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RICE

Rice 30 at UAB 24

UAB
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit Prince
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+0.0Home team on offense+23.4Garbage-time factor+14.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.2Blowout margin−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:40: Jordan Myers run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +1.8 pts (now 9%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:54: Wiley Green pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 2 yds for a TD (Christian VanSickle PAT MISSED) — RICE win probability +2.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:56: Matt Quinn 33 yd FG MISSED — RICE win probability +1.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:23: Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 11 yds for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +1.4 pts (now 17%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 5:52: Christian VanSickle 27 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +2.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 8RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 13:41RICE 4th & 2 at UAB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:41RICE 4th & 1 at UAB 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:09RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 44, down 1
    Close callPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:56UAB 4th & 10 at RICE 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:56RICE 4th & 1 at UAB 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:15UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, up 4
    Close callPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:33RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:00UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 32, up 4
    Close callPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:00RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 40, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:40RICE 4th & 1 at UAB 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−7.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:34RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 32, down 4
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:14UAB 4th & 6 at RICE 20, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−9.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:14UAB 4th & 6 at RICE 20, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−9.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:52RICE 4th & 7 at UAB 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−3.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−14.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:23UAB 4th & 16 at RICE 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−5.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−15.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:10RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 28, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:10RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 28, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:19UAB 4th & 4 at RICE 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%−2.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−1.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:00UAB 4th & 23 at UAB 47, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.0%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:40RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:54RICE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:20UAB Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:40UAB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:107% → 9%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
50
0
93.3%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
50
+3
93.3%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 14:50
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
93.3%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+5
93.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
93.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
92.9%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+5
93.0%
Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+3
93.0%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
92.9%
Ari Broussard run for 19 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
92.9%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
92.9%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+28
91.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 28 yds RaJae' Johnson-Sanders fumbled, forced by Gabe Taylor, recovered by Rice Antonio MonteroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:289% → 11%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
91.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
91.0%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+11
91.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 11 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
91.0%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+35
91.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 35 yds to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 2 yds for a TD (Christian VanSickle PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3490% → 90%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
89.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 20 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
89.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 7 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+36
89.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 36 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
90.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5810% → 12%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
89.7%
Griffin,Khalan rush for 3 yards gain to the RIC29 (Bynum,Devodric), out of bounds PENALTY RIC Holding offsetting UAB Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
89.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 10 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
89.5%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-4
88.4%
Wiley Green sacked by Devodric Bynum for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 33 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by UAB Antonio Moultrie , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:3590% → 90%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
89.7%
Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete to Pittman,Hayden QB hurried by Enechukwu,Ikenna PENALTY UAB Holding (Rykard,Will) 10 yards from RIC33 to RIC43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+14
89.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 14 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
89.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+26
90.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 26 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:3110% → 11%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
89.8%
Ari Broussard run for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
89.6%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-2
88.8%
Wiley Green sacked by Fish McWilliams for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+6
89.2%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 6 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
88.9%
Charlie Mendes punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:1389% → 88%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+34
89.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 34 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+16
89.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 16 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
89.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
89.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
89.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
89.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-SandersSimilar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
88.3%
Matt Quinn 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 7:3312% → 17%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+32
88.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 32 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
87.3%
Luke McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+7
87.6%
Ari Broussard run for 7 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+3
87.5%
Cameron Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
87.9%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
87.3%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+3
87.1%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+6
87.3%
Wiley Green run for 6 yds to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 25
OPP 41
0
85.8%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 25
OPP 41
+6
85.9%
Wiley Green run for 6 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 19
OPP 35
+22
86.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 22 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
84.8%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
83.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 11 yds for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0886% → 85%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
86.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
85.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+13
84.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 54 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 13 yds to the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4215% → 14%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.0%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
85.0%
Jordan Myers run for 7 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
84.7%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
86.0%
Charlie Mendes punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3386% → 85%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
85.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
85.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5485% → 83%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
84.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 7 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
85.4%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+1
84.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 1 yd to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
83.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 5:2017% → 19%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
83.1%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
83.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
82.8%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+30
83.8%
Jaeger Bull run for 30 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
80.6%
Khalan Griffin run for 7 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+13
80.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 13 yds to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
80.4%
Luke McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
80.4%
Wiley Green sacked by Tyree Turner for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 11Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+10
81.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jordan Myers for 10 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 1 yd for a TD (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 0:4083% → 83%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
83.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-11
83.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UAB 26 UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (RaJae' Johnson-Sanders) to the UAB 13Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 21
OWN 13
+15
83.1%
Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete to Prince,Gerrit PENALTY RIC Pass Interference (Fresch,Sean) 15 yards from UAB13 to UAB28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
83.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 72 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1318% → 19%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
82.0%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
81.5%
Luke McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
81.5%
Jordan Myers run for no gain to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+1
81.4%
Charlie Mendes punt for 42 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 1 yd to the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17INT
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:4882% → 82%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-8
82.1%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by DJ Arkansas for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 18
OWN 19
0
81.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18FUMBLE
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
77.1%
Luke McCaffrey sacked by Justin Thomas for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 47 Luke McCaffrey fumbled, recovered by UAB Justin Thomas , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:2484% → 81%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
84.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
84.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
85.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+6
85.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
85.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-2
84.0%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Josh Pearcy for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+7
81.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 7 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 6
OPP 20
0
81.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 6
OPP 20
0
81.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 8:2222% → 25%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
78.4%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+11
78.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 11 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
77.5%
Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
75.4%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+9
75.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jake Bailey for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
50
+15
74.4%
UAB Penalty, Targeting (Noah Wilder) to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
73.1%
Cameron Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
72.7%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+17
74.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 17 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
72.7%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+3
72.7%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+1
74.2%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
75.0%
Christian VanSickle 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 2:2984% → 88%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+35
83.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 35 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
86.7%
Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete to Palmer,Tejhaun broken up by Dunbar,Jordan PENALTY UAB Holding (Telfort,Kadeem) 10 yards from RIC40 to RIC50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 20
50
+16
85.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 16 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+26
87.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 26 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
87.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
87.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q4 5:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-11
86.6%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Naeem Smith for a loss of 11 yards to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+33
87.8%
Matt Quinn 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:1321% → 17%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
79.4%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-2
78.4%
Wiley Green sacked by Dy'jonn Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+2
81.1%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 12
OWN 28
+23
83.3%
Charlie Mendes punt for 41 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 23 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 12
OWN 28
+23
83.3%
Charlie Mendes punt for 41 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 23 yds to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23DOWNS
14 plays · 15 yds · 2:1090% → 94%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 3
OWN 32
0
89.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
89.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr.Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+17
88.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 17 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-15
90.7%
Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete to Shropshire,Trea PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Prince,Gerrit) 15 yards from UAB49 to UAB34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 25
OWN 34
+8
89.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 8 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+14
93.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 14 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+1
94.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+5
93.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 5 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 20
50
-15
95.4%
PENALTY UAB UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from RIC50 to UAB35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:11
3RD & 35
OWN 35
+12
94.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 12 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 23
OWN 47
0
94.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-94.2
FG · Q4 5:52
Christian VanSickle 27 yd FG GOOD
+2.9
TD · Q1 6:54
Wiley Green pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 2 yds for a TD (Christian VanSickle PAT MISSED)
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com