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MRSH

Marshall 49 at Charlotte 28

CLT
2021 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2021 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:07 · Shane Ciucci 32 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Home team on offense−10.0Pregame prior−18.1Score differential−1.7Garbage-time factor−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:42: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Keith Pearson for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +5.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:13: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 21 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +10.7 pts (now 37%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:26: Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 64 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +7.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:49: Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 22 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +7.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:45: Sheldon Evans run for 15 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +7.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 2 at MRSH 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 2 at MRSH 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:14CLT 4th & 4 at MRSH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.5%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:40CLT 4th & 6 at MRSH 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.0%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:41CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.2%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:16CLT 4th & 14 at CLT 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:56MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:07MRSH 4th & 6 at CLT 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−3.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:59CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 36, down 21
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:01CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 47, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54CLT 4th & 3 at MRSH 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 2 of 4MRSH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:42CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:14MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:12MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:13CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:26MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:49MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:45MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:07MRSH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:37CLT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:36MRSH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:33CLT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:1819% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
18.8%
Calvin Camp run for 22 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
18.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
18.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+10
18.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Keith Pearson for 10 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
18.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 6 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
18.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
18.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+3
18.8%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
18.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
18.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 5 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+1
18.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Marsh 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+5
18.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left incomplete intended for DUBOSE, Grant thrown to the MAR3. PENALTY MAR Offsides on LEGGS, TyQaze enforced 5 yards from the MAR23 to the MAR18 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
18.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
18.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 8 yds to the Marsh 10Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
0
18.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Marsh 10Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+4
18.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the Marsh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
24.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Keith Pearson for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2876% → 77%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.6%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
23.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 8 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
23.4%
Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
23.2%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+10
23.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 10 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
23.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 13 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
22.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+9
22.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 9 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+25
22.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 25 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:3424% → 26%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
23.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 30 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
24.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
24.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+6
24.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 6 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+8
24.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 8 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
24.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
24.8%
Calvin Camp run for 4 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
24.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
26.3%
Jonathan Cruz 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 4:2875% → 79%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
25.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 7 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+5
24.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
24.7%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
24.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 7 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
25.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
25.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
25.0%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
25.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 15 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
24.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 3 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+14
24.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 14 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
24.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+6
25.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the Charl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:5622% → 22%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
22.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
23.2%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
22.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
23.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
22.9%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 14
OWN 37
0
22.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 14
OWN 37
-5
22.2%
Bailey Rice punt for 48 yds , Willie Johnson returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:2077% → 77%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
23.4%
Sheldon Evans run for 4 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+8
23.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 8 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
23.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
23.0%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+5
23.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
23.3%
Robert Lefevre punt for 41 yds, downed at the Charl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:4323% → 37%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
22.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 24 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
24.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 8 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+8
24.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 8 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
25.7%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the right incomplete intended for SPENCER, Elijah thrown to the MAR0. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on GILMORE, Steven enforced 15 yards to the MAR16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
26.2%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left complete for 16 yards to MACK, Jairus caught at the MAR0 and advanced to the MAR0, TOUCHDOWN CLT, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, CLT Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MAR16 to the MAR21. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+21
36.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 21 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4069% → 77%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
31.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 11 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
30.1%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+64
22.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 64 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:1724% → 24%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
23.5%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left complete for 19 yards to SPENCER, Elijah caught at the MAR46 and advanced to the MAR46; QB hurried by CARPENTER, Esaias (ABRAHAM, Micah). PENALTY CLT Holding on NWANNA, Chibueze enforced 10 yards from the CLT35 to the CLT25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 20
OWN 25
0
23.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+12
22.9%
Calvin Camp run for 12 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+15
23.1%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the right incomplete intended for SPENCER, Elijah thrown to the CLT50. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on GILMORE, Steven enforced 15 yards to the MAR48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
25.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-3
25.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the Charl 37 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+2
23.7%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Charl 48 fumbled, recovered by Marsh Rodney CroomSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10MISSED FG
11 plays · 33 yds · 1:0280% → 79%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
20.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 3 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
19.9%
Grant Wells run for 4 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
20.0%
Grant Wells run for 5 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
19.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 17 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
19.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 4 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
19.8%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
19.9%
Grant Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
21.5%
Shane Ciucci 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1178% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
22.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 7 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
21.5%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Trey Creamer) to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
20.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 5 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+5
20.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
20.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 6 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+6
20.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
20.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 1 yd to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+1
20.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+22
13.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 22 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:3615% → 16%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
15.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
15.7%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the right incomplete intended for SPENCER, Elijah thrown to the MAR40. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on GILMORE, Steven enforced 15 yards to the CLT49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
16.7%
ChaVon McEachern run for 5 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+5
16.8%
ChaVon McEachern run for 5 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
16.3%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted return for no gain to the Marsh 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
5 plays · 95 yds · 2:2187% → 96%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
13.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 11 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
12.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 8 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+59
12.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 59 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
11.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
4.4%
Sheldon Evans run for 15 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:417% → 5%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
6.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
6.6%
BYRD, Shadrick rush up the middle for no gain to the CLT30 (LEGGS, TyQaze;CAVICANTE, Brian). PENALTY MAR Offsides on CUMBERLANDER, Koby enforced 5 yards from the CLT30 to the CLT35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+2
7.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 2 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-1
7.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 36Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
5.1%
Bailey Rice punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Willie Johnson at the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 3:5297% → 99%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
3.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+55
3.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 55 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
3.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
3.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 4 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
3.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
2.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
2.4%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
19 plays · 69 yds · 5:241% → 2%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
0.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 11 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
0.7%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+4
0.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 4 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
0.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+14
0.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 14 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
0.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
0.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 7 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
0.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+5
0.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
0.4%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+21
0.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Keith Pearson for 21 yds to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-7
0.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 3 yds CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jake Clemons) to the Marsh 11Similar
Q4 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
0.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
0.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Marsh 4Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 3:0199% → 100%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
1.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+6
1.3%
Luke Zban run for 6 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
1.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 4 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
1.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 11 yds to the Charl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
0.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 25 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:570% → 1%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
0.1%
James Foster pass complete to Keith Pearson for 19 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
0.1%
James Foster pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for 6 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+13
0.1%
James Foster pass complete to Grant DuBose for 13 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
0.1%
James Foster pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+3
0.1%
ChaVon McEachern run for 3 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+17
0.1%
James Foster pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 17 yds to the Marsh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
0.1%
ChaVon McEachern run for 1 yd to the Marsh 5Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.1%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.0%
James Foster pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK), (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20END OF GAME
8 plays · 28 yds · 4:3099% → 100%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
0.6%
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the Marsh 30Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+9
0.6%
Luke Zban run for 9 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
0.6%
Ethan Payne run for no gain to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+17
0.6%
Ethan Payne run for 17 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
0.3%
Luke Zban run for 5 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-2
0.3%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 41Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
-2
0.3%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:13
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 21 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+10.7
TD · Q2 3:26
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 64 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)
-7.5
TD · Q3 7:45
Sheldon Evans run for 15 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com