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LT

Louisiana Tech 38 at UAB 52

UAB
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:04 · Cesar Barajas punt for 47 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+12.8Home team on offense+2.8Score differential+0.8Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:11: Greg Garner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +8.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:52: DeWayne McBride run for 17 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +14.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:27: Dylan Hopkins run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +11.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:07: DeWayne McBride run for 35 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +7.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:45: JD Head run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +12.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:26LT 4th & 3 at LT 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:35UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:08UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    65.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:07LT 4th & 6 at LT 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:16UAB 4th & 10 at LT 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:03LT 4th & 19 at LT 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−3.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59UAB 4th & 17 at UAB 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−2.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:49LT 4th & 9 at LT 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:56UAB 4th & 26 at UAB 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−4.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:04LT 4th & 9 at LT 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:39UAB 4th & 3 at LT 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−1.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−11.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:27LT 4th & 3 at UAB 3, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.5%−2.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−8.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:34LT 4th & 13 at LT 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 12:52UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:05LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:07LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:11LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:32UAB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:52UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:27UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:07UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:45LT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.1%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:40UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:22UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:21LT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:0882% → 82%
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+63
82.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 63 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
82.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
82.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
82.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q1 12:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
82.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2218% → 18%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
81.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
81.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the LaTch 22Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
82.0%
JD Head pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
82.0%
Cesar Barajas punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
82.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Deshon Hall) to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
82.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Deshon Hall) to the LaTch 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:0718% → 22%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
81.7%
JD Head pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 4 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+8
81.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
81.6%
PENALTY LAT False Start 5 yards from UAB46 to LAT49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 15
OWN 49
-5
81.7%
PENALTY LAT False Start (Williams,Samuel) 5 yards from LAT49 to LAT44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+1
81.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 19
OWN 45
+6
81.8%
JD Head pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+15
81.8%
UAB Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Grayson Cash) to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
81.5%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 9 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+1
81.4%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 1 yd to the UAB 16Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+9
81.6%
Greg Garner run for 2 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (Dy'jonn Turner) to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
81.4%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.5%
JD Head pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3079% → 78%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
79.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-SandersSimilar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
79.1%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Rasheed Lyles for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 22Similar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
78.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 5:2821% → 29%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
78.7%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 5 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
78.4%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 4 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+15
78.3%
UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Charlie Benton) to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
78.1%
Greg Garner run for 7 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
78.0%
Greg Garner run for 2 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
78.1%
Greg Garner run for 3 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
77.9%
JD Head pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
77.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 11 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
75.3%
JD Head pass complete to Jacob Adams for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
75.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
70.6%
JD Head pass complete to Smoke Harris for 18 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:5530% → 38%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
70.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
70.3%
JD Head pass incomplete to Bub MeansSimilar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+12
70.6%
UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Keondre Swoopes) to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
70.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+4
70.3%
Greg Garner run for 4 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.3%
Greg Garner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:3665% → 68%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
64.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-10
65.0%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Ezekiel Barnett for a loss of 10 yards to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 18
OWN 27
+14
64.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 14 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+16
65.3%
Kyle Greenwell run for 16 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
66.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 23 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
66.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
70.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 20 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
67.8%
PENALTY LAT Face Mask 15 yards from UAB35 to UAB50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2533% → 34%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.0%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
67.3%
JD Head run for 6 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
67.2%
JD Head pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
65.9%
Cesar Barajas punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:5165% → 68%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
65.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 7 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 17
OWN 16
+1
65.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 1 yd to the UAB 15Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 18
OWN 15
+15
64.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Kody Fulp) to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+36
65.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 36 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
68.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 11 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
66.0%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
66.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
64.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
68.0%
Matt Quinn 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:1335% → 34%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.3%
