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USM

Southern Miss 35 at Louisiana Tech 19

LT
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2021 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUSM aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUSM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:43 · A.Allen pass INTERCEPTED at USM 18. Intercepted by J.Carr at USM 18. Tackled by LT at USM 18.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:29: F.Gore rushed to LT End Zone for 1 yards. F.Gore for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — USM win probability +1.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:58: F.Gore pass complete to LT 9. Catch made by J.Brownlee at LT 9. Gain of 9 yards. J.Brownlee for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — USM win probability +8.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:45: J.Barnes 43 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-LT, Holder-C.Barajas. — LT win probability +4.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:07: F.Gore pass complete to LT 39. Catch made by J.Brownlee at LT 39. Gain of 39 yards. J.Brownlee for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — USM win probability +7.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 0:00: End Quarter 3 — LT win probability +10.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:42LT 4th & 13 at USM 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:25USM 4th & 9 at LT 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:03USM 4th & 3 at USM 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:45LT 4th & 6 at USM 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−5.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:06USM 4th & 6 at LT 19, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−7.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:43LT 4th & 10 at LT 20, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:59USM 4th & 8 at USM 42, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:16LT 4th & 14 at LT 16, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−3.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:23LT 4th & 7 at USM 38, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%−1.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:08USM 4th & 10 at LT 43, up 9
    Close callPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    91.0%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:29USM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:58USM Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:07USM Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1086% → 86%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+5
85.9%
M.Williams rushed to USM 18 for 5 yards. Tackled by S.Latham at USM 18.Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-3
85.7%
M.Williams rushed to USM 21 for -3 yards. Tackled by USM at USM 21.Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 13
OPP 21
0
85.6%
A.Allen steps back to pass. A.Allen pass incomplete intended for T.Harris.Similar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+39
85.6%
J.Barnes 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-R.Blankenship, Holder-C.Barajas.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 6:0115% → 18%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
85.5%
D.Richard rushed to USM 28 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Rose at USM 28.Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+12
85.4%
A.Willis pass complete to USM 28. Catch made by J.Brownlee at USM 28. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by T.Baldwin at USM 40.Similar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
85.2%
D.Jones rushed to USM 49 for 9 yards. Tackled by C.Woods at USM 49.Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+5
84.9%
D.Richard rushed to LT 46 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Grubbs at LT 46.Similar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
84.7%
F.Gore pass complete to LT 46. Catch made by J.Brownlee at LT 46. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by T.Baldwin at LT 39.Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+14
84.4%
D.Jones rushed to LT 25 for 14 yards. Tackled by LT at LT 25.Similar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
84.2%
D.Richard rushed to LT 15 for 10 yards. Tackled by B.Williamson; E.Barnett at LT 15.Similar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
83.9%
D.Jones rushed to LT End Zone for yards. K.Abney for yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was overturned. D.Jones rushed to LT 1 for 14 yards. Tackled by C.Woods at LT 1.Similar
Q1 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.8%
F.Gore rushed to LT 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Baldwin at LT 1.Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.3%
F.Gore rushed to LT End Zone for 1 yards. F.Gore for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:3783% → 83%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
82.7%
M.Williams rushed to LT 25 for 7 yards. Tackled by M.Shorts at LT 25.Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+1
82.5%
M.Williams rushed to LT 25 for yards. Tackled by C.Harrell at LT 25. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was overturned. M.Williams rushed to LT 26 for 1 yards. M.Williams FUMBLES, forced by H.Maples. Fumble RECOVERED by USM-M.Shorts at LT 26. Tackled by LT at LT 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0418% → 19%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
