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UTEP

UTEP 26 at Southern Miss 13

USM
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDSAFETYFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:16 · Mason Hunt punt for 59 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 6 yds to the UTEP 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.4Pregame prior−6.6Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:42: Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 31 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +3.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:20: Jacob Cowing run for 53 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +8.7 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:53: Jake Lange pass complete to Brad Dennis for 8 yds to the SoMis 37 — UTEP win probability +5.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:14: Breon Hayward 55 Yd Fumble Return (Gavin Baechle Kick) — UTEP win probability +15.2 pts (now 76%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:02: Demarcus Jones 3 Yd pass from Jake Lange (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — USM win probability +4.4 pts (now 8%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 1:11UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:12UTEP 4th & 9 at USM 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    49.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:16USM 4th & 10 at USM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:43UTEP 4th & 15 at USM 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:05USM 4th & 12 at USM 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:45USM 4th & 21 at USM 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−2.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:27UTEP 4th & 7 at USM 40, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:49USM 4th & 11 at USM 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:44USM 4th & 2 at UTEP 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−8.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:29UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 9, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:45USM 4th & 24 at UTEP 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:09UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:06USM 4th & 25 at USM 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−2.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:29UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:55UTEP 4th & 1 at USM 16, up 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%−1.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−3.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:22UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:42USM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:20UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:14UTEP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:02USM Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.6%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 5:3860% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
40.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 13 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
40.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 8 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
40.5%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
40.5%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
40.5%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 48
+5
40.5%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offsides (Tahj Sykes) to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
40.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 16 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
40.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the SoMis 17Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
39.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 17 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4040% → 45%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
40.4%
Jake Lange pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 8 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
40.4%
Jake Lange pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 7 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-5
40.8%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 37Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+19
40.3%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 19 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
41.0%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+14
40.9%
Jake Lange pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 14 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
41.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+31
44.6%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 31 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:2657% → 56%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
43.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 16 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
43.1%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
43.0%
Reynaldo Flores run for 8 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
42.6%
AWATT, Ronald rush to the right for no gain to the UTE43 (HARRELL, Camron), out of bounds. PENALTY UTE Holding on THOMPSON, Trent enforced 10 yards from the UTE43 to the UTE33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 20
OWN 33
-5
43.3%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the right complete for 38 yards to COWING, Jacob caught at the USM29 and advanced to the USM29 (HARRELL, Camron), out of bounds. PENALTY UTE Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on FRYAR, Zach enforced 5 yards from the UTE33 to the UTE28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 25
OWN 28
+9
43.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 9 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 16
OWN 37
0
43.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+13
43.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 3
50
-5
42.9%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
44.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:1845% → 47%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
45.0%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
45.0%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+14
45.0%
Jake Lange pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 14 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
46.5%
Jake Lange pass intercepted return for no gain to the UTEP 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4157% → 55%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
43.4%
Deion Hankins run for 22 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
42.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the SoMis 37Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
42.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
43.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
44.8%
Joshua Sloan punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:5646% → 45%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
45.7%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 11 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
45.9%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 12 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
46.2%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
46.1%
Jake Lange run for no gain to the SoMis 32Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
45.2%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+6
45.3%
Mason Hunt punt for 59 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 6 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:3355% → 53%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+55
45.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 55 yds to the SoMis 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
42.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 10 yds to the SoMis 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
42.6%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the SoMis 5Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
43.1%
run for a loss of 10 yards to the SoMis 15Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
44.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
46.6%
Gavin Baechle 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:3848% → 47%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
48.4%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
48.4%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-5
47.5%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Eric Scott Jr.) to the SoMis 17Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-5
47.4%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 12Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+6
47.4%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 18Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
47.1%
Mason Hunt punt for 41 yds, downed at the UTEP 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:4556% → 65%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
43.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+53
35.0%
Jacob Cowing run for 53 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:2937% → 35%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
37.4%
Jake Lange pass complete to Dajon Richard for 7 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+1
38.5%
Dajon Richard run for 1 yd to the SoMis 29Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+15
37.3%
