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MRSH

Marshall 28 at Florida Atlantic 13

FAU
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:53 · Robert Lefevre punt for 35 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense−12.8Score differential−4.9Garbage-time factor−4.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4One-score game−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: pass incomplete to Shadeed Ahmed — MRSH win probability +5.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 14:46: Jayden Harrison 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Shane Ciucci Kick) — FAU win probability +4.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:18: Rasheen Ali 3 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) — MRSH win probability +17.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:37: Rasheen Ali 21 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick) — MRSH win probability +8.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:51: Willie Johnson 65 Yd pass from Grant Wells (Shane Ciucci Kick) — MRSH win probability +13.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 5:07MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:52FAU 4th & 14 at MRSH 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:28FAU 4th & 6 at MRSH 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    51.2%−0.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:36MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:31FAU 4th & 6 at MRSH 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:37FAU 4th & 7 at MRSH 47, down 6
    Close callPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:46MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 13, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:01FAU 4th & 3 at midfield, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:38MRSH 4th & 10 at FAU 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:01FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−2.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:02FAU 4th & 19 at MRSH 41, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−1.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:53MRSH 4th & 11 at FAU 36, up 8
    Close callPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:16FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:36FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 37, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:29MRSH 4th & 5 at FAU 41, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:55FAU 4th & 8 at MRSH 18, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:41MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 25, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:45FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:18MRSH Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:51MRSH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 6:3647% → 53%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
52.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Will Ulmer) to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
53.4%
Robert Lefevre punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
52.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 6 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
52.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 5 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
47.2%
pass incomplete to Shadeed AhmedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 12:4552% → 56%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
52.3%
Brandon Robinson 27 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Aaron Shahriari Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
53.7%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+33
53.8%
Johnny Ford run for 33 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
55.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+6
55.8%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3INT
6 plays · 42 yds · 10:1748% → 49%
Q1 10:17
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
51.7%
Grant Wells pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
51.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 19 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
50.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 8 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+9
50.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 9 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
50.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
50.6%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 7:3753% → 57%
Q1 7:37
3RD & 8
OPP 14
-6
53.3%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+37
53.3%
Aaron Shahriari 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
56.1%
Johnny Ford run for 7 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+31
56.4%
Johnny Ford run for 31 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
56.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-1
56.7%
Johnny Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 3:2855% → 56%
Q1 3:28
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
54.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 30 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
54.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+26
54.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 26 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
56.4%
N'Kosi Perry run for 4 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
56.4%
pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
56.0%
pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:3644% → 44%
Q1 2:36
4TH & 9
OWN 9
+2
55.7%
Robert Lefevre punt for 46 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
55.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
55.5%
pass incomplete to Shadeed AhmedSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
56.1%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey Gammage, broken up by Romain MunginSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 15:0056% → 66%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
56.1%
James Charles run for 4 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
56.3%
James Charles run for 5 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+4
56.1%
James Charles run for 4 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
56.4%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-8
56.4%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+38
59.2%
Aaron Shahriari 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
68.9%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
68.9%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
67.7%
pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+20
66.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 20 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 9:1852% → 52%
Q2 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
48.5%
Rasheen Ali 3 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-15
45.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Shadeed Ahmed, broken up by Zyon Gilbert MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Kendrick Sartor) to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
49.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Garet Morrell for 8 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
48.1%
pass incomplete to Jayden HarrisonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
48.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
48.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+14
46.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-15
45.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Shadeed Ahmed, broken up by Zyon Gilbert MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Kendrick Sartor) to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 25
OWN 49
+5
48.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+8
47.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 8 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
44.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, substitution infraction (Jaylen Joyner) to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
44.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+28
47.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 28 yds to the FlAtl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 6:3745% → 46%
Q2 6:37
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
45.4%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.4%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
43.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
42.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, off-side (Jamare Edwards) to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
44.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
0
46.5%
pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
50
+3
46.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
45.8%
pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 4:4655% → 58%
Q2 4:46
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
44.9%
Robert Lefevre punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
41.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 10 yds to the Marsh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
41.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the Marsh 15Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
41.5%
pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-2
42.3%
Grant Wells run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 3:0146% → 43%
Q2 3:01
4TH & 3
50
0
45.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 50 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
45.4%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
45.7%
Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+5
43.4%
