Try the model
UTEP

UTEP 17 at North Texas 20

UNT
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · DATCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+1.9UNT 49.1%Ethan Mooney 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 3 · Q2 5:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:18 · Ethan Mooney 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginTime remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense−1.3Garbage-time factor−0.7Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Blowout margin−0.9Time remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:48: Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 25 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +13.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 4:26: Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +30.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:26: Austin Aune run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27 — UNT win probability +19.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:55: Gavin Baechle 37 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +21.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:07: Ethan Mooney 27 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +40.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 13 of 13UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:49UTEP 4th & 21 at UTEP 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:36UNT 4th & 18 at UNT 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:25UTEP 4th & 2 at UNT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:04UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:48UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00UNT 4th & 1 at UTEP 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%−0.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    55.2%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:11UNT 4th & 6 at UTEP 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:33UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:28UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:18UNT 4th & 10 at UTEP 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−6.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:11UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 37, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:24UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:49UTEP 4th & 20 at UTEP 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−1.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:52UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:47UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:47UNT 4th & 4 at UTEP 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    62.6%−1.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−1.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:24UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−3.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:39UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:19UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00UNT 4th & 4 at UTEP 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    83.4%−0.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−6.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:04UNT 4th & 2 at UTEP 2, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−6.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:47UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−3.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:55UTEP 4th & 5 at UNT 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−15.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−25.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:01UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:22UNT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:48UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:26UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 2:1149% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
51.1%
Gavin Hardison sacked for 0 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
51.1%
Gavin Hardison sacked for 0 yards to the UTEP 14Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+1
51.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 37 yds , Roderic Burns returns for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:1352% → 52%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
50
+2
51.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
51.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on CARROLL, Daizion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-10
51.7%
JOHNSON, Isaiah rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the UTE45 (WILSON, Tyson). PENALTY UNT Holding on MOSE, Manase enforced 10 yards from the UTE48 to the UNT42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 18
OWN 42
0
51.4%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 18
OWN 42
+1
51.5%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 47 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 70 yds · 5:1148% → 48%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
51.7%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
51.7%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+5
51.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 5 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
51.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 23 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
51.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+27
51.3%
Gavin Hardison run for 27 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
51.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
51.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 5 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+3
51.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 2
OPP 17
-1
51.7%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:2152% → 52%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
52.3%
Ayo Adeyi run for 10 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
52.4%
Austin Aune run for 3 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
52.4%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
52.2%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
52.0%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 50 yds , Justin Garrett returns for no gain to the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:1648% → 47%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
52.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 16 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
52.1%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+1
52.2%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
52.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
53.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:3753% → 54%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
53.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 12 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
54.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
54.2%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+10
53.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 10 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
54.3%
Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
54.2%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+7
53.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 7 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+2
54.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
55.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-1
55.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+2
54.8%
Austin Aune run for 2 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 13:11
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
54.2%
Ethan Mooney 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7TD
1 play · 76 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
45.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 76 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2846% → 45%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
46.7%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
46.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ikaika Ragsdale for 2 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+12
45.4%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 12 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0556% → 55%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
44.0%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+6
44.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 6 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-5
44.2%
WADLEY, Quardraiz rush to the right for no gain to the UTE48 (MURPHY, Gabriel). PENALTY Before the snap, UTE False Start on TUPOU, James enforced 5 yards from the UTE48 to the UTE43. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
44.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
44.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:1045% → 49%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
44.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+6
44.9%
Ayo Adeyi run for 6 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
44.7%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+31
45.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 31 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
47.4%
Isaiah Johnson run for 8 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+3
48.3%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
48.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+9
48.3%
AUNE, Austin pass to the left incomplete intended for BURNS, Roderic thrown to the UTE16; QB hurried by HAYWARD, Breon and MOSS, Kelton. PENALTY UTE Pass Interference on BARNES, Dennis enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the UTE16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
48.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+1
48.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
47.1%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
49.1%
Ethan Mooney 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:0151% → 53%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
48.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 7 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+5
47.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 5 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
48.0%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+2
48.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+6
47.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 6 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
46.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Roderic Burns at the NoTex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4749% → 47%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
