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UNT

North Texas 30 at Rice 24

RICE
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:58 · Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 36 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Home team on offense+14.9Garbage-time factor+11.1Score differential+1.3Pregame prior+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:15: DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +21.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:45: Jordan Myers run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +16.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:58: Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +28.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:50: Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 17 yds for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +24.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:16: Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 12 yds for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK) — UNT win probability +28.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UNT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 14:55UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:58UNT 4th & 9 at RICE 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:25RICE 4th & 14 at UNT 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    54.3%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:39UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:39UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:10RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:19UNT 4th & 9 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:19UNT 4th & 9 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:12RICE 4th & 12 at UNT 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%−1.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−6.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:04RICE 4th & 6 at UNT 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:06UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:06UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:06RICE 4th & 3 at UNT 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    40.0%−2.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−4.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:58RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.2%−3.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:30RICE 4th & 1 at UNT 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−5.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−7.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:34UNT 4th & 6 at RICE 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−5.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:31RICE 4th & 14 at UNT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−3.9
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−3.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:58RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 11, up 3
    Numbers favored punt by 9.3 ptsWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.0%−9.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 0:15UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:45RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:58UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:50RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1FG
20 plays · 55 yds · 5:5748% → 48%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
52.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Bryson Jackson for 8 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
52.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
52.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 41 DeAndre Torrey fumbled, forced by Josh Pearcy, recovered by NoTex Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+6
52.4%
Ayo Adeyi run for 6 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
52.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 2 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+7
52.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
52.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
52.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 1 yd to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+9
52.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Khatib Lyles for 9 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
52.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Khatib Lyles for 5 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
52.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Khatib Lyles for 4 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-5
52.4%
PENALTY UNT Illegal Formation 5 yards from RIC25 to RIC30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+12
52.4%
Austin Aune run for 12 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
52.4%
run for no gain to the Rice 19Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
52.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+2
52.4%
Austin Aune run for 2 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q1 8:58
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
52.5%
Ethan Mooney 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 4:2753% → 52%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
52.5%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
52.5%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+21
52.2%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jordan Myers for 21 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
53.2%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+8
53.2%
Wiley Green pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 8 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
53.2%
Jordan Myers run for 5 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
53.5%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-5
53.1%
PENALTY RIC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UNT28 to UNT33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 6
OPP 33
-8
53.1%
Wiley Green sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the NoTex 41Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
51.7%
Charlie Mendes punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4647% → 46%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
52.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 7Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 7
0
52.8%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 7
OWN 7
0
53.2%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 7
OWN 7
+4
53.6%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 51 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 4 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 7
OWN 7
+4
53.6%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 51 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 4 yds to the Rice 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2953% → 52%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
52.5%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
53.2%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
53.0%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
52.4%
Charlie Mendes punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:5148% → 48%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
52.3%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the NoTex 7Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 11
OWN 7
0
52.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Var'Keyes GummsSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+22
52.9%
Austin Aune run for 22 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
51.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 4 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+15
51.6%
RICE Penalty, Personal Foul (Elijah Garcia) to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
50.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
50.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
50
0
50.9%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 9
50
0
51.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 9
50
0
51.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6FG
26 plays · 68 yds · 12:0752% → 57%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
51.9%
Jordan Myers run for 11 yds to the Rice 31 Jordan Myers fumbled, forced by Dion Novil, recovered by Rice Shea Baker for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
52.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 9 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+5
53.5%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
53.4%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 10 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
53.9%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the NoTex 44Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+8
53.8%
Jake Constantine run for 8 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
53.6%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
54.5%
Broussard,Ari rush for 0 yards to the UNT35 (Wood,Kevin; Faulkner,Sean-Thomas) PENALTY RIC Holding (Bull,Jaeger) 10 yards from UNT35 to UNT45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+5
52.8%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 5 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+17
52.8%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 17 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
54.5%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for no gain to the NoTex 23Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+15
54.4%
PENALTY UNT Pass Interference (Texada,Ridge) 15 yards from UNT23 to UNT08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
54.5%
PENALTY RIC False Start (Bull,Jaeger) 5 yards from UNT08 to UNT13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
54.4%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
54.5%
Jake Constantine sacked by Grayson Murphy for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+10
52.5%
Broussard,Ari rush for 0 yards to the UNT20 (Davis,KD; Murphy,Gabriel) PENALTY UNT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brown,Roderick) 10 yards from UNT20 to UNT10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
54.5%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the NoTex 9Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
54.5%
Constantine,Jake pass incomplete to Pitre III,August PENALTY RIC Holding (Servin,Clay) 10 yards from UNT09 to UNT19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
