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RICE

Rice 0 at UTSA 45

UTSA
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:08 · Lucas Dean punt for 51 yds , Sean Fresch returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+30.5Home team on offense+13.3Score differential+8.8Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:40: B.J. Daniels run for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:21: Jake Constantine pass intercepted for a TD Trevor Harmanson return for 40 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +2.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:13: Timeout RICE, clock 02:13 — UTSA win probability +2.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:26: Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:06: Luke McCaffrey pass intercepted for a TD Corey Mayfield Jr. return for 49 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:09RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:28UTSA 4th & 8 at RICE 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:28RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:21RICE 4th & 3 at UTSA 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:21RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:08UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 44, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:43RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 9, down 24
    Close callPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:22UTSA 4th & 4 at RICE 42, up 24
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:06RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:45UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 32, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:50RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 25, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:08RICE 4th & 14 at RICE 31, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 41, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:34RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 11, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:54UTSA 4th & 17 at RICE 49, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:16RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 12, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:38UTSA 4th & 6 at RICE 36, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:58UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:40UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:21UTSA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:26UTSA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:06UTSA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:08UTSA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0290% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.7%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
89.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
89.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 11 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
89.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
50
+3
89.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+30
89.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 30 yds Joshua Cephus fumbled, forced by Desmyn Baker, recovered by TexSA for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
89.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+2
89.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
89.4%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:4911% → 11%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
89.2%
Jordan Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
89.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+6
89.2%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 6 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+5
89.2%
Charlie Mendes punt for 47 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 5 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:4489% → 89%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
89.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 4 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
89.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
89.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 16 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
89.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+7
89.3%
De'Corian Clark run for 7 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
89.4%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
89.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+11
89.3%
Frank Harris run for 11 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
89.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 2 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
89.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to B.J. Daniels, broken up by Naeem SmithSimilar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
89.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
89.2%
Hunter Duplessis 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.3%
Jordan Myers run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
89.2%
Jordan Myers run for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-9
89.1%
Jake Constantine sacked by Trevor Harmanson for a loss of 9 yards to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.5%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+2
89.5%
Charlie Mendes punt for 66 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 2 yds to the TexSA 22 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the TexSA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5TD
3 plays · 94 yds · 1:2389% → 92%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+81
88.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 81 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
89.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
92.3%
B.J. Daniels run for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6INT TD
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:199% → 6%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
91.2%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 8 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Corey Mayfield Jr.) to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
91.0%
Jake Constantine sacked by Dadrian Taylor and Dru Prox for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+4
91.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 4 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+9
91.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 9 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-40
94.1%
Jake Constantine pass intercepted for a TD Trevor Harmanson return for 40 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
94.2%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
94.2%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Jake Bailey, broken up by Corey Mayfield Jr.Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
94.4%
Jake Constantine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 8
OWN 30
+14
94.4%
Charlie Mendes punt for 42 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 14 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
95.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 2 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
95.1%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
95.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark, broken up by Jordan DunbarSimilar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 8
OWN 44
-4
94.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 51 yds , Sean Fresch returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
94.9%
Jordan Myers run for 4 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+4
95.0%
Jordan Myers run for 4 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 2
OWN 9
0
95.0%
Luke McCaffrey run for no gain to the Rice 9Similar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 2
OWN 9
+8
95.0%
Charlie Mendes punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 48 , Sheldon Jones returns for 8 yds to the Rice 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
96.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+3
96.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 3 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
95.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
95.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 5:075% → 3%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
95.2%
Luke McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
95.2%
Ari Broussard run for 6 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+6
95.0%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jack Bradley for 6 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
95.0%
Ari Broussard run for 12 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
95.0%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+12
94.9%
Ari Broussard run for 12 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
94.8%
Ari Broussard run for 7 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-7
94.5%
Cedric Patterson III run for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 40Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-22
96.7%
Luke McCaffrey sacked by Charles Wiley for a loss of 22 yards to the UTSA 38 RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Adrian Bickham) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 32
OWN 38
+5
97.1%
Charlie Mendes punt for 42 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 5 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:2697% → 99%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexSA 26Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
96.9%
Frank Harris run for 20 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
97.0%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+7
97.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 7 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+25
97.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 25 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
97.4%
HARRIS, Frank deep out pass incomplete to FRANKLIN, Z. (DUNBAR, Jordan), PENALTY RICE pass interference (DUNBAR, Jordan) 13 yards to the RICE2, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Jordan Myers run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14INT TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:541% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
99.0%
Ari Broussard run for 13 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive holding (Lorenzo Dantzler) to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
98.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 15
OWN 43
-49
99.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass intercepted for a TD Corey Mayfield Jr. return for 49 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
99.3%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jordan Myers for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 21Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+3
99.4%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+4
99.4%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 4 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+5
99.4%
Charlie Mendes punt for 48 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 5 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 30Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+2
99.5%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 32 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Lucas Dean punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
99.5%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+2
99.5%
Luke McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Charlie Mendes punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 4:06100% → 100%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+21
99.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 21 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.6%
Tre'Von Bradley run for 7 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+5
99.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 9 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
99.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 12 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Jordan Myers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
99.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 11 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.8%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-10
99.8%
BROUSSARD, Ari rush up middle for 4 yards to the RICE44 (MORRIS, Avery;HARMANSON, T.), PENALTY RICE holding (BRADLEY, Jack) 10 yards to the RICE30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+1
99.8%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 1 yd to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Charlie Mendes punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:11100% → 100%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jaylon Lott run for no gain to the TexSA 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 10 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.8%
Jaylon Lott run for 7 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-1
99.8%
Jaylon Lott run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 41 Jaylon Lott fumbled, forced by Myron Morrison, recovered by TexSA Jaylon LottSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Tre'Von BradleySimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 47 yds, downed at the Rice 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
99.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 11
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q4 12:34
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Charlie Mendes punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass complete to Tre'Von Bradley for 7 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 11 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Josh Adkins run for 11 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Tre'Von BradleySimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-3
99.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 13
OPP 45
-4
99.9%
Josh Adkins sacked by Josh Pearcy for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 17
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds, downed at the Rice 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
100.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 12
-3
100.0%
Khalan Griffin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+3
100.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 5
OWN 12
+15
100.0%
Charlie Mendes punt for 43 yds , Cade Stoever returns for 15 yds to the Rice 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for no gain to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Sheldon JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 3 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
100.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 2 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+8
100.0%
Khalan Griffin run for 8 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:40
B.J. Daniels run for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q2 13:21
Jake Constantine pass intercepted for a TD Trevor Harmanson return for 40 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+2.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 2:13
Timeout RICE, clock 02:13
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com