48.9%
Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the NoTex 17Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
48.6%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
47.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+18
46.5%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 42 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 18 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:3557% → 53%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
42.9%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 12
OPP 43
0
43.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
44.2%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Gabriel Murphy for 0 yards to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 20
OWN 49
+27
47.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 37 yds UTEP Penalty, Kick Catch Interference on TEJADA, Angelo enforced at the deadball spot for (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14END OF HALF
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:4948% → 51%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
48.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
48.4%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+7
47.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
48.4%
AUNE, Austin pass to the left complete for 9 yards to JACKSON, Bryson caught at the UNT44 and advanced to the UNT44 (HAYWARD, Breon), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, UTE Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UNT35 to the UNT40. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 5
OWN 40
0
50.6%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
50.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0847% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
47.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
47.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
46.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:52
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
45.9%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 53 yds, downed at the UTEP 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0554% → 52%
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
45.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
45.9%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
46.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
47.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:2550% → 63%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+33
49.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 33 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
52.1%
UTEP Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Tyson Wilson) to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
52.1%
Isaiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
52.1%
Isaiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.3%
Austin Aune 1 Yd Run (Ethan Mooney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:3040% → 39%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
59.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 9 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
57.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
58.8%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
58.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-5
56.9%
HANKINS, Deion rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the UTE44 (DAVIS, KD;FAULKNER, Sean-Thomas). PENALTY Before the snap, UTE Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UTE38 to the UTE33. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
59.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
61.4%
Gavin Hardison pass intercepted return for no gain to the UTEP 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 1:5965% → 80%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
65.3%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
65.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
64.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+11
62.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 11 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
66.2%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+13
66.1%
Isaiah Johnson run for 13 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
66.2%
JOHNSON, Isaiah rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the UTE11 (WILSON, Tyson). PENALTY UNT Holding on CARROLL, Daizion enforced 10 yards from the UTE15 to the UTE25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+25
79.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 25 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:1923% → 19%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
76.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
77.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+12
78.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 12 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
76.3%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
76.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
77.8%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
80.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 57 yds, downed at the NoTex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4580% → 78%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
79.5%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
79.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
78.7%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
77.9%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 50 yds , Justin Garrett returns for no gain to the UTEP 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:2021% → 18%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
78.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
78.3%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+9
78.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
77.2%
AWATT, Ronald rush up the middle for no gain to the UTE44 (NOVIL, Dion;WOOD, Kevin). PENALTY UTE Holding on MERVIN, Robert enforced 10 yards from the UTE44 to the UTE34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 20
OWN 34
0
79.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+16
79.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 16 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 4
50
-1
76.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 0:19
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
81.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 50 yds, downed at the NoTex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23DOWNS
18 plays · 97 yds · 7:5683% → 90%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
82.9%
Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+12
82.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 12 yds to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
82.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 12 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive Holding (Trejon Hugue) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
83.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+22
82.4%
Austin Aune run for 22 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
84.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
84.8%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+7
84.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 7 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
84.9%
Austin Aune run for 11 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
85.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
85.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+3
84.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 3 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+12
83.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 12 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
85.0%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
85.0%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
84.1%
Austin Aune run for 1 yd to the UTEP 2Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.0%
Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the UTEP 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24TD
8 plays · 98 yds · 2:3810% → 43%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+46
90.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 46 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
88.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
88.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 9 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+12
87.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 12 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+27
88.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 27 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.2%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the NoTex 4Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3976% → 82%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.3%
Austin Aune run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
76.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
74.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
81.6%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 42 yds, downed at the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:5230% → 55%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
70.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 12 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+32
67.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 32 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
61.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
63.4%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the NoTex 20Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
65.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
44.8%
Gavin Baechle 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27FG
6 plays · 72 yds · 0:4257% → 96%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
56.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Detraveon Brown for 12 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
56.9%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
55.6%
Austin Aune run for 2 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+58
55.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Detraveon Brown for 58 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
96.2%
Ethan Mooney 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:07
Ethan Mooney 27 yd FG GOOD
+40.8
TD · Q4 4:26
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
-30.3
FG · Q4 0:55
Gavin Baechle 37 yd FG GOOD
-21.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com