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UAB

UAB 34 at Southern Miss 0

USM
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameTD-2.3USM 15.8%Dylan Hopkins pass complete to GerritPrince for 34 yds for a TD (Matt QuinnKICK)AWAY 10 - HOME 0 · Q2 14:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:52 · Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 34 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Home team on offense−4.5Pregame prior−32.2Score differential−2.3Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. PUNT · Q1 4:26: Mason Hunt punt for 39 yds for a touchback — USM win probability +2.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:52: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 34 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +2.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q2 13:45: punt blocked by Grayson Cash blocked by Grayson Cash for a TD — UAB win probability +2.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:34: DeWayne McBride run for 31 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +3.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:30: Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +5.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:46UAB 4th & 8 at USM 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    82.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:26USM 4th & 15 at UAB 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:55UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:18USM 4th & 11 at USM 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52UAB 4th & 2 at USM 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.6%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:45USM 4th & 13 at USM 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:37USM 4th & 1 at USM 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:11USM 4th & 10 at USM 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:38USM 4th & 18 at USM 32, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:41UAB 4th & 13 at USM 35, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:29USM 4th & 9 at UAB 49, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:26UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 20, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:41USM 4th & 18 at USM 31, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:01UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 43, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:09USM 4th & 5 at USM 37, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:37UAB 4th & 7 at USM 49, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:52UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:34UAB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:30UAB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:1488% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
12.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 10 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
12.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+1
12.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+32
12.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 32 yds to the SoMis 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
12.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the SoMis 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+2
12.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
12.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the SoMis 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
12.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
12.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
14.2%
Matt Quinn 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2PUNT
13 plays · 44 yds · 6:1814% → 17%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
14.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 24Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+4
14.2%
Jake Lange pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 4 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
14.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 9 yds to the SoMis 37Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
14.4%
Jake Lange run for 2 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
14.3%
Demarcus Jones run for 2 yds to the SoMis 41Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+14
14.4%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 14 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
14.5%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+5
14.5%
run for 5 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+4
14.4%
Jake Lange run for 4 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
14.5%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+2
14.5%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
14.4%
Jake Lange sacked by Antonio Moultrie for 0 yards to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
16.5%
Mason Hunt punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3183% → 82%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
17.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 21Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
17.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
17.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+12
18.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 45 yds , Da'quan Bailey-Brown returns for 12 yds to the SoMis 32 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (13 Yards) to the SoMis 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3718% → 18%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
17.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 36Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
17.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
17.6%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 6
OWN 38
-5
17.3%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 33Similar
Q1 1:18
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
17.7%
Mason Hunt punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2682% → 84%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
18.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 33 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
17.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the SoMis 41Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
17.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+7
18.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to DeWayne McBride for 7 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+34
15.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 34 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6PUNT TD
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0615% → 12%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.3%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
15.3%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
15.0%
Jake Lange sacked by Alex Wright for 0 yards to the SoMis 17Similar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+5
14.7%
HUNT, Mason punt 33 yards to the UAB50 out of bounds. PENALTY UAB Offsides on KEY, Jaylen enforced 5 yards from the USM17 to the USM22. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
11.9%
punt blocked by Grayson Cash blocked by Grayson Cash for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0612% → 12%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
12.1%
Jakarius Caston run for 6 yds to the SoMis 31Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
12.3%
Dajon Richard run for 3 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
12.3%
run for no gain to the SoMis 34Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
12.2%
Mason Hunt punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 2:0389% → 93%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
10.9%
Samario Rudolph run for 9 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+8
10.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
10.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 18 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
7.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 31 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:239% → 9%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.0%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
9.0%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
8.9%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
8.8%
Mason Hunt punt for 32 yds, downed at the UAB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10TD
15 plays · 57 yds · 6:4192% → 96%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
7.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 9 yds to the SoMis 48Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-5
7.7%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+10
9.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 10 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
9.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 9 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+2
8.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
8.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+12
8.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 12 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
8.8%
TJ Jones run for 5 yds to the SoMis 15Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+3
