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Florida Atlantic 14 at UAB 31

UAB
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2021 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.5UAB 59.6%Matt Quinn 48 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 17 · Q2 2:44
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:44 · Matt Quinn 48 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Home team on offense+3.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior+2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score differential+0.2Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:33: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 25 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +2.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:25: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 15 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +3.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:44: N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +4.2 pts (now 43%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:12: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 2 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +9.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 2:44: Matt Quinn 48 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +1.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:11UAB 4th & 5 at FAU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:42UAB 4th & 23 at FAU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:44UAB 4th & 8 at FAU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q3 11:27FAU 4th & 7 at UAB 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−6.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:24UAB 4th & 20 at UAB 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−3.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:35FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:40FAU 4th & 11 at FAU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:07UAB 4th & 6 at FAU 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−2.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:05FAU 4th & 16 at FAU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−4.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:31UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−2.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:08FAU 4th & 11 at FAU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:44UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:43FAU 4th & 20 at FAU 43, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:33UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:44FAU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:12FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2754% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
53.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
53.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
53.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 15 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
53.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
53.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
53.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to A.J. Davis IV for 5 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
53.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 12 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
53.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-5
53.7%
Hopkins,Dylan pass complete to Palmer,Tejhaun for 7 yards to the FAU13 (Young,Teja) PENALTY UAB Illegal Shift (McDaniel,T'sai) 5 yards from FAU20 to FAU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 25
0
53.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+25
56.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 25 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1357% → 57%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
56.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+2
56.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
56.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr.Similar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
56.9%
Matt Quinn 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
56.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for no gain to the FlAtl 15 N'Kosi Perry fumbled, forced by Alex Wright, recovered by UAB Will BolerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:4157% → 61%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
57.4%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
60.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 15 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 4:3541% → 43%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
59.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
59.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+35
59.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 35 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
58.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
58.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+16
58.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 16 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
58.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 1 yd to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
58.4%
Larry McCammon III run for 2 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
58.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Johnny FordSimilar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+15
62.4%
Perry,N'Kosi pass incomplete to Burton,Je'Quan PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Bynum,Devodric) 15 yards from UAB30 to UAB15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
61.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for 14 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 3:0259% → 60%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
59.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 15 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
60.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
59.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-5
58.9%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Ragland,Colby) 5 yards from UAB37 to UAB32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+34
58.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 34 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
60.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
60.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to DeWayne McBrideSimilar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-5
59.9%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Telfort,Kadeem) 5 yards from FAU34 to FAU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 15
OPP 39
-8
59.3%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Zyon Gilbert for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 23
OPP 47
0
59.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
20 plays · 80 yds · 7:3040% → 49%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
59.9%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
60.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
61.0%
Perry,N'Kosi pass incomplete QB hurried by Thomas,Justin PENALTY UAB Roughing The Passer (Thomas,Justin) 15 yards from FAU20 to FAU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-12
59.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 3 yds to the FlAtl 38 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Chop Block (LaJohntay Wester) to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 22
OWN 23
+2
60.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 2 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+12
60.4%
N'Kosi Perry run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
60.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 10 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
58.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+4
58.7%
Larry McCammon III run for 4 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+7
58.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for 7 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
58.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for 11 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
58.2%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+2
58.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+6
59.2%
Perry,N'Kosi pass incomplete to Chase,T.J., 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Bynum,Devodric) 6 yards from UAB24 to UAB18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
58.2%
Javion Posey run for 12 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
58.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 4 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
58.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 8 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
50.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 2 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9FG
13 plays · 39 yds · 5:2156% → 60%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
56.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 5 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
57.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+4
57.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
57.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 2
50
+4
58.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
58.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 13
OPP 49
0
57.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+16
56.1%
Dylan Hopkins run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-SandersSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
