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FAU

Florida Atlantic 38 at Charlotte 9

CLT
2021 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2021 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:16 · James Foster sacked by Tre Jackson for 0 yards to the FlAtl 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:32: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +7.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz PAT MISSED) — CLT win probability +10.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:38: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 32 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +15.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:11: Malcolm Davidson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +14.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:06: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +12.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 10 of 11FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:56CLT 4th & 6 at FAU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:28CLT 4th & 5 at FAU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    37.9%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:29CLT 4th & 6 at FAU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:36FAU 4th & 11 at FAU 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:36CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.5%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00CLT 4th & 1 at FAU 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−4.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−12.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:32CLT 4th & 15 at CLT 42, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−3.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:27CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 29, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:10FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 46, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:00FAU 4th & 1 at CLT 13, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−1.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:09FAU 4th & 9 at CLT 9, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−3.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:42CLT 4th & 6 at FAU 39, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:22CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 17, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:06FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 48, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:06CLT 4th & 2 at FAU 12, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:16CLT 4th & 6 at FAU 6, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 12:32FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:00CLT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:38FAU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:11FAU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:06FAU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:14FAU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:5730% → 33%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
30.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+14
30.3%
Chris Reynolds pass to the left incomplete intended for Grant Dubose thrown to the FAU50. PENALTY FAU Pass Interference on Zyon Gilbert enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the CLT33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
30.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+10
30.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 10 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
30.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
30.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+26
30.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 26 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
30.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+1
30.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+5
30.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 5 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
32.9%
Jonathan Cruz 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 54 yds · 2:2868% → 68%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
32.5%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+9
32.4%
N'Kosi Perry run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+33
32.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 33 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
31.9%
James Charles run for 8 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+1
32.5%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the Charl 19 fumbled, recovered by Charl Markees WattsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3FG
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5934% → 37%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
33.5%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+10
33.5%
Calvin Camp rush middle for 29 yards to the FAU49. FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Holding (Marcel Southall) to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
34.3%
Calvin Camp run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 3
OPP 32
-5
34.5%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+3
34.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
34.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+30
33.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 30 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
34.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
34.5%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Romain Mungin and Caliph Brice for loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
34.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
36.9%
Jonathan Cruz 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:5763% → 66%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
36.9%
Johnny Ford run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
36.3%
Johnny Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+21
36.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 21 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
35.7%
Willie Wright run for 1 yd to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+7
35.8%
Larry McCammon III run for 7 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+4
35.7%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
36.5%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
36.4%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
-5
36.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+24
37.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 24 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-6
36.4%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 8 fumbled, recovered by FlAtl N'Kosi PerrySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
36.4%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the Charl 8Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
33.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5FUMBLE
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:4236% → 39%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
35.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 13 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
36.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jairus Mack for 23 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
37.6%
Chris Reynolds rush middle for 6 yards to the FAU35, fumble by Reynolds, recovered by CLT Panda Askew.Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-5
38.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+2
37.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+10
37.3%
Chris Reynolds pass to the right incomplete intended for Grant Dubose thrown to the FAU12. PENALTY FAU Holding on Zyon Gilbert enforced 10 yards from the FAU38 to the FAU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
38.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 21 yds to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
38.4%
Shadrick Byrd rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the FAU5 (WILLIAMS, Eddie;SOUTHALL, Marcel). PENALTY CLT Holding on Panda Askew enforced 10 yards from the FAU7 to the FAU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
-15
38.3%
Chris Reynolds pass to the right incomplete intended for Grant Dubose thrown to the FAU3. PENALTY CLT Pass Interference on Grant Dubose enforced 15 yards to the FAU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 32
-3
39.3%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 38 fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Caliph BriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0965% → 64%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
34.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
34.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
36.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
36.2%
Matt Hayball punt for 51 yds , Victor Tucker returns for no gain to the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7TD
19 plays · 88 yds · 13:1538% → 49%
Q2 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
