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UTSA

UTSA 45 at Louisiana Tech 16

LT
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 23, 2021 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:09 · Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 8 yds to the LaTch 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Home team on offense−8.9Score differential−5.5Pregame prior−10.7Garbage-time factor−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:44: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 75 yds for a TD — UTSA win probability +49.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: — LT win probability +4.7 pts (now 35%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:22: Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:12: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 10 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +8.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:46: Sincere McCormick run for 47 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +5.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:11LT 4th & 4 at LT 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:27UTSA 4th & 6 at LT 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30LT 4th & 12 at LT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:49UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:37LT 4th & 15 at UTSA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:40LT 4th & 14 at UTSA 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:44LT 4th & 5 at UTSA 44, down 9
    Close callPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    31.5%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:09UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 16, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:31LT 4th & 21 at LT 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−2.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:54UTSA 4th & 5 at LT 48, up 17
    Close callPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:22LT 4th & 10 at LT 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:06UTSA 4th & 13 at LT 21, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:58UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 31, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:18LT 4th & 4 at UTSA 34, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:20LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:12UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:46UTSA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1TD
18 plays · 82 yds · 12:2032% → 42%
Q1 12:20
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+47
31.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 47 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
40.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 14 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
40.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
40.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+10
41.2%
Austin Kendall run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
41.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 11:4469% → 65%
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
30.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 75 yds for a TDSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.4%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 10:1131% → 36%
Q1 10:11
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+13
31.2%
Cesar Barajas punt for 48 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 13 yds to the LaTch 41 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Ezekiel Barnett) to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
36.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
36.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
36.0%
pass incomplete to Marcus Williams Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 9:2768% → 66%
Q1 9:27
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
31.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 29 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
34.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
34.0%
pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
34.2%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark, broken up by Cedric WoodsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 7:3032% → 36%
Q1 7:30
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
32.1%
Cesar Barajas punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
36.3%
pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+11
36.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 11 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
36.5%
Greg Garner run for 4 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
36.6%
pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-6
36.0%
Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 5:4966% → 66%
Q1 5:49
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
33.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds , Smoke Harris returns for no gain to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
35.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
34.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-3
34.5%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:3735% → 38%
Q1 3:37
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+35
35.2%
Jacob Barnes 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
37.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+19
37.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 19 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+37
38.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 37 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
39.2%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tariq Woolen) to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
39.2%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
39.2%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Jacob Adams, broken up by Rashad WisdomSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-5
38.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Kellton Hollins) to the TexSA 17Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
37.8%
pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 15:0062% → 68%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
37.3%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
37.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 23 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
36.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-15
36.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Zakhari Franklin) to the TexSA 47Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 22
OWN 47
0
37.2%
pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 22
OWN 47
+4
37.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 18
OPP 49
+15
38.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Kershawn Fisher) to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
35.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 15 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
35.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction (Marcus Williams Jr.) to the LaTch 14Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+2
35.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+6
35.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
32.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
31.6%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
31.6%
pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cedric Woods) to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9MISSED FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 7:4034% → 40%
Q2 7:40
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+46
34.3%
Jacob Barnes 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
37.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
37.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 14 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
38.4%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 9 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-5
40.3%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Smoke Harris LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal formation (Marcus Williams Jr.) to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
40.0%
Austin Kendall run for 3 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+10
39.0%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Tre Harris, broken up by Christian Clayton for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive holding (Tariq Woolen) to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
40.8%
Greg Garner run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 48Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+4
38.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+9
39.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 9 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
42.2%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Tre Harris, broken up by Antonio ParksSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
42.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 11 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
42.2%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
42.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 2 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
-6
40.3%
Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:3866% → 76%
Q2 5:38
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+2
33.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
25.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 10 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
26.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Leroy Watson for 8 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+5
25.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
24.9%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
25.1%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
24.6%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
24.1%
Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
23.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+14
24.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Zeno Hannibal) to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
23.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 10 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:1830% → 30%
Q2 1:18
3RD & 2
OPP 41
-3
30.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
28.3%
Cesar Barajas punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
27.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+22
27.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 22 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
30.0%
pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
29.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
26.6%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 14:0972% → 78%
Q3 14:09
4TH & 6
OWN 16
+8
28.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 8 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
21.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
21.5%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
22.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin, broken up by Cedric WoodsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
3 plays · 56 yds · 12:4417% → 12%
Q3 12:44
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
17.2%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
11.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 5 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
11.5%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 8:3114% → 10%
Q3 8:31
4TH & 21
OWN 29
0
14.0%
Cesar Barajas punt for 62 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
10.2%
Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 21
+12
10.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 12 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+7
10.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 7 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-8
11.1%
Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 32
+6
10.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 38
-9
10.3%
Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 43 yds · 3:5489% → 93%
Q3 3:54
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
10.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 48 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
7.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+2
7.8%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+6
8.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
7.7%
pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
7.8%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+6
8.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
7.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+7
7.4%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
7.3%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
7.2%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
7.3%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:2211% → 10%
Q3 0:22
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
10.7%
Cesar Barajas punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
10.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
10.4%
Greg Garner run for 3 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+8
10.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bub Means for 8 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
10.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 14 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
11.4%
Greg Garner run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 46
0
10.7%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+3
10.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 3 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 15:0092% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
7.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+47
2.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 47 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+34
0.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 34 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
0.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 5:1899% → 100%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+28
0.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 28 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+38
0.2%
Hunter Duplessis 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
0.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 7 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+4
0.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
0.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-2
0.1%
B.J. Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 16Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 16
-5
0.1%
B.J. Daniels run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 12:38100% → 100%
Q4 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+21
0.1%
Frank Harris run for 21 yds to the LaTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 9:311% → 0%
Q4 9:31
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+21
0.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 21 yds for a TDSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.1%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 11 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
0.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 11 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+23
0.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Keyon Henry-Brooks for 8 yds to the LATECH 45 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Christian Clayton) to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.2%
pass incomplete to Tre HarrisSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
0.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 4 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+5
0.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 20 yds to the TexSA 6 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Samuel Emilus) to the TexSA 21Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.2%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 6:58100% → 100%
Q4 6:58
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+16
0.3%
Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 16 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexSA 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
0.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
0.1%
Josh Adkins run for 3 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 14 yds · 6:280% → 0%
Q4 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
0.3%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 4
OPP 34
-9
0.2%
Austin Kendall sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
0.2%
Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Lamonte McDougle) to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.2%
pass incomplete to Keyon Henry-BrooksSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+4
0.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24INT
6 plays · 62 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Praise Okorie for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
0.1%
Aaron Allen run for 9 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
0.1%
Aaron Allen run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+14
0.1%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 14 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+42
0.1%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Bub Means for 42 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
0.2%
Aaron Allen pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 11:44
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 75 yds for a TD
-49.8
TD · Q2 3:12
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 10 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
-8
TD · Q4 13:46
Sincere McCormick run for 47 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
-5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com