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LT

Louisiana Tech 3 at UTEP 19

UTEP
2021 · Week 7 · Oct 16, 2021 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:23 · Joshua Sloan punt for 21 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Home team on offense+12.9Pregame prior−7.1Score differential+6.5Garbage-time factor+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:02: Deion Hankins run for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +5.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 10:31: Austin Kendall pass incomplete — LT win probability +5.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:07: Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 41 — UTEP win probability +7.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:38: Gavin Baechle 41 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +6.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:28: Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 4 yds to the UTEP 16 — LT win probability +6.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 6LT made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20LT 4th & 14 at LT 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:59LT 4th & 1 at UTEP 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.9%−1.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−5.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:31LT 4th & 13 at UTEP 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−5.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:59UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:56LT 4th & 7 at UTEP 8, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:52UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 22, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−3.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:26LT 4th & 11 at LT 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:23UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 42, up 13
    Close callPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:11LT 4th & 5 at LT 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:15LT 4th & 10 at LT 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:07LT 4th & 1 at UTEP 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−3.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−3.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:38UTEP 4th & 3 at LT 24, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.7%−1.0
    68% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−8.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:49LT 4th & 10 at LT 25, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:44UTEP 4th & 14 at LT 36, up 16
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:19UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:02UTEP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4137% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
36.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 13 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
36.7%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
36.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+9
36.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
50
+1
36.7%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
36.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
36.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+11
36.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 11 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
36.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 6 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+11
36.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 11 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
36.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
41.7%
Deion Hankins run for 16 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5959% → 57%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
40.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 21Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
41.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
41.0%
Austin Kendall sacked by Jadrian Taylor for 0 yards to the LaTch 21Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+36
43.0%
Cesar Barajas punt for 49 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 36 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:1843% → 49%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
43.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
43.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+27
43.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 27 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
48.8%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:0353% → 51%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
46.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 50 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
45.5%
Austin Kendall sacked by Jadrian Taylor for 0 yards to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+12
46.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 12 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
48.8%
Greg Garner run for no gain to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
49.0%
Greg Garner run for no gain to the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 54 yds · 1:1151% → 54%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
51.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 15 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+39
51.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 39 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
53.7%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:1748% → 43%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
51.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 9 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+12
50.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
50.9%
Greg Garner run for 10 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
50.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 8 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
50.1%
Greg Garner run for no gain to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+11
53.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 11 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
52.5%
Austin Kendall sacked by Praise Amaewhule and Jadrian Taylor for 0 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 22
0
52.8%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 22
-5
54.1%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 27
+4
54.4%
Austin Kendall run for 4 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+40
56.7%
Jacob Barnes 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:3258% → 59%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
58.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+9
58.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 9 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
58.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
58.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
57.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
59.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 62 yds, downed at the LaTch 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
59.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:1763% → 66%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
63.3%
Deion Hankins run for 10 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
63.6%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+10
66.1%
Deion Hankins run for 10 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:3540% → 37%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
60.4%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
60.6%
Greg Garner run for 7 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+9
59.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 9 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
59.4%
Austin Kendall run for 15 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
58.6%
Bub Means pass complete to Smoke Harris for 22 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
58.2%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
58.2%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 3 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
59.2%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
62.9%
Jacob Barnes 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:0466% → 67%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
66.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
66.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for no gain to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
66.1%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Tyler Grubbs for 0 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 4:52
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
67.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:2634% → 30%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
66.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Smoke Harris for 9 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-15
65.4%
