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UTEP

UTEP 25 at Florida Atlantic 28

FAU
2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:19 · Gavin Baechle 42 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Play 106Pregame prior+8.2Home team on offense+11.7Garbage-time factor+2.5Score differential+5.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Blowout margin+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:42: Trent Thompson 23 Yd pass from Gavin Hardison (Gavin Baechle Kick) — UTEP win probability +14.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:42: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33 — FAU win probability +4.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: One-score game).
  3. TD · Q2 0:02: LaJohntay Wester 39 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Aaron Shahriari Kick) — FAU win probability +8.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:26: Johnny Ford run for 5 yds to the UTEP 8 — FAU win probability +4.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:27: Zaire Mitchell-Paden 0 Yd Run (Aaron Shahriari Kick) — FAU win probability +9.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:02FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:02UTEP 4th & 2 at FAU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.8%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:41UTEP 4th & 6 at FAU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:26FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:52UTEP 4th & 21 at UTEP 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:39UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 29, down 4
    Close callPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:09FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 39, up 4
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:13UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:41FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:37UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:52FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:46FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    63.3%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:02FAU 4th & 1 at UTEP 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−4.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−3.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:28FAU 4th & 13 at FAU 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−2.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:38FAU 4th & 1 at UTEP 4, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%−3.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−12.3
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:19UTEP 4th & 4 at FAU 25, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−4.5
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:00FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:00UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:25FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:42UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:02FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:27FAU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:5879% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.5%
Johnny Ford run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-9
78.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
78.5%
Larry McCammon III run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+48
77.9%
Matt Hayball punt for 48 yds , Justin Garrett returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 6:2122% → 25%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
78.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
77.9%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for COWING, Jacob thrown to the EP 45. PENALTY FAU Holding on GILBERT, Zyon enforced 10 yards from the EP 32 to the EP 42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
77.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 19 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
77.8%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+9
77.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 9 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
77.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+5
77.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
77.8%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
77.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+12
77.9%
Gavin Hardison run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
77.8%
Reynaldo Flores run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+1
77.8%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
77.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
75.5%
Gavin Baechle 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1576% → 75%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
75.7%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
75.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
74.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 56 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:3425% → 25%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
75.3%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 13Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+15
75.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 15 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
75.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
75.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
75.5%
Gavin Hardison sacked for 0 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 16
OWN 22
-5
75.8%
UTEP Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 21
OWN 17
0
74.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:2775% → 77%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
74.8%
Johnny Ford run for 13 yds to the FLAATLANTC 42 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dy'vonne Inyang) to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
77.4%
Johnny Ford 27 Yd Run (Aaron Shahriari Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3924% → 24%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
76.3%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
76.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+12
77.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 12 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
77.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
76.5%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3076% → 76%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+10
76.3%
Johnny Ford run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+2
76.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
76.5%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+6
76.2%
punt for 47 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 6 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:1022% → 22%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
77.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 14 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
77.5%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
76.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
76.2%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-5
77.0%
UTEP Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
77.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3276% → 75%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
76.0%
Johnny Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+6
75.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 6 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
75.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:41
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+4
75.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 59 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 4 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0423% → 22%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
77.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
77.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
77.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+2
78.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4576% → 76%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
76.3%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
76.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
75.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
75.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 1:42
2ND & 17
OPP 23
+23
61.1%
Trent Thompson 23 Yd pass from Gavin Hardison (Gavin Baechle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:4066% → 76%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
65.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
67.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
66.5%
UTEP Penalty, Offsides (Jadrian Taylor) to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
66.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
66.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+8
65.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 8 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+5
66.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 5 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
67.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
67.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+6
67.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to James Charles for 6 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+39
76.2%
LaJohntay Wester 39 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Aaron Shahriari Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15Uncategorized
10 plays · 39 yds · 4:3726% → 23%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for no gain to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
73.8%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 14:45
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
74.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
72.9%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-5
73.5%
UTEP Penalty, Offsides (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
71.5%
Reynaldo Flores run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40Similar
Q3 14:45
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-5
72.5%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Bobby DeHaro) to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 14:45
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
74.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 10:08
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-15
72.9%
UTEP Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
77.0%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Nick Weber) to the FlAtl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 3:4076% → 74%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 15
OWN 36
0
75.6%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+16
75.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 16 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
77.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
76.9%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Praise Amaewhule for 0 yards to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 18
OWN 44
+5
74.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 5 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
73.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 35 yds, downed at the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:2726% → 26%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
73.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
74.1%
Gavin Hardison pass intercepted return for no gain to the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:5979% → 87%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
78.6%
Johnny Ford run for 5 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
78.0%
LaJohntay Wester run for 4 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
77.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
75.9%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.0%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.0%
James Charles run for no gain to the UTEP 1Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.0%
Zaire Mitchell-Paden 0 Yd Run (Aaron Shahriari Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19MISSED FG
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:0813% → 14%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+44
86.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 44 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
82.9%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+4
82.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
83.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:19
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+42
85.8%
Gavin Baechle 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1985% → 85%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for no gain to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for no gain to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 1:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
84.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Matt Hayball punt for 57 yds, downed at the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
86.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
86.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
87.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
88.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 48 yds, downed at the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:42
Trent Thompson 23 Yd pass from Gavin Hardison (Gavin Baechle Kick)
-14.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+12
TD · Q3 3:27
Zaire Mitchell-Paden 0 Yd Run (Aaron Shahriari Kick)
+9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com