Try the model
RICE

Rice 24 at Charlotte 31

CLT
2021 · Week 10 · Nov 6, 2021 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 10 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 40Pregame prior+15.3Home team on offense+1.6Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:29: Ari Broussard 22 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick) — RICE win probability +8.1 pts (now 37%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:48: Jordan Myers 1 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick) — RICE win probability +20.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:35: Ari Broussard 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick) — RICE win probability +22.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:14: Elijah Spencer 8 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Jonathan Cruz Kick) — CLT win probability +38.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Elijah Spencer 25 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Jonathan Cruz Kick) — CLT win probability +33.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:18CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:18RICE 4th & 1 at CLT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:02RICE 4th & 1 at CLT 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:21RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:11CLT 4th & 14 at RICE 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 6 at CLT 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:41RICE 4th & 3 at CLT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−0.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    22.3%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:16RICE 4th & 3 at CLT 30, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%−0.9
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    28.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:59RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:01RICE 4th & 7 at CLT 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−9.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:01CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:11CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:35CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 41, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:09CLT 4th & 10 at RICE 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−5.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:29RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:37CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:29RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:49CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:48RICE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:35RICE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:14CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−4.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:3470% → 70%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
70.3%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+16
70.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jairus Mack for 16 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
70.3%
Grant DuBose run for 3 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
70.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
70.3%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Trey Schuman for 0 yards to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 16
OWN 27
0
69.8%
Bailey Rice punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:1630% → 31%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
69.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
50
+11
69.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to August Pitre III for 11 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
69.7%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
69.7%
Ari Broussard run for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
69.7%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+4
69.8%
Jordan Myers run for 4 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
69.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+8
69.6%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cameron Montgomery for 8 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 1
OPP 17
0
69.7%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+35
68.8%
Christian VanSickle 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:2569% → 73%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
69.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 5 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
69.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+5
69.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 5 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
69.3%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+8
69.2%
Calvin Camp run for 8 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+6
69.5%
Calvin Camp run for 6 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
72.8%
Calvin Camp 53 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Jonathan Cruz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1628% → 28%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
71.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
72.0%
Jake Constantine run for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
71.9%
punt blocked by blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5MISSED FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:1073% → 72%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
73.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 4 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
73.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for no gain to the Rice 16Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
72.7%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Antonio Montero for 0 yards to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+42
71.7%
Jonathan Cruz 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:3128% → 37%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
71.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 21 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
70.9%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
71.3%
Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
50
+14
70.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 14 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
70.5%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+1
69.7%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
70.6%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+10
71.3%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 10 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
63.2%
Ari Broussard 22 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:4067% → 76%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
67.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 8 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+7
68.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 7 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
68.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 3 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+34
68.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 34 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
69.4%
RICE Penalty, Personal Foul (Trey Schuman) to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
69.4%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left incomplete intended for DUBOSE, Grant broken up by SMITH, Naeem at the RIC0. PENALTY RIC Offsides on GARCIA, Elijah enforced 5 yards from the RIC10 to the RIC5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
69.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
69.4%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left incomplete intended for DUBOSE, Grant broken up by MCCORD, Miles at the RIC0. PENALTY RIC Offsides on ORJI, Kenneth enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the RIC3 to the RIC1 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.7%
Shadrick Byrd 1 Yd Run (Jonathan Cruz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 4:0827% → 27%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-15
73.3%
RICE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+36
73.3%
Ari Broussard run for 36 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
71.2%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
71.4%
Ari Broussard run for 6 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+5
71.4%
Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
70.3%
CONSTANTINE, Jake pass to the left incomplete intended for PITRE III, August thrown to the CLT3. PENALTY RIC Pass Interference on PITRE III, August enforced 15 yards to the CLT48. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 25
OPP 48
0
72.2%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 25
OPP 48
+3
72.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 22
OPP 45
+19
73.3%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jordan Myers for 19 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 3
OPP 26
0
72.6%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:4575% → 76%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
74.7%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
74.3%
Jairus Mack run for 9 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
74.8%
Calvin Camp run for 5 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
76.1%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 37 fumbled, recovered by Rice Kirk LockhartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4029% → 28%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
70.6%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
69.0%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+3
70.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to August Pitre III for 3 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 3
OPP 30
0
72.0%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
74.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0125% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
74.6%