LANGE, Jake pass to the right complete for 0 yards to BROWNLEE, Jason caught at the USM26 and advanced to the USM29 (PRINCE, Justin;NEIL JR., Walter). PENALTY UTE Personal Foul on PRINCE, Justin enforced 15 yards from the USM29 to the USM44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
39.1%
Jake Lange sacked by Dy'vonne Inyang for 0 yards to the SoMis 36Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 18
OWN 36
+5
37.5%
Jake Lange run for 5 yds to the SoMis 41Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
37.1%
Jake Lange sacked by Jadrian Taylor for 0 yards to the SoMis 38Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 16
OWN 38
-5
36.5%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 33Similar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 21
OWN 33
0
35.4%
Mason Hunt punt for 63 yds , Justin Garrett returns for no gain to the UTEP 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:1864% → 68%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
35.8%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+3
36.0%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 2
OWN 12
+45
35.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 45 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
32.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
32.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
30.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
31.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:0435% → 33%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
35.3%
Jake Lange pass complete to Brad Dennis for 8 yds to the SoMis 37Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
37.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
36.8%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
35.9%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 39Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
34.6%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
32.9%
Mason Hunt punt for 60 yds, downed at the UTEP 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
33.4%
Gavin Hardison pass intercepted return for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:2738% → 24%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
37.8%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-1
39.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+55
24.0%
Breon Hayward 55 Yd Fumble Return (Gavin Baechle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:3022% → 21%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
22.2%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SoMis 20Similar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+30
22.0%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
50
-5
24.2%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 45Similar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+3
23.3%
Jake Lange pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 3 yds to the SoMis 48Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+32
23.4%
Jake Lange pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 32 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
25.1%
Chandler Pittman run for 1 yd to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
25.1%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+16
23.9%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 16 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
25.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
25.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
24.4%
Jack Walker run for no gain to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
20.9%
Jack Walker run for 1 yd to the UTEP 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1584% → 84%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
16.3%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 3 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+2
16.4%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+3
16.9%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 2
OWN 9
0
16.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:4419% → 16%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
19.2%
Jake Lange pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 4 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+11
19.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 11 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
19.7%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-10
19.6%
PITTMAN, Chandler rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the UTE33 (WILLIAMS, Deylon). PENALTY USM Illegal Block in the Back enforced 10 yards from the UTE34 to the UTE44 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 20
OPP 44
0
18.3%
Jake Lange sacked by Jadrian Taylor for 0 yards to the SoMis 42Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 34
OWN 42
+10
17.1%
Jake Lange run for 10 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 24
OPP 48
0
15.5%
Mason Hunt punt for 42 yds, downed at the UTEP 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3687% → 87%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
13.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+2
13.6%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 6
OWN 10
0
14.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:09
4TH & 6
OWN 10
0
13.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 1:5416% → 13%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
16.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-7
16.4%
Jake Lange pass complete to Chandler Pittman for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 41
-5
14.7%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 36
-5
13.9%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 31
-2
13.8%
Jake Lange pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 29Similar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 25
OWN 29
0
12.8%
Mason Hunt punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Justin Garrett at the UTEP 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:3790% → 93%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
10.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+4
10.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+7
10.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 7 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
9.4%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
9.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
9.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+2
7.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds , Da'quan Bailey-Brown returns for 2 yds to the SoMis 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 22SF
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:509% → 7%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
8.5%
Jake Lange pass complete to Chandler Pittman for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 12Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
8.4%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
6.7%
Josh Ortega SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:3794% → 99%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
6.0%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+44
6.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 44 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
5.4%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+3
5.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the SoMis 19Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+3
2.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the SoMis 16Similar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+38
1.4%
Gavin Baechle 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 24TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:532% → 8%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
2.4%
Dajon Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 24Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
2.3%
LANGE, Jake pass to the right incomplete intended for PITTMAN, Chandler thrown to the USM39. PENALTY UTE Pass Interference on INYANG, Dy'vonne enforced 15 yards to the USM39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+36
2.3%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 36 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
2.9%
LANGE, Jake pass to the left incomplete intended for CASTON, Jakarius thrown to the UTE13. PENALTY UTE Pass Interference on GARRETT, Justin enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards to the UTE13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
2.9%
Jake Lange pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 7 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+5
2.9%
Dajon Richard run for 5 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
3.1%
Dajon Richard run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 3Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
3.2%
Jake Lange pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
7.6%
Demarcus Jones 3 Yd pass from Jake Lange (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
3.0%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the SoMis 34Similar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+15
3.0%
QB Keeper BROWNHOLTZ, Calvin rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the USM29 (SCOTT, Eric). PENALTY USM Horse Collar Tackle on JONES, Jay enforced 15 yards from the USM29 to the USM14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:14
Breon Hayward 55 Yd Fumble Return (Gavin Baechle Kick)
-15.2
TD · Q2 6:20
Jacob Cowing run for 53 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
-8.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:53
Jake Lange pass complete to Brad Dennis for 8 yds to the SoMis 37
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com