrown to the TEP1. PENALTY TEP Holding on CALDWELL, Josh enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the TEP16 to the TEP8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
74.2%
Brendan Suckley run for no gain to the UTEP 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
74.2%
Jake Constantine run for 6 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
74.8%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.3%
UTEP Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the UTEP 0Similar
Q2 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.4%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:4571% → 78%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
71.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
71.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 11 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
72.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+32
72.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 32 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
78.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 14 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:4024% → 23%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
76.4%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 16 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
75.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
75.0%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
75.3%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
77.0%
Charlie Mendes punt for 37 yds, downed at the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 3:0978% → 76%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
77.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+4
77.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
77.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-15
77.5%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 15 yards to the UTEP 13 fumbled, recovered by UTEPSimilar
Q2 6:42
3RD & 25
OWN 13
+6
76.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 19
OWN 19
0
76.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the Rice 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:3023% → 39%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
76.6%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+12
77.1%
Cameron Montgomery run for 12 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
76.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
75.3%
Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+43
74.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 43 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
61.2%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jack Bradley for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:2870% → 71%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
69.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 13 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
71.2%
Gavin Hardison pass intercepted fumbled, recovered by Rice Gabe TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:1837% → 52%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
62.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 19 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
48.4%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 33 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
55.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:4049% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
51.3%
Jake Constantine pass complete to August Pitre III for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Dy'vonne Inyang) to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
48.7%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
48.7%
Brendan Suckley run for no gain to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+3
49.2%
Jake Constantine run for 3 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+7
48.2%
Charlie Mendes punt for 33 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 7 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15FG
17 plays · 78 yds · 6:2951% → 56%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
50.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+15
50.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 15 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
51.4%
UTEP Penalty, Chop Block (Elijah Klein) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 19
OWN 26
0
50.5%
RICE Penalty, Offsides (Cole Garcia) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+9
51.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
53.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
53.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-5
54.6%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Darta Lee) to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+5
53.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+8
52.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 8 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
54.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 23 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
56.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 12 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
56.2%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Rice 6Similar
Q3 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
56.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the Rice 5Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
56.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
54.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
55.7%
Gavin Baechle 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1948% → 51%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
51.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
50.2%
Jake Constantine pass complete to August Pitre III for 5 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
50.5%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
51.2%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
52.3%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+4
49.3%
Charlie Mendes punt for 36 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 4 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:0251% → 75%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
50.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
50.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+65
48.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 65 yds to the Rice 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
56.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.7%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:1829% → 31%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
70.6%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
71.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 16 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
68.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+1
67.5%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+6
68.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 2
50
+11
68.9%
Charlie Mendes punt for 42 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 11 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 1:1873% → 88%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+74
73.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 74 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
77.6%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:0814% → 16%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
86.1%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jack Bradley for 28 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
82.7%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
83.2%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+8
84.3%
Jake Constantine run for 8 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
84.5%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:4488% → 97%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
88.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 14 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+30
88.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 30 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
88.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+13
88.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 13 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:204% → 9%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.2%
Luke McCaffrey run for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
95.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
96.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
95.9%
MCCAFFREY, Luke pass to the right incomplete intended for PITRE III, August broken up by NEIL JR., Walter at the TEP35. PENALTY TEP Pass Interference on NEIL JR., Walter enforced 15 yards to the TEP49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
95.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to August Pitre III for 5 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-15
95.6%
RICE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cole Garcia) to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
95.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Robert French for 6 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+18
95.1%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to August Pitre III for 18 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
95.1%
Luke McCaffrey run for 12 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
95.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
95.1%
Juma Otoviano run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 2Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
95.5%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.3%
Luke McCaffrey 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 11 yds · 3:1179% → 89%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
79.0%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Bobby DeHaro) to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 15
OWN 49
0
76.6%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+13
82.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 13 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
83.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
85.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-1
90.3%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
90.0%
Reynaldo Flores run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
88.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:4711% → 13%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 4 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
89.6%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
90.4%
UTEP Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Rice 25Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
89.7%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 6 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
88.6%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-5
89.2%
RICE Penalty, False Start (Desmyn Baker) to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 15
OWN 26
0
89.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 15
OWN 26
0
90.3%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+12
87.3%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Robert French for 12 yds to the Rice 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:30
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+18.2
TD · Q2 0:12
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 33 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)
-14.5
TD · Q2 1:03
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jack Bradley for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)
-12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com