RICE Penalty, False Start (Jordan Myers) to the Rice 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
75.0%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jordan Myers for 4 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
75.6%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+11
76.7%
Charlie Mendes punt for 42 yds , Geovonte' Howard returns for 11 yds to the Charl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 42 yds · 1:2878% → 79%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
77.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+44
77.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 44 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
78.8%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:3026% → 32%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
74.5%
Ari Broussard run for 8 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+40
73.0%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 40 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
70.6%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+10
70.6%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 10 yds to the Charl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
70.6%
CONSTANTINE, Jake pass to the right incomplete intended for PITRE III, August broken up by HOWARD, Geo at the CLT0. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on HOWARD, Geo enforced 3 yards to the CLT2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
70.6%
Jordan Myers run for no gain to the Charl 2Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
70.6%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
71.4%
RICE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Adrian Bickham) to the Charl 7Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
71.3%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
68.0%
Christian VanSickle 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5972% → 70%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
72.3%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the right complete for 24 yards to DUBOSE, Grant caught at the CLT48 and advanced to the RIC47 (SMITH, Naeem), out of bounds. PENALTY CLT Holding on SA'O, Siah declined CLT Pass Interference on DUBOSE, Grant enforced 15 yards to the CLT14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 24
OWN 15
-1
71.8%
Jairus Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 25
OWN 14
+2
71.5%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 23
OWN 16
+13
70.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 13 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
69.8%
Bailey Rice punt for 34 yds, downed at the Rice 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:1332% → 57%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+40
68.4%
Ari Broussard run for 40 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
63.6%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-3
64.3%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+18
67.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 18 yds to the Charl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
63.6%
Brendan Suckley run for 3 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
63.6%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.3%
Jordan Myers 1 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3751% → 48%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
50.6%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Desmyn Baker and Elijah Garcia for 0 yards to the Charl 21Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+12
49.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 12 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
49.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
47.8%
Bailey Rice punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the Rice 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
20 plays · 84 yds · 9:3653% → 91%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
47.2%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 15 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
45.1%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
44.1%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+8
45.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 8 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
42.8%
Ari Broussard run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 3
50
+1
41.1%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+5
42.6%
Jordan Myers run for 5 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
41.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+10
42.0%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jack Bradley for 10 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
40.0%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jack Bradley for 3 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-5
39.4%
SUCKLEY, Brendan rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the CLT23 (ROBITAILLE, Marcus;MARTIN, Luke). PENALTY Before the snap, RIC Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the CLT29 to the CLT34. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-10
40.5%
CONSTANTINE, Jake pass to the left incomplete intended for PATTERSON III, Cedric broken up by ROGERS, Solomon at the CLT20. PENALTY RIC Holding on GARCIA, Cole enforced 10 yards from the CLT34 to the CLT44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 22
OPP 44
+29
43.6%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 29 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
39.3%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the Charl 15Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
31.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Charl 12Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+7
32.1%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jordan Myers for 7 yds to the Charl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
31.1%
Brendan Suckley run for 3 yds to the Charl 2Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
8.8%
Ari Broussard 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 2:2615% → 25%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.9%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Izeya Floyd and Ikenna Enechukwu for 0 yards to the Charl 16Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+20
14.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jairus Mack for 20 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
16.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
15.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
14.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+5
13.9%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left incomplete intended for DUBOSE, Grant broken up by LOCKHART, Kirk at the RIC41. PENALTY RIC Offsides on FLOYD, Izeya enforced 5 yards from the CLT36 to the CLT41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+5
15.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Keith Pearson for 5 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
17.2%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass up the middle complete for 14 yards to PEARSON, JR., Keith caught at the RIC40 and advanced to the RIC40 (LOCKHART, Kirk). PENALTY RIC Pass Interference enforced 15 yards to the RIC39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
18.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 13 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
21.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jairus Mack for 12 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
21.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
21.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
18.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:09
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+32
24.8%
Jonathan Cruz 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:4085% → 89%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
15.1%
Ari Broussard run for 17 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
13.4%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+3
9.9%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
10.0%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
11.3%
Charlie Mendes punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:1519% → 67%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
19.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 20 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
22.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
20.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass up the middle incomplete intended for DUBOSE, Grant thrown to the RIC18. PENALTY RIC Pass Interference on FRESCH, Sean enforced 15 yards to the RIC45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
24.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 20 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
28.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 17 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
67.3%
Elijah Spencer 8 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Jonathan Cruz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1449% → 46%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
50.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 10 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
49.2%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
50.3%
Jake Constantine sacked for 0 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 22
OWN 23
+4
53.6%
Jordan Myers run for 4 yds to the Rice 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23INT TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.6%
Elijah Spencer 25 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Jonathan Cruz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:14
Elijah Spencer 8 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Jonathan Cruz Kick)
+38.5
TD · OT 0:00
Elijah Spencer 25 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Jonathan Cruz Kick)
+33
TD · Q4 6:35
Ari Broussard 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)
-22.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com