58.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
58.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to A.J. Davis IVSimilar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
59.6%
Matt Quinn 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10INT TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:1441% → 32%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
59.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 13 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
57.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for no gain to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
58.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to TJ ChaseSimilar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+27
59.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Larry McCammon III for 27 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
54.2%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+3
59.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+29
60.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 19 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Kelle Sanders) to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
55.9%
Javion Posey run for 1 yd to the UAB 9Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
68.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass intercepted for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3027% → 26%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.3%
James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
74.0%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:3329% → 32%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.0%
Johnny Ford run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
70.2%
Johnny Ford run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
70.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 5 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-4
69.2%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+33
70.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 33 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-9
67.1%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OPP 38
+12
69.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Willie Wright for 12 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
68.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
67.7%
Aaron Shahriari 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · 24 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
70.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 24 yds Gerrit Prince fumbled, forced by Teja Young, recovered by FlAtl Jordan Helm , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:5873% → 71%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
50
-10
73.0%
McBride,DeWayne rush for 3 yards gain to the FAU47 (Leroy,Akileis) PENALTY UAB Holding (Telfort,Kadeem) 10 yards from UAB50 to UAB40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
71.5%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 40Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 20
OWN 40
0
71.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 40Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 20
OWN 40
0
70.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-SandersSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 20
OWN 40
0
71.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0433% → 34%
Q3 10:22
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
66.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
50
+3
66.0%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
66.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:4930% → 27%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.1%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
70.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
71.7%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for 0 yards to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
73.2%
Matt Hayball punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:4575% → 82%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
75.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 16 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Decarius Hawthorne) to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
77.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 19 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
78.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
77.6%
Davis,A.j. pass incomplete PENALTY FAU Roughing The Passer offsetting UAB Intentional Grounding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+6
77.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+15
76.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 15 yds Hayden Pittman fumbled, forced by Caliph Brice, recovered by UAB for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
78.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.5%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1025% → 21%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.6%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.8%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
76.0%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to D'Marcus AdamsSimilar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
78.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:3380% → 84%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+26
79.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
50
+2
82.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
85.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
84.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Lucious Stanley for no gain to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
83.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:0219% → 16%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
80.9%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+8
81.0%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 8 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+10
81.3%
Tronti,Nick pass incomplete to Ford,Johnny PENALTY UAB Holding (Rayam,Jalen) 10 yards from FAU10 to FAU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+23
80.3%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Johnny Ford for 23 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
78.7%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Robinson,Marquice) 5 yards from FAU38 to FAU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
79.9%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+5
80.1%
Nick Tronti run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-6
80.0%
Nick Tronti sacked by Alex Wright for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 12
OWN 18
-5
80.1%
PENALTY FAU False Start (Wester,LaJohntay) 5 yards from FAU18 to FAU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
80.1%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Javion PoseySimilar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 16
OWN 32
0
83.9%
Matt Hayball punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:3487% → 87%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
86.7%
Hopkins,Dylan pass complete to Prince,Gerrit for 0 yards to the UAB20 PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Shropshire,Trea) 10 yards from UAB20 to UAB10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+3
86.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+1
86.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+8
85.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 8 yds to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
87.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2317% → 12%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
83.2%
Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
82.7%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+4
85.0%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Johnny Ford for 4 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
87.9%
Matt Hayball punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:2489% → 91%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
89.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+3
88.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+5
88.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
90.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 1 yds · 2:0113% → 9%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
87.3%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 8 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
85.8%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+11
86.4%
Nick Tronti pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 11 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-9
85.0%
Nick Tronti sacked by Fish McWilliams for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 19
OWN 44
-1
88.5%
Nick Tronti sacked by Fish McWilliams for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 20
OWN 43
0
89.0%
Nick Tronti pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 20
OWN 43
-8
90.7%
Nick Tronti sacked by Tyree Turner for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 35 Nick Tronti fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Kamaar Bell , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:4396% → 96%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
95.6%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-1
95.3%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 37
-1
96.3%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:12
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 2 yds for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q1 3:44
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd for a TD (Aaron Shahriari KICK)
-4.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com