JD Head pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
65.4%
PENALTY LAT False Start (Means,Bub) 5 yards from LAT30 to LAT25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
66.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
66.5%
Cesar Barajas punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:0467% → 64%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-9
66.9%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Mykol Clark for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 19
OWN 30
-5
65.4%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Telfort,Kadeem) 5 yards from UAB30 to UAB25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 24
OWN 25
0
65.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 24
OWN 25
+7
64.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 17
OWN 32
0
63.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
77.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 17 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
74.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:1125% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
74.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
74.7%
JD Head pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
73.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+4
74.8%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 4 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
74.3%
JD Head pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:49
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
75.1%
Cesar Barajas punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:5375% → 72%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
74.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 11 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
74.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+7
75.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
75.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+12
76.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 12 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 19
OWN 30
-7
73.3%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Deshon Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 26
OWN 23
0
72.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5228% → 25%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
72.4%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 1 yd to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
72.6%
JD Head pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
73.9%
JD Head pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q3 7:04
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
74.8%
Cesar Barajas punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 6:3774% → 88%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
74.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 6 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+8
75.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+43
75.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 43 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
77.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 7 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 3
OPP 12
0
77.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-10
76.5%
McBride,DeWayne rush for 2 yards gain to the LAT10 (Cole,Jaiden) PENALTY UAB Holding (Prince,Gerrit) 10 yards from LAT12 to LAT22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 13
OPP 22
+10
75.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 10 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+6
73.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to A.J. Davis IV for 6 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
76.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the LaTch 3Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.5%
A.J. Davis IV run for 3 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
87.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:0013% → 19%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
85.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
85.1%
PENALTY LAT False Start (White,Dakota) 5 yards from LAT42 to LAT37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+5
87.0%
JD Head pass complete to Tre Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+41
87.3%
run for 41 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
84.0%
JD Head run for 7 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+3
83.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+8
84.6%
JD Head pass complete to Smoke Harris for 8 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+30
84.0%
JD Head pass complete to Smoke Harris for 30 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
82.6%
JD Head pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
82.6%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
83.9%
Greg Garner run for no gain to the UAB 3Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
80.9%
Jacob Barnes 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:1987% → 96%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+38
86.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 38 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
89.3%
TJ Jones run for 7 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+35
96.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 35 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 2:168% → 21%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
92.4%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 15 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
92.1%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 7 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
91.4%
JD Head pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-15
92.0%
PENALTY LAT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Harris,Smoke) 15 yards from UAB47 to LAT38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+15
93.1%
UAB Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Keondre Swoopes) to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
91.1%
Head,JD pass incomplete to Means,Bub PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Thomas V,Starling) 15 yards from UAB30 to UAB15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
90.7%
JD Head pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
90.7%
JD Head pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+5
91.4%
JD Head pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the UAB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
79.1%
JD Head run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:0290% → 98%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
89.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+25
90.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 25 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
90.9%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
90.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 1 yd to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+16
90.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for 16 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
91.0%
McBride,DeWayne rush for 2 yards gain to the LAT17 (Hall,Deshon) PENALTY UAB Holding (Jones,Jakoby) 10 yards from LAT19 to LAT29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+29
97.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 29 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
97.8%
Burkhardt,Reese kickoff 34 yards to the LAT31 fair catch by Mason,Joseph at LAT31 PENALTY UAB Offside (Daniels,CD) 5 yards from UAB35 to UAB30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:585% → 2%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
95.3%
JD Head pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 9 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
95.0%
JD Head pass incomplete to Tre HarrisSimilar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
95.0%
JD Head pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-11
95.0%
JD Head sacked by Kelle Sanders for a loss of 11 yards to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 21
OWN 33
+8
97.4%
JD Head pass complete to Tre Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
97.5%
JD Head pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
97.6%
JD Head pass incomplete to Tre HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24TD
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:1299% → 100%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
98.6%
Larry Wooden run for 3 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+38
99.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 38 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 1:011% → 3%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
99.5%
JD Head pass complete to Smoke Harris for 7 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+10
99.5%
JD Head pass complete to Smoke Harris for 10 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.5%
Head,JD rush for 0 yards to the LAT45 (Turner,Dy'Jonn), out of bounds PENALTY UAB Offside (Mayala,Jalen) 5 yards from LAT45 to LAT50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 5
50
+5
99.5%
JD Head pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 5 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.5%
JD Head pass incomplete to Kyle MaxwellSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+44
99.5%
JD Head pass complete to Tre Harris for 44 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
98.9%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:52
DeWayne McBride run for 17 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
+14
TD · Q4 6:45
JD Head run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q3 0:27
Dylan Hopkins run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
+11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com