54.1%
Brendan Suckley run for no gain to the NoTex 19Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+2
52.5%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q2 14:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+9
51.4%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sean-Thomas Faulkner) to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
54.2%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
55.3%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
53.6%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
56.5%
Christian VanSickle 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 1:5247% → 64%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
52.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+10
52.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 10 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
51.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
50.7%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Damon Ward Jr.Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+5
52.0%
PENALTY RIC Offside (Garcia,Elijah) 5 yards from UNT39 to UNT44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+6
50.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
50
+38
49.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Bryson Jackson for 38 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
48.8%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+11
48.8%
Bryson Jackson run for 11 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:5041% → 39%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
40.6%
Jordan Myers run for 6 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+4
41.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
41.1%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
40.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+9
41.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 9 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
43.3%
Ari Broussard run for 6 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
44.2%
Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
43.1%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q3 11:04
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
38.7%
Charlie Mendes punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5862% → 61%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
37.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 7Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 7
OWN 7
0
38.0%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Bryson JacksonSimilar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 7
OWN 7
0
38.9%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jason PirtleSimilar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 7
OWN 7
+9
39.5%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 9 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 7
OWN 7
+9
39.5%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 9 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:2142% → 60%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
42.4%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 4 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
44.0%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+3
42.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+27
40.2%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 27 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
43.9%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the NoTex 5Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
43.9%
Jordan Myers run for 4 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.1%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:4050% → 72%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
50.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+2
51.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+26
51.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 26 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
47.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+16
47.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 7 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, Personal Foul (Kirk Lockhart) to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
47.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 4 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
28.5%
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 7:0836% → 57%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.8%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
34.2%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jordan Myers for 9 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
36.4%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
36.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
37.2%
Jake Constantine run for 4 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
36.8%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
35.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+10
35.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 10 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
36.8%
Constantine,Jake pass complete to Montgomery,Cameron for 0 yards to the UNT43 PENALTY RIC Illegal Touch-Pass (Montgomery,Cameron). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
36.2%
Jake Constantine pass complete to August Pitre III for 9 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
36.6%
Jordan Myers run for no gain to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 14:30
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
34.5%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
38.7%
Constantine,Jake pass incomplete to Patterson III,Cedric PENALTY UNT Pass Interference (Texada,Ridge) 15 yards from UNT32 to UNT17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
38.6%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the NoTex 17Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
63.5%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 17 yds for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
56.7%
PENALTY RIC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Constantine,Jake) 10 yards from RIC20 to RIC10. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:1650% → 48%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
49.6%
Austin Aune run for 12 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
47.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Bryson Jackson for 4 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
47.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
48.0%
Ayo Adeyi run for no gain to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
51.8%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:0358% → 71%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
57.5%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+1
57.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+58
56.0%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jordan Myers for 58 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
65.9%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
65.9%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 7
OPP 27
-7
63.6%
Jake Constantine sacked by Kameron Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 14
OPP 34
+53
70.5%
Christian VanSickle 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:2833% → 38%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
66.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 20 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
61.6%
Isaiah Johnson run for 6 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+9
60.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 9 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
59.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 8 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+5
58.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
58.6%
PENALTY RIC Offside (Baker,Desmyn) 5 yards from RIC17 to RIC12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 5
OPP 12
+3
58.6%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+2
58.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 2 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
58.6%
Isaiah Johnson run for 1 yd to the Rice 6Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
61.9%
Isaiah Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17TD
19 plays · 89 yds · 1:4286% → 67%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
85.9%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
85.5%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
84.3%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 10
OWN 11
+36
83.4%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 36 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
88.1%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+12
87.8%
Jake Constantine run for 12 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
89.0%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
88.8%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-5
87.7%
PENALTY RIC False Start (Bailey,Jake) 5 yards from UNT41 to UNT46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 15
OPP 46
+15
86.4%
Constantine,Jake pass incomplete to Pitre III,August PENALTY UNT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Texada,Ridge) 15 yards from UNT46 to UNT31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
89.8%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 13 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
89.8%
PENALTY UNT Offside (Murphy,Gabriel) 5 yards from UNT18 to UNT13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+6
95.1%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 6 yds to the NoTex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
95.1%
PENALTY RIC False Start (Pitre III,August) 5 yards from UNT07 to UNT12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
95.5%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q4 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
67.0%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 12 yds for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
51.3%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-51.3
TD · Q4 0:16
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 12 yds for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK)
-28.5
TD · Q3 3:58
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-28.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com