N'Kosi Perry run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:3859% → 62%
Q2 1:38
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
41.1%
Robert Lefevre punt for 34 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
41.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Garet Morrell for 21 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
38.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 15 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.6%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines, broken up by Antarrius MoultrieSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
37.9%
pass incomplete to Shadeed AhmedSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
38.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier Gaines, broken up by Jordan HelmSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0142% → 42%
Q2 1:01
4TH & 6
OWN 14
+27
41.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 41 yds , Willie Johnson returns for 27 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
43.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
43.0%
pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+2
41.8%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:3767% → 68%
Q2 0:37
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+21
33.0%
Rasheen Ali 21 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
32.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 7 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
36.8%
Larry McCammon III run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+3
36.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 3 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 11:0234% → 30%
Q3 11:02
4TH & 19
OPP 41
0
34.1%
Matt Hayball punt for 41 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
27.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 7 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
29.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
28.1%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
28.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 8 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
30.7%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
30.5%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+17
31.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 17 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
33.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
33.1%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 33
-8
30.0%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17Uncategorized
11 plays · 24 yds · 6:5369% → 77%
Q3 6:53
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
30.9%
Robert Lefevre punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
25.2%
pass incomplete to Shadeed AhmedSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
22.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 3 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+22
23.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 22 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
21.4%
Sheldon Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
22.1%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Stone Scarcelle, broken up by Zyon GilbertSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
22.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen AliSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
24.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game. ( Yards) to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
24.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, off-side. ( Yards) to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+21
25.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 21 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-1
22.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:2731% → 27%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+31
31.4%
Johnny Ford run for 31 yds to the Marsh 24 Johnny Ford fumbled, recovered by Marsh Cory McCoySimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
26.4%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
26.4%
pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+7
25.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
26.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 8 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+1
27.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 1 yd to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+3
26.3%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
27.1%
Johnny Ford run for 22 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:5186% → 89%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
13.8%
Willie Johnson 65 Yd pass from Grant Wells (Shane Ciucci Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
10.6%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
10.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stone Scarcelle for 6 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+5
10.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1615% → 15%
Q3 0:16
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
15.2%
Matt Hayball punt for 42 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.7%
Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
15.2%
pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 15:0090% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+34
10.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 34 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 23
0
7.4%
pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
1.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 8 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
1.9%
Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
-1
2.0%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+5
2.2%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, off-side (Chase Lasater) to the FlAtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
1.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 14 yds to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
1.9%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-13
1.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 2 yds to the FlAtl 8 MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Will Ulmer) to the FlAtl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 8:368% → 3%
Q4 8:36
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
7.7%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
2.6%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+8
2.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 8 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+8
2.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 8 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
2.9%
pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
2.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
2.8%
pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:2997% → 98%
Q4 3:29
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
3.1%
Robert Lefevre punt for 30 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
2.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (James Magee) to the Marsh 10Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+16
2.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 16 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+14
2.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 14 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
2.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
1.9%
Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
1.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+3
1.9%
Grant Wells run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
2.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game. ( Yards) to the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:553% → 4%
Q4 1:55
4TH & 8
OPP 18
0
3.4%
pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
2.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 14 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
2.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Willie Wright for 55 yds to the FLAATLANTC 20 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cory McCoy) to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
3.8%
pass incomplete to Brandon RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
3.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, off-side (Jamare Edwards) to the Marsh 15Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
3.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-5
3.6%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4798% → 98%
Q4 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
2.3%
Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the Marsh 21Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+4
2.4%
Grant Wells run for 4 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
2.2%
Robert Lefevre punt for 40 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
2.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26Uncategorized
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
2.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
3.0%
pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+14
3.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Willie Wright for 14 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
3.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to James Charles for 4 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+6
3.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to John Mitchell for 6 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:18
Rasheen Ali 3 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick)
-17.5
TD · Q3 1:51
Willie Johnson 65 Yd pass from Grant Wells (Shane Ciucci Kick)
-13.3
TD · Q2 0:37
Rasheen Ali 21 Yd Run (Shane Ciucci Kick)
-8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com