81.8%
D.Richard rushed to LT 26 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Baldwin at LT 26.Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
81.5%
D.Jones rushed to LT 26 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Grubbs at LT 26.Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+1
81.3%
F.Gore rushed to LT 25 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Grubbs at LT 25.Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 9
OPP 25
0
81.4%
B.Bourgeois 42 yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-J.Hulett, Holder-M.Hunt.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:0081% → 81%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.3%
A.Allen scrambles to LT 30 for 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by H.Maples at LT 30.Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
81.2%
PENALTY on LT-S.Harris, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.9%
G.Garner rushed to LT 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Shorts at LT 28.Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
80.3%
A.Allen pass complete to LT 28. Catch made by G.Hebert at LT 28. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by M.Shorts at LT 40.Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
81.0%
G.Garner rushed to LT 48 for 8 yards. Tackled by M.Shorts; S.Latham at LT 48.Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+8
81.1%
A.Allen pass complete to LT 48. Catch made by S.Harris at LT 48. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by M.Shorts at USM 44.Similar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
80.9%
S.Harris rushed to USM 41 for 3 yards. Tackled by E.Scott at USM 41.Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+9
80.7%
G.Garner rushed to USM 32 for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Shorts at USM 32.Similar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
80.8%
A.Allen scrambles to USM 26 for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Quewon at USM 26.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0221% → 21%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
79.4%
D.Jones rushed to USM 20 for 5 yards. Tackled by R.Lyles at USM 20.Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+3
78.9%
D.Richard pass complete to USM 20. Catch made by J.Caston at USM 20. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by J.Dickey at USM 23.Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-1
78.9%
D.Richard rushed to USM 22 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Baldwin at USM 22.Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+26
79.1%
M.Hunt punts 26 yards to USM 48, Center-J.Hulett. Downed by T.Newsome.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7FUMBLE
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:1080% → 80%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
80.2%
M.Williams rushed to USM 37 for 11 yards. Tackled by M.Shorts at USM 37.Similar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
80.2%
A.Allen scrambles to USM 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Newsome at USM 36.Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+25
79.9%
M.Williams rushed to USM 11 for 25 yards. Tackled by B.Toles at USM 11.Similar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
80.2%
M.Williams rushed to USM 9 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Ratcliff at USM 9.Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-5
80.1%
M.Williams rushed to USM 14 for -5 yards. M.Williams FUMBLES, forced by H.Maples. Fumble RECOVERED by USM-S.Latham at USM 14. Tackled by T.Harris at LT 14.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:3225% → 34%
Q2 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
74.8%
F.Gore rushed to LT 7 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Baldwin at LT 7.Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
74.3%
A.Willis rushed to LT 9 for -2 yards. Tackled by B.Buchanan at LT 9.Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
66.2%
F.Gore pass complete to LT 9. Catch made by J.Brownlee at LT 9. Gain of 9 yards. J.Brownlee for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:0268% → 71%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
67.5%
G.Garner rushed to LT 31 for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Carr at LT 31.Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+7
68.3%
G.Garner rushed to LT 38 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Carr at LT 38.Similar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
67.4%
A.Allen steps back to pass. A.Allen pass incomplete intended for K.Maxwell.Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+23
67.2%
G.Garner rushed to USM 39 for 23 yards. Tackled by L.Daniel at USM 39.Similar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
68.4%
K.Dominique rushed to USM 29 for 10 yards. Tackled by M.Shorts at USM 29.Similar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
68.8%
A.Allen steps back to pass. A.Allen pass incomplete intended for I.Graham.Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
68.6%
K.Dominique rushed to USM 25 for 4 yards. Tackled by H.Maples at USM 25.Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
67.0%
A.Allen steps back to pass. A.Allen pass incomplete intended for K.Dominique.Similar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 6