35.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
35.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 4 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+8
34.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 8 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
35.8%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+10
36.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 10 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
36.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
37.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+1
37.4%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+6
36.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Ryan Carriere for 6 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
38.3%
Grant DuBose run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
38.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 3 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+4
38.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
38.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 22 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
39.4%
Chris Reynolds pass to the right incomplete intended for Victor Tucker, broken up by Caliph Brice at the FAU5. PENALTY FAU Holding on Zyon Gilbert enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the FAU14 to the FAU7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
39.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Bryce Kennon for 6 yds to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
40.8%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:2254% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
45.9%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
44.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+18
43.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 18 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
28.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 32 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 4:0633% → 30%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
33.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 8 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
35.1%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+13
34.1%
Chris Reynolds run for 13 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
36.0%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 16
OWN 41
0
31.9%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+1
30.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 1 yd to the Charl 42Similar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 15
OWN 42
+11
29.7%
Bailey Rice punt for 50 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 11 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:2169% → 84%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
30.6%
Johnny Ford run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
29.9%
Johnny Ford rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the FAU28 (ROGERS, Solomon). PENALTY FAU Holding on Desmond Noel enforced 10 yards from the FAU29 to the FAU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 20
OWN 19
-3
30.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 23
OWN 16
+18
31.2%
LaJohntay Wester run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+57
30.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 57 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
16.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4421% → 19%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
20.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
18.9%
Bailey Rice punt for 42 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 3:1782% → 85%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
17.7%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+11
17.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
16.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for 2 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+1
16.5%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+1
16.6%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+8
15.1%
Matt Hayball punt for 42 yds , Victor Tucker returns for 8 yds to the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0917% → 16%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
16.9%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 17Similar
Q3 1:22
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
16.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
16.2%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted by FAU Korel Smith, return for no gain to the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
3.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:348% → 5%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
7.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 9 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
7.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 9 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
7.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
50
0
7.5%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Latrell Jean for 0 yards to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
5.2%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted by FAU Ahman Ross at the FAU41, intended for Grant Dubose. Ross return for 20 yards to the CLT39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:2397% → 99%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
3.1%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 17 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
3.0%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 1 yd to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-6
2.6%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 27Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+14
2.8%
Javion Posey run for 14 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+6
3.1%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the Charl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
2.6%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
2.6%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 8 fumbled, recovered by FlAtl N'Kosi PerrySimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
2.7%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Kofi Wardlow and Derek Boykins for loss of 1 yard to the Charl 9Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
1.5%
Aaron Shahriari 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+26
0.9%
James Foster pass complete to Grant DuBose for 26 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
1.0%
James Foster pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for 5 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
1.0%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-1
1.0%
James Foster pass complete to Bryce Kennon for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
0.9%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:2899% → 100%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+60
1.0%
Johnny Ford run for 60 yds to the Charl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Johnny Ford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
0.1%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
0.1%
James Foster pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for 2 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
0.1%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+4
0.1%
Bailey Rice punt for 37 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 4 yds to the FAU50. PENALTY FAU Holding enforced 10 yards after the change of possession from the end of the play at the FAU50 to the FAU40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
0.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
0.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+3
0.2%
Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 4:06
4TH & 2
OWN 48
-5
0.2%
Nick Tronti run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:500% → 0%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
0.1%
James Foster pass complete to Victor Tucker for 23 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
0.1%
James Foster run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
0.1%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+6
0.1%
ChaVon McEachern run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q4 4:06
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+2
0.1%
ChaVon McEachern run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
0.1%
ChaVon McEachern run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.1%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
0.1%
James Foster run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
0.1%
James Foster sacked by Tre Jackson for 0 yards to the FlAtl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:38
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 32 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)
-15.2
TD · Q3 7:11
Malcolm Davidson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)
-14
TD · Q3 1:06
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)
-12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com