8.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 12Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+7
8.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the SoMis 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
8.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the SoMis 3Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
8.7%
HOPKINS, Dylan pass up the middle incomplete thrown to the USM0; QB hurried by SYKES, Tahj. PENALTY UAB Holding on TREHERN, Matthew enforced 10 yards from the USM3 to the USM13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+10
8.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 10 yds to the SoMis 3Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11END OF HALF
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:305% → 3%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.5%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
4.4%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
4.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
4.5%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
4.4%
Chandler Pittman run for 2 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+5
4.3%
UAB Penalty, Offsides (Alex Wright) to the SoMis 43Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
3.0%
Jake Lange pass complete to Dajon Richard for no gain to the SoMis 43Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
2.7%
WEBB, Tee pass to the right incomplete intended for BROWNLEE, Jason thrown to the USM37. PENALTY UAB Roughing the Passer on TAYLOR, Tyler enforced 15 yards from the USM25 to the USM40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:223% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
2.7%
Tee Webb pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
2.6%
run for no gain to the SoMis 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
2.6%
Tee Webb sacked by Deshaun Oliver Jr. for 0 yards to the SoMis 37Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 13
OWN 37
-5
2.6%
HUNT, Mason punt 48 yards to the UAB15, fair catch by THOMAS V, Starling. PENALTY Before the snap, USM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the USM37 to the USM32. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 18
OWN 32
0
2.6%
Mason Hunt punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:5798% → 98%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
2.3%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Eriq Kitchen for 0 yards to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+37
2.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 37 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
2.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the SoMis 41Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
2.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+9
2.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for 9 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
2.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 31Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
2.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 9
OPP 31
-4
2.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 35Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 13
OPP 35
+52
1.7%
Matt Quinn 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:161% → 1%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.3%
Tee Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.3%
Tee Webb pass intercepted return for no gain to the SoMis 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
1.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to TJ Jones for 11 yds to the SoMis 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
1.2%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Face mask (10 yards) (Josh Ratcliff) to the SoMis 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
1.1%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the SoMis 1Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.1%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 ydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:551% → 1%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
1.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 20Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
1.0%
PITTMAN, Chandler pass to the right incomplete intended for BROWNLEE, Jason thrown to the USM42. PENALTY UAB Pass Interference on THOMAS V, Starling enforced 15 yards to the USM35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
1.1%
Dajon Richard run for 6 yds to the SoMis 41Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
1.1%
run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
1.1%
run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
50
-15
1.2%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Eric Scott Jr.) to the SoMis 43Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+8
1.0%
Dajon Richard run for 8 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
1.1%
run for no gain to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
1.0%
Mason Hunt punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 13Similar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
0.6%
BROWN JR., Jermaine rush to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the UAB25 (DANIEL, Lakevias), out of bounds. PENALTY UAB Holding on JOHNSON-SANDERS, RaJae' enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the UAB13 to the UAB8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0399% → 99%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 14
OWN 9
+7
0.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+4
0.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
0.6%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:26
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
0.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds , returns for no gain to the SoMis 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
0.4%
Dajon Richard run for 7 yds to the SoMis 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-9
0.4%
Jakarius Caston run for a loss of 9 yards to the SoMis 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+9
0.3%
Chandler Pittman pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 9 yds to the SoMis 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 46
-15
0.4%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SoMis 31Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 18
OWN 31
0
0.3%
Mason Hunt punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
0.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+6
0.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+8
0.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
0.4%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+3
0.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
0.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
0.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Da'quan Bailey-Brown at the SoMis 17Similar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
0.2%
WEBB, Tee pass up the middle incomplete intended for BAILEY-BROWN, Da'Quan thrown to the USM25. PENALTY UAB Roughing the Passer on TURNER, Tyree enforced 15 yards from the USM17 to the USM32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
0.2%
Dajon Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 31Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Tee Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+6
0.2%
Tee Webb pass complete to Da'quan Bailey-Brown for 6 yds to the SoMis 37Similar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
0.2%
Mason Hunt punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 5:39100% → 100%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
0.2%
Larry Wooden run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 21Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+15
0.2%
A.J. Gates run for 15 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
0.2%
A.J. Gates run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+2
0.2%
A.J. Gates run for 2 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
0.2%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tahj Sykes) to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
0.2%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the SoMis 48Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
0.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the SoMis 47Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+3
0.2%
Bryson Lucero run for 3 yds to the SoMis 44Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 2
OPP 44
-5
0.2%
UAB Penalty, Delay Of Game (Bryson Lucero) to the SoMis 49Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
0.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
0.1%
Dajon Richard run for 7 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-5
0.1%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 22Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-2
0.1%
Dajon Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 20Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Dajon Richard run for no gain to the SoMis 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:30
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
-5.1
TD · Q2 9:34
DeWayne McBride run for 31 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)
-3.1
PUNT · Q2 13:45
punt blocked by Grayson Cash blocked by Grayson Cash for a TD
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com