Try the model
MTSU

Middle Tennessee 44 at UConn 13

CONN
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2021 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:27 · Zeke Rankin 42 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Pregame prior−28.9Home team on offense−0.5Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:43: Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 8 yds for a TD — CONN win probability +6.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 4:02: Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 25 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) (Zeke Rankin KICK) (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:15: Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 18 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:32: Zeke Rankin 32 yd FG GOOD — MTSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:02: Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 8MTSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 13:37CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:14MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:07CONN 4th & 2 at MTSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:27MTSU 4th & 4 at CONN 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.6%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:46MTSU 4th & 3 at CONN 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:57CONN 4th & 17 at CONN 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:55CONN 4th & 1 at MTSU 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:17MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 33, up 3
    Close callPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:18CONN 4th & 5 at MTSU 30, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:05CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 21, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:56MTSU 4th & 8 at CONN 31, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    79.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    78.9%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:32MTSU 4th & 14 at CONN 14, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−6.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:11CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:52MTSU 4th & 3 at CONN 19, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:16MTSU 4th & 3 at CONN 5, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:38CONN 4th & 6 at MTSU 26, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 14:56MTSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:43CONN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:02MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:15MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:02MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:31MTSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1919% → 20%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
19.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 5 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+2
19.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+2
19.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
19.6%
Joe McFadden punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2380% → 80%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.6%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
19.6%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
19.7%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
19.9%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:0720% → 21%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
19.8%
Steven Krajewski run for 2 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
19.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 10 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
19.9%
Nathan Carter run for 21 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
20.0%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
19.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 11
OPP 48
-5
19.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 16
OWN 47
+14
19.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 14 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-5
21.0%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:4079% → 78%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
20.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 12 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
20.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 7 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+7
20.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 7 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
20.5%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
20.5%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+2
20.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
22.0%
Zeke Rankin 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
22.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
22.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brian Brewton for 7 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+5
22.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Aaron Turner for 5 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
22.4%
Steven Krajewski run for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 28 fumbled, recovered by UConn Steven KrajewskiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:0678% → 76%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
22.2%
Chase Cunningham run for 5 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-3
22.1%
Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+14
22.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to CJ Windham for 14 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
22.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to CJ Windham for 9 yds to the UConn 8Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+5
22.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
22.1%
Mike DiLiello run for 2 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
22.1%
Mike DiLiello run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 3Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.3%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
24.1%
Zeke Rankin 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:4224% → 24%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
24.1%
Nathan Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 18Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 13
OWN 18
-1
24.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 17Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 14
OWN 17
0
23.6%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Richard Kinley for 0 yards to the UConn 14Similar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 17
OWN 14
0
24.1%
Joe McFadden punt for 37 yds, downed at the MTnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:0176% → 79%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
24.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 11 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
24.0%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+22
23.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 22 yds to the UConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
20.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 14 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 4:1221% → 29%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
20.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevin Mensah for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 14Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+5
20.7%
KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the left incomplete intended for GILL, Jahkai thrown to the UCO14. PENALTY Before the snap, MTS Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UCO14 to the UCO19. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+11
20.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
20.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+26
21.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 26 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
21.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+6
21.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
21.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+4
21.2%
Steven Krajewski run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
22.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+6
21.9%
Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+15
22.2%
KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the right incomplete intended for CLERCIUS, Kevens thrown to the MTS0. PENALTY MTS Pass Interference on PATTERSON, Decorian enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the MTS10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
22.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
22.2%
Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
29.1%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 8 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:2673% → 72%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
26.8%
QB Keeper CUNNINGHAM, Chase rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the MTS32, out of bounds. PENALTY MTS Holding on JOHNSON, Netori enforced 10 yards from the MTS25 to the MTS15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+4
26.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 4 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+5
27.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 5 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
28.3%
Chaton Mobley run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
27.6%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 44 yds, downed at the UConn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 1:5927% → 33%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
27.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 6 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
27.5%
Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+31
27.5%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 31 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
30.2%
Steven Krajewski run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
30.4%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
29.5%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
33.1%
Joe McFadden 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1671% → 80%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
29.5%
CUNNINGHAM, Chase pass to the left incomplete intended for WINDHAM, CJ thrown to the MTS47. PENALTY UCO Pass Interference on LUCIEN, Jeremy enforced 15 yards to the MTS40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
28.2%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
28.6%
Chase Cunningham run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+16
28.0%
Martell Pettaway run for 16 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
27.3%