KENDALL, Austin pass to the left complete for 20 yards to HARRIS, Smoke caught at the LAT47 and advanced to the LAT49 (PRINCE, Justin). PENALTY LAT Pass Interference on HARRIS, Smoke enforced 15 yards to the LAT14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+2
66.8%
Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+2
66.9%
Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
70.1%
Cesar Barajas punt for 47 yds , returns for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0372% → 73%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
71.8%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+2
73.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 2 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+5
73.0%
Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
73.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1230% → 29%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
69.9%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
70.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 6 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
69.1%
Austin Kendall sacked by Jadrian Taylor for 0 yards to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
71.0%
Cesar Barajas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Justin Garrett at the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:4530% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
69.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 16 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
68.5%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
68.8%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+6
69.2%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
72.2%
Cesar Barajas punt for 46 yds, downed at the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17INT
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:0774% → 76%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
74.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
74.3%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 9Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+57
73.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 57 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
75.9%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
75.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for no gain to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+9
75.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Deion Hankins for 9 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
75.8%
HANKINS, Deion rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the LAT18 (GRUBBS, Tyler;LADLER, Khalil). PENALTY UTE Holding on LEE, Darta enforced 10 yards from the LAT22 to the LAT32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 20
OPP 32
0
75.8%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+12
79.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 12 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
79.7%
Gavin Hardison pass intercepted return for no gain to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
75.8%
KENDALL, Austin pass to the left incomplete intended for GRAHAM, Isaiah thrown to the LAT40. PENALTY UTE Pass Interference on RICHARDSON, Torey enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the LAT40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:0125% → 23%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.1%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
75.6%
Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+8
75.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
50
+3
73.8%
Greg Garner run for 3 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+4
73.9%
Greg Garner run for 4 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
73.8%
Greg Garner run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
76.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:2984% → 91%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
84.3%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
84.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 10 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
84.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
84.3%
Reynaldo Flores run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+20
83.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 20 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
84.6%
Reynaldo Flores run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+5
84.6%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 2
OPP 23
-1
84.0%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 24Similar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
90.8%
Gavin Baechle 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4912% → 11%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.2%
Austin Kendall run for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
88.9%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Cesar Barajas punt for 71 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:2191% → 92%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
90.9%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 5Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 5
0
90.8%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 5Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+15
92.2%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 5 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Grubbs) to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0814% → 13%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
86.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 4 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-8
86.2%
Keyon Henry-Brooks run for 2 yds to the UTEP 14 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Baylen Buchanan) to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
87.0%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted return for no gain to the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23PUNT
14 plays · 52 yds · 7:3693% → 95%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
92.7%
Reynaldo Flores run for 14 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
93.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+28
92.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 28 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
93.6%
Reynaldo Flores run for 2 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
93.5%
Gavin Hardison run for 2 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+5
93.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+5
92.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Encroachment on ROSE, Keivie enforced (Keivie Rose) to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
93.6%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jeremiah Byers) to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 14
OPP 36
-1
93.6%
Calvin Brownholtz run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+1
98.0%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 14
OPP 36
0
97.9%
James Tupou run for no gain to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 14
OPP 36
0
98.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
95.0%
UTEP Penalty, Targeting on WILLIAMS, Deylon enforced (Deylon Williams) to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24INT
4 plays · 69 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
94.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 14 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
94.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 16 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
92.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 14 yds to the UTEP 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
92.9%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted, touchback. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 9 yds · 0:2299% → 99%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.6%
Reynaldo Flores run for 1 yd to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
98.8%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 6 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
99.0%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+5
99.0%
SLOAN, Joshua punt 47 yards to the LAT24 downed by TEJADA, Angelo. PENALTY LAT Running Into the kicker on THOMAS, Ivan enforced 5 yards from the UTE29 to the UTE34 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.1%
Calvin Brownholtz run for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Reynaldo Flores run for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Reynaldo Flores run for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.0%
UTEP Penalty, Delay Of Game (Joshua Sloan) to the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26INT
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:421% → 1%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.1%
Austin Kendall run for 9 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted return for no gain to the UTEP 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:07
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 41
+7.6
FG · Q3 0:38
Gavin Baechle 41 yd FG GOOD
+6.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:28
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tre Harris for 4 yds to the UTEP 16
-6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com