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2021 · Week 9 · Oct 30, 2021 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:26 · Chase Gabriel 34 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior+16.2Home team on offense+22.0Score differential+15.6Garbage-time factor+4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:50: Shane Ciucci 29 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +3.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:00: Grant Wells run for 2 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:33: Sheldon Evans run for 41 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +5.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: Grant Wells run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 41 — MRSH win probability +1.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:16: Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +5.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:04FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:53MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:20FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:50MRSH 4th & 6 at FIU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:36FIU 4th & 12 at MRSH 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:11MRSH 4th & 4 at FIU 42, up 3
    Close callPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    86.8%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:56FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 10, down 3
    Close callPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:02FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 22, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:04FIU 4th & 1 at MRSH 27, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%−0.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:06MRSH 4th & 7 at FIU 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:26FIU 4th & 10 at MRSH 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:49FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:07MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:24FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:40MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:16FIU 4th & 17 at MRSH 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 9:00MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:33MRSH Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:16MRSH Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1Uncategorized
14 plays · -7 yds · 13:0413% → 18%
Q1 13:04
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+9
87.0%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 61 yds , Willie Johnson returns for 9 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
82.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 7 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+4
82.0%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.1%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
81.8%
pass incomplete to Rivaldo FairweatherSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
82.2%
pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 11:5387% → 82%
Q1 11:53
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
86.5%
Robert Lefevre punt for 25 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
82.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 18 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.0%
pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
82.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
82.4%
pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 10:2014% → 18%
Q1 10:20
4TH & 8
OWN 41
+43
86.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 43 yds , Willie Johnson returns for 4 yds to the Marsh 20 , Willie Johnson returns for no gain to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
81.6%
D'vonte Price run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-5
81.3%
Max Bortenschlager sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
81.8%
pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 6:5086% → 84%
Q1 6:50
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
85.6%
Shane Ciucci 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
83.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+20
83.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 20 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
83.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+16
84.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 16 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
84.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+5
84.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
84.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+4
84.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
84.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+2
84.3%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
84.0%
pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 4:3516% → 17%
Q1 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-2
84.4%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
84.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 47 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.5%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
83.4%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
83.3%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
83.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 18 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
82.6%
pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
83.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Tyrese Chambers, broken up by Micah AbrahamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 15:0083% → 79%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
83.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+9
83.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 9 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
83.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 9 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+2
83.9%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
83.8%
Sheldon Evans run for 5 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
84.0%
Sheldon Evans run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
84.1%
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
84.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen AliSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
83.2%
Robert Lefevre punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+6
79.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 6 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 11:5617% → 20%
Q2 11:56
4TH & 4
OWN 10
+38
83.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 63 yds , Willie Johnson returns for 38 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
78.8%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 8
-3
79.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D'vonte Price for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+5
79.7%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 9:0086% → 87%
Q2 9:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.1%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
86.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+6
86.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 6 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
86.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+15
86.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 15 yds to the FlaIn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
86.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
86.8%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.0%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-15
84.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Steven Gilmore) to the FlaIn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 7:3390% → 92%
Q2 7:33
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+41
90.0%
Sheldon Evans run for 41 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
91.9%
Grant Wells run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 6:0211% → 10%
Q2 6:02
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
89.4%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 55 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
90.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 12
0
90.4%
pass incomplete to Rivaldo FairweatherSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+7
90.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Shaun Peterson Jr. for 7 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+3
90.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 3 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:1696% → 97%
Q2 3:16
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
95.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+34
96.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 34 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.4%
pass incomplete to Jayden HarrisonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
96.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+9
96.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
96.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 9 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-2
96.5%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
96.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
96.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 8 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 0:045% → 5%
Q2 0:04
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+8
94.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 8 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+44
94.6%
Chase Gabriel 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
95.1%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
95.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Shaun Peterson Jr. for 6 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Tyrese Chambers, broken up by Micah AbrahamSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
95.2%
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+3
95.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Lexington Joseph for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Brian Cavicante) to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
95.1%
pass incomplete to Shaun Peterson Jr.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+23
95.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 23 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
94.8%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
94.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 1 yd to the Marsh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 13:0696% → 99%
Q3 13:06
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
96.2%
Robert Lefevre punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+26
98.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 26 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
98.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
98.6%
pass incomplete to Jayden HarrisonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+2
98.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 78 yds · 7:263% → 2%
Q3 7:26
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
96.8%
Chase Gabriel 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
98.6%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+14
98.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 14 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
98.6%
D'vonte Price run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
98.5%
pass incomplete to Nate JeffersonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+41
98.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 41 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.3%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+8
98.0%
D'vonte Price run for 8 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
98.0%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-1
98.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 15Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
-2
98.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q3 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 3 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
98.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 6 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
98.5%
Luke Zban run for 3 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
98.5%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+12
98.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 12 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
98.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
98.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 6 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+1
98.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
50
+10
98.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 10 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
98.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 20 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
98.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+3
98.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+8
98.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
98.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.6%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 15:001% → 1%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix, broken up by Nazeeh JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18Uncategorized
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:16100% → 100%
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.6%
pass incomplete to Caleb CoombsSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
99.5%
pass incomplete to EJ HortonSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+14
99.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Hahn for 14 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 13:0799% → 100%
Q4 13:07
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
98.7%
Robert Lefevre punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.5%
Luke Zban pass complete to Ethan Payne for 1 yd to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-1
99.5%
Ethan Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.5%
Luke Zban pass complete to Ethan Payne for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 11:241% → 1%
Q4 11:24
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
98.9%
pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
99.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
99.5%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 9:1699% → 100%
Q4 9:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
99.6%
Ethan Payne run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.6%
Luke Zban pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 9 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+14
99.6%
Luke Zban run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.6%
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 8:061% → 1%
Q4 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+17
99.0%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 17 yds Kaylan Wiggins fumbled, recovered by Marsh Daniel FosterSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
99.5%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.5%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 5:4099% → 100%
Q4 5:40
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Robert Lefevre punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.6%
Cam Fancher run for 1 yd to the Marsh 43Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-4
99.6%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 39 Cam Fancher fumbled, recovered by MarshSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+6
99.5%
Cam Fancher run for 6 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24DOWNS
13 plays · 51 yds · 0:161% → 1%
Q4 0:16
4TH & 17
OPP 33
0
99.5%
pass incomplete to Jackson McDonaldSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
99.5%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+3
99.4%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
99.5%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 9 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+1
99.5%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.5%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Caleb Lynum for 11 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
99.5%
Maleek Williams run for 12 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.5%
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+15
99.5%
Kaylan Wiggins pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 15 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
pass incomplete to Caleb LynumSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
99.4%
pass incomplete to Carson KaleoSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-7
99.5%
Kaylan Wiggins sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:00
Grant Wells run for 2 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 3:16
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q2 7:33
Sheldon Evans run for 41 yds for a TD (Shane Ciucci KICK)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com