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UNT

North Texas 49 at Florida International 7

FIU
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:21 · Tommy Heatherly punt for 66 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Home team on offense−1.6Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.8Pregame prior−14.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:03: A. Aune run for 11 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +5.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:43: A. Aune pass,to R. Burns for 55 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +6.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:09: D. Torrey run for 50 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +4.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line — UNT win probability +6.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:45: Khatib Lyles 35 Yd pass from Austin Aune (Ethan Mooney Kick) — UNT win probability +5.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12UNT made the numbers' call on 1 of 5
  1. Q1 13:46UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:00FIU 4th & 2 at UNT 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−0.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:21FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:29UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 10, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:58FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:58UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 26, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:00FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 42, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:39FIU 4th & 23 at FIU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:44FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:27FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:21FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 27, down 28
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:16FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:32FIU 4th & 11 at FIU 48, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:44UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 45, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:08FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 14, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:37UNT 4th & 5 at FIU 45, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:01FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 40, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q2 12:43UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:09UNT Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:45UNT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:31UNT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:36FIU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:06UNT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:36UNT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 1 yds · 13:4666% → 61%
Q1 13:46
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+6
34.5%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 35 yds , Rishard Dames returns for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
37.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
38.6%
pass incomplete to Jason PirtleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2Uncategorized
10 plays · 15 yds · 9:3536% → 39%
Q1 9:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
36.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Tyreke Davis) to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
38.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Carson Kaleo for 10 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
39.0%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+9
38.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 9 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
39.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 11 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
39.6%
pass incomplete to Carson KaleoSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+10
39.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 10 yds to the NoTex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
39.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
39.6%
pass incomplete to Carson KaleoSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
39.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 3 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 8:0367% → 68%
Q1 8:03
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+11
33.4%
A. Aune run for 11 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
32.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+16
32.3%
Isaiah Johnson run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
32.3%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 6:2134% → 34%
Q1 6:21
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
34.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 66 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.2%
pass incomplete to Jackson McDonaldSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
34.1%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
33.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 4:2965% → 66%
Q1 4:29
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
34.7%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 51 yds , Bryce Singleton returns for no gain to the FlaIn 10 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (AJ Mathis) to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
34.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 9 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 10
0
33.9%
Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 10
0
34.3%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:5834% → 34%
Q1 2:58
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+14
33.8%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 66 yds , Roderic Burns returns for 14 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
34.3%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-10
34.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Shaun Peterson Jr.) to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+5
34.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
33.6%
pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5866% → 66%
Q1 1:58
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
34.3%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 36 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
33.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
33.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
33.6%
pass incomplete to DeAndre TorreySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8Uncategorized
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:2135% → 34%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
34.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
35.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Shaun Peterson Jr., broken up by Gabriel MurphySimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
34.7%
pass incomplete to EJ Wilson Jr.Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+20
33.9%
Tommy Heatherly pass complete to Benny McCray for 20 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
35.8%
Max Bortenschlager sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 44Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 23
OWN 49
0
33.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 12:4373% → 81%
Q2 12:43
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+55
26.7%
A. Aune pass,to R. Burns for 55 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
19.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 22 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
18.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 10:4427% → 21%
Q2 10:44
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
26.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 26 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.0%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
21.0%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
21.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
20.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Reggie Peterson) to the FlaIn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 10:0984% → 91%
Q2 10:09
2ND & 8
50
+50
16.1%
D. Torrey run for 50 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
9.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 6:2718% → 14%
Q2 6:27
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
17.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 59 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
13.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Rey Burnett) to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
13.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 4 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+10
13.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 10 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
13.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 10 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
14.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+7
13.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 7 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
14.2%
pass incomplete to EJ Wilson Jr. FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (David O'Meara) to the FlaIn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 4:4591% → 95%
Q2 4:45
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+35
9.2%
Khatib Lyles 35 Yd pass from Austin Aune (Ethan Mooney Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
5.2%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+37
5.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 37 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
5.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 3:3710% → 5%
Q2 3:37
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
9.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Bryce Singleton, broken up by John Davis Jr.Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
7.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 49 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
4.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
4.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Carson Kaleo for 4 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 0:3196% → 97%
Q2 0:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.8%
D. Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
3.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
3.7%
pass incomplete to Jake RobertsSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+12
3.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 12 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
3.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 41Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
3.6%
pass incomplete to Detraveon BrownSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+54
3.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Bryson Jackson for 54 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
3.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
3.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.9%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 13:365% → 1%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
4.7%
M. Bortenschlager pass,to T. Chambers for 60 yds for a TD, (C. Gabriel KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Carson Kaleo for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
1.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal formation (Tyrese Chambers) to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
1.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Bryce Singleton, broken up by Makyle Sanders for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (John Davis Jr.) to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 13:3695% → 99%
Q3 13:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
4.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.0%
I. Ragsdale run for 5 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 9:162% → 1%
Q3 9:16
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
1.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 28 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.5%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
0.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, intentional grounding. ( Yards) to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
0.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Carson Kaleo, broken up by Larry Nixon IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 7:3698% → 99%
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
1.7%
A. Adeyi run for 28 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
0.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
0.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+12
0.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
0.7%
pass incomplete to Khatib LylesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21Uncategorized
7 plays · 33 yds · 5:321% → 1%
Q3 5:32
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
0.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 47 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
0.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Tyrese Chambers, broken up by Gabriel MurphySimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+16
0.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Dean Patterson for 16 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
0.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Tyrese Chambers, broken up by DeShawn GaddieSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
0.5%
pass incomplete to Bryce Singleton FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Rey Burnett) to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
0.5%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
0.5%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:4499% → 99%
Q3 0:44
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
0.9%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 35 yds , Rishard Dames returns for no gain to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
1.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 5 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+4
0.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the NoTex 14Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+3
0.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
0.8%
Makyle Sanders run for 6 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+1
0.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the NoTex 24Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+14
0.8%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Roderic Burns for 14 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
0.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
0.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+1
0.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the NoTex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:521% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
0.5%
Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-6
0.4%
Max Bortenschlager sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 14
0
0.4%
pass incomplete to Carson KaleoSimilar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
0.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 10:37100% → 100%
Q4 10:37
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
0.4%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 45 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-2
0.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+11
0.1%
Jace Ruder run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
0.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
0.1%
Jace Ruder run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Asher AlberdingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 6:010% → 0%
Q4 6:01
4TH & 16
OWN 40
0
0.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 60 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
0.1%
Maleek Williams run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+11
0.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Dean Patterson for 11 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Jackson McDonald, broken up by Jordan BrownSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.1%
Maleek Williams run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+7
0.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Dean Patterson for 7 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
0.1%
Maleek Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
50
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
50
-10
0.1%
Max Bortenschlager run to the 50 yard line FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Tamarick Best) to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 40
0
0.1%
pass incomplete to Lexington JosephSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26Uncategorized
10 plays · 67 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
0.1%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 8 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
0.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
0.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+19
0.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
0.1%
Dawson Nobriga run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+4
0.1%
Dawson Nobriga run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
0.1%
Dawson Nobriga run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+11
0.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
0.1%
Dawson Nobriga run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:43
A. Aune pass,to R. Burns for 55 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK)
-6.9
TD · Q2 0:00
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
-6.6
TD · Q1 8:03
A. Aune run for 11 yds for a TD, (E. Mooney KICK)
-5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com