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CLT

Charlotte 32 at Louisiana Tech 42

LT
2021 · Week 11 · Nov 13, 2021 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:28 · Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Home team on offense+0.2Pregame prior+14.9Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:55: Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +11.0 pts (now 43%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:38: Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +9.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:58: Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +9.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:22: Aaron Allen pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 32 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +9.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:18: Keith Pearson 18 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Chris Reynolds Pass to Keith Pearson for Two-Point Conversion) — CLT win probability +11.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:28LT 4th & 2 at CLT 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:04CLT 4th & 1 at LT 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    27.8%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−4.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:58CLT 4th & 1 at LT 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−1.9
    90% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−6.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:01CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:06CLT 4th & 9 at LT 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−5.8
    average punt
  6. Q4 11:06CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 19, down 17
    Numbers favored punt by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%
    average punt
  7. Q4 7:05LT 4th & 11 at LT 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:54CLT 4th & 5 at LT 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:30LT 4th & 17 at CLT 46, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 3:16LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:55CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:38LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:58LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:22LT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:52CLT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:36LT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:18CLT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:06LT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:44CLT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1INT
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:2634% → 35%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
65.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
65.8%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+19
65.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 19 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
65.8%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
65.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+19
65.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 19 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
65.8%
Calvin Camp run for 8 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 2
OPP 14
0
65.0%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted return for no gain to the LaTch 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
18 plays · 98 yds · 8:1266% → 70%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
65.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+1
65.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 5Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+17
65.3%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 17 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
65.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+1
65.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+8
65.5%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Tre Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
65.6%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 19 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
66.0%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 6 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
66.0%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
65.9%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jacob Adams for no gain to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+6
65.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
66.0%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
66.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+21
65.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 21 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
66.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+12
66.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. 2 Yd Run (Jacob Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3DOWNS
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:0332% → 31%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
68.1%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offsides (Ben Bell) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+10
67.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 10 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
67.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-10
67.3%
QB Keeper REYNOLDS, Chris rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the LAT43, End of Play. PENALTY CLT Holding on NWANNA, Chibueze enforced 10 yards from the LAT46 to the CLT44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+38
68.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 38 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
66.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 8 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+5
66.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offsides (Ben Bell) to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
67.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the LaTch 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-19
69.3%
ALLEN, Aaron pass to the right complete for 19 yards to HEBERT, Griffin caught at the LAT20 and advanced to the LAT20, End of Play. PENALTY Before the snap, LAT Illegal Formation enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the LAT1 to the LAT0. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4INT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:4269% → 68%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
69.3%
Greg Garner run for 5 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+9
69.3%
Greg Garner run for 9 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
69.4%
GARNER, Greg rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the LAT18 (JACKSON, Miguel;ROGERS, Solomon). PENALTY LAT Holding on ADAMS, Jacob enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the LAT15 to the LAT7. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+1
69.3%
Greg Garner run for 1 yd to the LaTch 9Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 16
OWN 9
0
69.8%
Aaron Allen pass intercepted return for no gain to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
68.4%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left incomplete intended for CAMP, Calvin thrown to the LAT35. PENALTY CLT Holding on NWANNA, Chibueze enforced 10 yards from the LAT39 to the LAT49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5TD
10 plays · 39 yds · 5:2731% → 43%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+22
69.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 22 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
67.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+8
67.3%
Calvin Camp run for 8 yds to the LaTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
67.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 17 yds CHARLOTTE Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the LaTch 17Similar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
67.7%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the LaTch 16Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+6
67.7%
Calvin Camp run for 6 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+2
68.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the LaTch 8Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+5
69.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Ryan Carriere for 5 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
67.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 2 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:1766% → 75%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
65.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+4
66.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
65.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+13
66.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 13 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
66.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+4
66.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
66.5%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+12
66.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
66.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Charl 3Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
66.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 8Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
75.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2127% → 25%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
73.0%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 12Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
73.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
74.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 10
