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UTSA

UTSA 44 at UTEP 23

UTEP
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:56 · Gavin Baechle 37 Yard Field Goal Missed
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense−5.2Pregame prior−21.5Score differential−2.7Garbage-time factor−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:03: Frank Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +6.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:27: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +4.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Gavin Baechle 50 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +1.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:13: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:28: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 42 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +3.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 14:25UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:13UTSA 4th & 5 at UTEP 33, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:46UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:29UTSA 4th & 13 at UTEP 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00UTSA 4th & 6 at UTEP 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    71.6%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:56UTEP 4th & 7 at UTSA 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:03UTSA 4th & 1 at UTEP 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−3.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:43UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:35UTEP 4th & 4 at UTSA 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:40UTEP 4th & 1 at UTSA 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:40UTEP 4th & 1 at UTSA 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:43UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:21UTEP Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:03UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:27UTSA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:13UTSA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:28UTEP Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:45UTSA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:42UTEP Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1180% → 80%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
20.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 75 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:1820% → 20%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
20.3%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
20.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
20.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:32
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
20.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:25
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
20.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:0780% → 79%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
20.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 13 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
20.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 9 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+9
20.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 9 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
20.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
20.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+5
20.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Cade Stoever for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+51
20.8%
Hunter Duplessis 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2221% → 21%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
21.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
21.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
20.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:1279% → 80%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
20.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 14 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
20.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+18
21.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 18 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
21.0%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 14
OPP 24
0
20.7%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+1
21.3%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+41
20.4%
Hunter Duplessis 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0121% → 23%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+32
21.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 32 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
21.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
22.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Forest McKeeSimilar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+35
23.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 35 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 5:1778% → 78%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for no gain to the TexSA 25Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.4%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
22.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 11 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
21.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+1
22.0%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
22.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+5
22.6%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
21.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+8
21.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
21.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 16 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
21.8%
B.J. Daniels run for no gain to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
21.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 0:04
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
22.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to B.J. DanielsSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
22.3%
Hunter Duplessis 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:5922% → 22%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
21.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+21
21.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
50
+4
22.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+10
22.8%
Hankins, Deion rush for no gain to the UTSA46, PENALTY UTSA holding (McDougle, Lamonte) 10 yards to the UTSA36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTEP.Similar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
22.8%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+5
23.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+5
23.1%
James Tupou run for 5 yds to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
23.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the TexSA 22Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+2
23.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
23.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
22.2%
Gavin Baechle 37 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:4777% → 86%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
23.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
22.8%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+13
23.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 13 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
21.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 2 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-4
20.9%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+5
22.1%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive Offside (Praise Amaewhule) to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+48
21.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 48 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
20.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 9 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
20.6%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 2Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
21.1%
Leroy Watson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q2 5:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.1%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:1116% → 15%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
16.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+10
15.9%
Jacob Cowing run for 10 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
15.7%
Deion Hankins run for 11 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
16.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
15.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-7
15.7%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Trumane Bell II for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 33 Similar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
15.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 2:1686% → 94%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
13.9%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (Spencer Burford) to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
13.3%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+19
13.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 19 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
13.1%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
12.0%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (Ahofitu Maka) to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+9
12.1%
Frank Harris run for 9 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+7
11.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 7 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+32
11.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 32 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
10.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
10.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+15
10.3%
Harris, Frank pass incomplete to Franklin, Zakhari, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (Richardson, Torey) 15 yards to the UTEP7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTSA.Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
5.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12END OF HALF
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:2011% → 13%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
10.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
10.3%
Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+31
10.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 31 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+50
13.2%
Gavin Baechle 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13DOWNS
14 plays · 71 yds · 6:1510% → 9%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
10.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 30 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
11.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Nick AstSimilar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
11.3%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (Clarence Hicks) to the TexSA 40Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-1
11.6%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 41Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+11
11.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 11 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
11.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 10 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
11.1%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 24Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+6
10.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+11
10.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 11 yds to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
10.9%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd to the TexSA 6Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
10.7%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the TexSA 3Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
11.1%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 4Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
9.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14TD
15 plays · 96 yds · 4:1695% → 99%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
5.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+21
5.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 21 yds to the TexSA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+24
4.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 24 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
4.2%
Harris, Frank pass incomplete to Franklin, Zakhari, PENALTY UTEP holding (Richardson, Torey) 10 yards to the UTEP37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTSA.Similar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
3.7%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
3.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+11
3.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 11 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
3.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 9 yds to the UTEP 13 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Spencer Burford) to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 11
OPP 23
-2
3.3%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 13
OPP 25
0
3.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+18
3.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 18 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
3.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q3 4:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
1.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 0
OWN 35
-15
1.3%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zakhari Franklin) to the TexSA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:331% → 4%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
1.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Zach FryarSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+19
1.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 19 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
1.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
1.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 4 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+9
1.0%
Gavin Hardison run for 9 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
1.1%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
1.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+42
4.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 42 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:3798% → 100%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 12 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
2.4%
Frank Harris run for 20 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
2.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+25
2.1%
Frank Harris run for 25 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
2.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 9 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+4
1.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
1.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the UTEP 3Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.3%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:560% → 2%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.3%
Hardison, Gavin pass incomplete to Smith, Tyrin (Wyant, Alex), PENALTY UTSA pass interference 15 yards to the UTEP40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTEP, QB hurry by Wyant, Alex, QB hit by Wyant, Alex.Similar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
0.3%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+24
0.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 9 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jostein ClarkeSimilar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+9
0.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 9 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+9
0.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 9 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
0.2%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 24Similar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 15
OPP 24
0
0.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+14
0.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 14 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
0.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+3
0.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
1.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 7 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18END OF GAME
11 plays · 47 yds · 6:1299% → 100%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.9%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
0.9%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+7
0.7%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+16
0.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 16 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
0.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 6 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+5
0.5%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
0.5%
B.J. Daniels run for 14 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 15Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-2
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 13
OPP 17
-1
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:03
Frank Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
-6.9
TD · Q2 0:27
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
-4.4
TD · Q3 0:28
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 42 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com