OPP 25
0
71.4%
J.Barnes 43 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-LT, Holder-C.Barajas.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:2732% → 43%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
68.3%
D.Richard rushed to USM 44 for 7 yards. Tackled by A.Walker at USM 44.Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
67.1%
D.Richard rushed to LT 50 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Cole at LT 50.Similar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+7
64.9%
D.Jones rushed to LT 43 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Cole at LT 43.Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
64.6%
D.Richard rushed to LT 39 for 4 yards. Tackled by M.Carabin at LT 39.Similar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
56.8%
F.Gore pass complete to LT 39. Catch made by J.Brownlee at LT 39. Gain of 39 yards. J.Brownlee for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11BLOCKED FG
10 plays · 21 yds · 1:5146% → 50%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
54.3%
D.Richard rushed to LT 19 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Allen at LT 19.Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
53.5%
F.Gore steps back to pass. F.Gore pass incomplete intended for USM.Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
53.5%
F.Gore steps back to pass. F.Gore pass incomplete intended for J.Brownlee.Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 6
OPP 19
0
54.8%
B.Bourgeois yard field goal attempt is no good, Center-J.Hulett, Holder-M.Hunt. PENALTY on LT-LT, Running Into the Kicker, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
53.0%
D.Jones rushed to LT 2 for 12 yards. Tackled by LT at LT 2.Similar
Q2 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
52.6%
D.Richard rushed to LT 3 for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Cole at LT 3.Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
51.7%
F.Gore steps back to pass. F.Gore pass incomplete intended for J.Caston.Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
50.5%
B.Bourgeois 20 yard field goal attempt is blocked, Center-J.Hulett, Holder-M.Hunt. R.Lyles blocked the kick. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1154% → 51%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
53.5%
M.Williams rushed to LT 16 for -4 yards. Tackled by D.Crawford at LT 16.Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 14
OWN 16
0
52.8%
A.Allen steps back to pass. A.Allen pass incomplete intended for S.Harris.Similar
Q3 14:29
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+4
51.7%
A.Allen pass complete to LT 16. Catch made by G.Hebert at LT 16. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by USM at LT 20.Similar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+40
50.7%
C.Barajas punts 40 yards to USM 40, Center-LT. Downed by J.Dickey.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2850% → 52%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+3
50.5%
D.Jones rushed to USM 38 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Grubbs at USM 38.Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
48.0%
J.Caston steps back to pass. J.Caston pass incomplete intended for J.Brownlee.Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+4
47.8%
D.Jones rushed to USM 42 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Baldwin at USM 42.Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+38
47.7%
M.Hunt punts 38 yards to LT 20, Center-J.Hulett. Fair catch by S.Harris.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3649% → 46%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+1
48.9%
A.Allen pass complete to LT 15. Catch made by S.Harris at LT 15. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by L.Daniel at LT 16.Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+1
47.8%
A.Allen pass complete to LT 16. Catch made by I.Graham at LT 16. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by J.Carr at LT 17.Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 14
OWN 16
0
45.6%
A.Allen steps back to pass. A.Allen pass incomplete intended for T.Harris.Similar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+23
45.5%
C.Barajas punts 23 yards to LT 40, Center-LT. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 15INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 3:5158% → 66%
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
42.1%
D.Richard rushed to LT 39 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Grubbs at LT 39.Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+6
41.0%
D.Jones rushed to LT 33 for 6 yards. Tackled by B.Buchanan at LT 33.Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+3
38.9%
D.Richard rushed to LT 30 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Baldwin at LT 30.Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
36.4%
D.Jones rushed to LT 29 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Hall at LT 29.Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+3
34.9%
D.Jones rushed to LT 26 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Hall at LT 26.Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
34.0%
F.Gore pass INTERCEPTED at LT 14. Intercepted by E.Barnett at LT 14. Pushed out of bounds by USM at USM 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16FG
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:5334% → 33%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
33.6%