OWN 12
0
74.7%
Bailey Rice punt for 47 yds , Smoke Harris returns for no gain to the LaTch 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:0176% → 78%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
76.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Tre Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
76.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+6
78.5%
Aaron Allen run for 6 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
79.8%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 15 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
78.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 14 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
78.3%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+37
77.7%
Jacob Barnes 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0274% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
73.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+49
74.4%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Tre Harris for 49 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
75.8%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 9 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+6
85.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10FG
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:4716% → 20%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
83.6%
ChaVon McEachern run for 19 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
82.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 22 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
81.7%
ChaVon McEachern run for 7 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+15
80.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Targeting on LADLER, Khalil enforced (Khalil Ladler) to the LaTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
80.5%
ChaVon McEachern run for 7 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+4
80.5%
ChaVon McEachern run for 4 yds to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
80.5%
ChaVon McEachern run for 1 yd to the LaTch 4Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
80.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
81.4%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Mykol Clark for 0 yards to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
80.1%
Jonathan Cruz 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:4482% → 94%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.4%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+35
82.3%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Bub Means for 35 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
83.6%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 6 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+32
93.5%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 32 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:309% → 19%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyler Grubbs) to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
90.9%
Jr. Keith Pearson run for 13 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
90.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jake Clemons for 7 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
90.3%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
90.4%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left incomplete intended for DUBOSE, Grant thrown to the LAT13. PENALTY LAT Pass Interference CLT Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
90.4%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+29
90.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 29 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
90.0%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+25
90.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jr. Keith Pearson for 25 yds to the LaTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
89.6%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+12
80.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:1485% → 97%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
85.1%
Greg Garner run for 5 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+1
85.3%
Greg Garner run for 1 yd to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+8
84.6%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Tre Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
86.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 11 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
86.1%
Greg Garner run for 2 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
89.4%
Greg Garner run for 1 yd to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+21
89.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Tre Harris for 21 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
89.7%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Bub Means for 3 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
89.7%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+17
97.2%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 17 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:185% → 16%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 15 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
95.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 14 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
95.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 28 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
83.6%
Keith Pearson 18 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Chris Reynolds Pass to Keith Pearson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:1289% → 97%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Geovonte' Howard) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
89.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-5
89.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kellton Hollins) to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
96.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 25 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:224% → 13%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Deshon Hall for 0 yards to the Charl 16Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+3
96.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Ryan Carriere for 3 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+38
96.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jr. Keith Pearson for 38 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+22
95.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 22 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
94.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
87.3%
Keith Pearson 21 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Jonathan Cruz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:3491% → 91%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
91.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-5
91.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
90.3%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
90.9%
Cesar Barajas punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Geovonte' Howard at the Charl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:118% → 8%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+45
92.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 45 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
89.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
89.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 1 yd to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 9
OPP 38
-10
90.1%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass up the middle complete for 18 yards to DUBOSE, Grant caught at the LAT26 and advanced to the LAT20 (GRUBBS, Tyler;BUCHANAN, Baylen). PENALTY CLT Holding on MUSLIM, Arabee enforced 10 yards from the LAT38 to the LAT48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 19
OPP 48
+14
91.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jr. Keith Pearson for 14 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
92.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 4:2493% → 96%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
93.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
50
-3
93.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+14
94.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 14 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Charl 39Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
94.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-5
94.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 41Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 12
OPP 41
-5
93.1%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Delay Of Game (Aaron Allen) to the Charl 46Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
94.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+10
94.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Justin Whisenhunt) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 17
OPP 46
0
96.2%
Cesar Barajas punt for 31 yds, downed at the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 47 yds · 0:303% → 4%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
97.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
97.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+34
97.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jr. Keith Pearson for 34 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
96.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 13 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:18
Keith Pearson 18 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Chris Reynolds Pass to Keith Pearson for Two-Point Conversion)
-11.5
TD · Q2 5:55
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-11
TD · Q3 7:22
Aaron Allen pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 32 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com