Chase Cunningham run for 6 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
26.4%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+5
27.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 5 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
20.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 25 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) (Zeke Rankin KICK) (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5323% → 22%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
23.0%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 12Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+9
22.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 9 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 2
OWN 21
0
22.8%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
22.4%
Joe McFadden punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:5079% → 86%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
20.8%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+22
21.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 22 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
19.8%
CUNNINGHAM, Chase pass up the middle incomplete intended for WINDHAM, CJ thrown to the UCO25. PENALTY UCO Pass Interference on LUCIEN, Jeremy enforced 15 yards to the UCO27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
19.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 2 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+2
19.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 17 yds to the UConn 8 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Izaiah Gathings) to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
19.5%
JaMichael Thompson pass complete to Chase Cunningham for 5 yds to the UConn 18Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+18
13.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 18 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15FG
9 plays · 77 yds · 1:1116% → 20%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
15.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 4 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
15.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 2 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+4
15.6%
Steven Krajewski run for 4 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+57
13.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Kevens Clercius for 57 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
15.5%
KRAJEWSKI, Steven pass to the right incomplete intended for CLERCIUS, Kevens thrown to the MTS0. PENALTY MTS Pass Interference on RILEY, Quincy enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the MTS4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
15.5%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
15.5%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
19.7%
Joe McFadden 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 7:2481% → 87%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
19.5%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+14
19.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 14 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
18.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to CJ Windham for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 4
50
+5
18.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
18.7%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the UConn 45Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
18.7%
Chase Cunningham run for 2 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jeremy Lucien) to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
18.6%
Chase Cunningham run for 3 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
18.5%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-5
18.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (Jahlil Ryles) to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+4
19.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 4 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+9
19.7%
Chase Cunningham run for 9 yds to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 23
OPP 35
+25
18.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 25 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
18.5%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-4
18.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to JaMichael Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 14Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
19.0%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-13
18.5%
run for a loss of 13 yards to the UConn 35 fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Chase CunninghamSimilar
Q3 7:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
12.8%
Zeke Rankin 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2114% → 13%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
14.0%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
13.7%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
13.3%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Ja'Kerrius Wyatt for 0 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
13.1%
Joe McFadden punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:0989% → 97%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+37
11.4%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 37 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+9
11.5%
Chase Cunningham run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+7
11.0%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to CJ Windham for 7 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
10.6%
Martell Pettaway run for 11 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
10.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+7
10.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
10.4%
Chase Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
10.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 11 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
10.1%
Chaton Mobley run for 10 yds to the UConn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
10.1%
Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the UConn 6Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
10.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.7%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19INT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:424% → 4%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
4.3%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Devontae Houston for 7 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
4.5%
Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
4.5%
Devontae Houston run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 45Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
4.3%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 12
OWN 45
-5
4.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Sidney Walker) to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 1:20
3RD & 17
OWN 40
0
3.7%
Steven Krajewski pass intercepted return for no gain to the MTnSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:4998% → 100%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
2.5%
Chase Cunningham run for 7 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-1
2.4%
Chaton Mobley run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
50
+18
2.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 18 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
2.2%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Travis Jones for 0 yards to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 42
+10
2.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 10 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+5
2.3%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+5
2.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offsides (Durante Jones) to the UConn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
2.2%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+24
0.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 24 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:311% → 1%
Q4 12:23
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
0.5%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
0.5%
Steven Krajewski pass intercepted return for no gain to the UConn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22FG
10 plays · 21 yds · 4:36100% → 100%
Q4 11:52
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+7
0.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 7 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
0.4%
Jalen Montgomery run for no gain to the UConn 12Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
0.4%
Jalen Jackson run for 1 yd to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
0.4%
Mike DiLiello pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
0.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+5
0.5%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to JaMichael Thompson for 5 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-5
0.2%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 16Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+11
0.2%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 11 yds to the UConn 5Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
0.2%
Zeke Rankin 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:330% → 0%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
0.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Nathan Carter for 2 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+35
0.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Keelan Marion for 35 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
0.2%
Jalon Ferrell run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
0.2%
Jalon Ferrell run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+7
0.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 7 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
0.2%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
0.2%
Jalon Ferrell run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 6
OPP 26
0
0.1%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 17 yds · 3:38100% → 100%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
0.2%
Jalen Jackson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+7
0.2%
Jalen Jackson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.2%
Mike DiLiello run for no gain to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
0.1%
Jalen Jackson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+4
0.1%
Mike DiLiello run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:02
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)
-7.5
TD · Q2 4:02
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 25 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK) (Zeke Rankin KICK) (Zeke Rankin KICK)
-7.1
TD · Q2 10:43
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Brandon Niemenski for 8 yds for a TD
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com