A.Allen pass complete to LT 44. Catch made by K.Maxwell at LT 44. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by J.Stanley at USM 49.Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+10
35.0%
M.Williams rushed to USM 39 for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Stanley at USM 39.Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
34.1%
M.Williams rushed to USM 39 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Crawford at USM 39.Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
32.2%
M.Williams rushed to USM 33 for 6 yards. Tackled by S.Latham at USM 33.Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+8
32.5%
M.Williams rushed to USM 25 for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Carr at USM 25.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 5:1068% → 84%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
31.7%
D.Richard rushed to LT 50 for 30 yards. Tackled by K.Ladler at LT 50.Similar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+15
24.9%
D.Richard rushed to LT 35 for 15 yards. Tackled by J.Cole at LT 35.Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
24.1%
D.Richard rushed to LT 36 for -1 yards. Tackled by E.Hamilton at LT 36.Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+20
21.4%
F.Gore pass complete to LT 36. Catch made by J.Caston at LT 36. Gain of 20 yards. Pushed out of bounds by LT at LT 16.Similar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
16.9%
D.Jones rushed to LT 5 for 11 yards. Tackled by B.Buchanan at LT 5.Similar
Q4 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
16.3%
D.Jones rushed to LT 7 for -2 yards. Tackled by M.Carabin at LT 7.Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-13
15.6%
A.Willis steps back to pass. A.Willis sacked at LT 20 for -13 yards (J.Cole)Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+20
15.6%
A.Willis pass complete to LT 20. Catch made by G.Gunter at LT 20. Gain of 20 yards. G.Gunter for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:0920% → 15%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
20.0%
M.Williams rushed to LT 32 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Carr at LT 32.Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
18.4%
A.Allen pass complete to LT 32. Catch made by G.Hebert at LT 32. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by J.Stanley at LT 41.Similar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
19.2%
M.Williams rushed to LT 44 for 3 yards. Tackled by H.Maples at LT 44.Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+15
19.0%
A.Allen pass complete to LT 44. Catch made by S.Harris at LT 44. Gain of 15 yards. S.Harris ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
20.6%
M.Williams rushed to USM 38 for 3 yards. Tackled by S.Latham at USM 38.Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
20.0%
A.Allen steps back to pass. A.Allen pass incomplete intended for G.Hebert.Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
19.3%
A.Allen steps back to pass. A.Allen pass incomplete intended for G.Hebert.Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
15.4%
A.Allen steps back to pass. A.Allen pass incomplete intended for LT.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 2:1188% → 92%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
12.1%
D.Richard rushed to USM 47 for yards. Tackled by LT at USM 47. PENALTY on USM-K.Washington, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+2
12.5%
D.Richard rushed to USM 30 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Baldwin at USM 30.Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 18
OWN 30
+27
12.6%
D.Richard rushed to LT 43 for 27 yards. Tackled by T.Grubbs at LT 43.Similar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
8.8%
D.Richard rushed to LT 42 for 1 yards. Tackled by K.Ladler at LT 42.Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
7.5%
D.Richard rushed to LT 42 for 0 yards. Tackled by E.Kendzior at LT 42.Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-1
7.5%
D.Richard rushed to LT 43 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Grubbs at LT 43.Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 10
OPP 43
+43
8.0%
M.Hunt punts 43 yards to LT End Zone, Center-J.Hulett. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20INT
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:458% → 11%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
8.1%
A.Allen pass complete to LT 35. Catch made by G.Hebert at LT 35. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by L.Daniel at USM 50.Similar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+4
15.8%
A.Allen pass complete to USM 50. Catch made by I.Graham at USM 50. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Newsome at USM 46.Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
8.6%
A.Allen steps back to pass. A.Allen pass incomplete intended for LT.Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+24
8.0%
A.Allen pass complete to USM 46. Catch made by S.Harris at USM 46. Gain of 24 yards. Pushed out of bounds by USM at USM 22.Similar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
10.9%
A.Allen pass INTERCEPTED at USM 18. Intercepted by J.Carr at USM 18. Tackled by LT at USM 18.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-10.9
FG · Q3 0:00
End Quarter 3
+10.3
TD · Q2 7:58
F.Gore pass complete to LT 9. Catch made by J.Brownlee at LT 9. Gain of 9 yards. J.Brownlee for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com