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CLT

Charlotte 45 at Florida International 33

FIU
2021 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2021 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:14 · Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel PAT MISSED)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+51.0+25.50−25.5−51.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:21: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +8.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:58: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 22 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +17.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:25: Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 50 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +14.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:46: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jake Clemons for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +14.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:10: Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 59 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +10.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 8:59FIU 4th & 3 at CLT 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.3%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:32FIU 4th & 3 at CLT 3, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    43.8%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−3.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:34CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 20, up 4
    Close callPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:21FIU 4th & 23 at FIU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−1.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 1 at FIU 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.5%−1.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:49FIU 4th & 9 at CLT 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:03CLT 4th & 15 at FIU 25, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:19CLT 4th & 8 at FIU 43, up 11
    Close callPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    74.2%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:54FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−1.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:46FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:40FIU 4th & 18 at CLT 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:36CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 26, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:46CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−1.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:45FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.0%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:41CLT 4th & 1 at FIU 7, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 5:15CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:21CLT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:58CLT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:25FIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:46CLT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:10FIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:45CLT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:35FIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:36CLT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:14FIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1FG
23 plays · 66 yds · 15:0048% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.3%
D'vonte Price run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
48.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 15 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
48.3%
D'vonte Price run for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
48.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 4 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
48.3%
D'vonte Price run for 10 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
48.3%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-3
48.3%
D'vonte Price run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+15
48.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 15 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
48.3%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+2
48.3%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the Charl 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+3
48.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 3 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q1 8:59
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
50.3%
Chase Gabriel 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
52.4%
D'vonte Price run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
53.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 15 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
53.7%
D'vonte Price run for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
53.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 4 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
53.9%
D'vonte Price run for 10 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
54.3%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-3
54.3%
D'vonte Price run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+15
53.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 15 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
54.3%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+2
54.3%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the Charl 12Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+3
53.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 3 yds to the Charl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
15 plays · 38 yds · 8:4850% → 54%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
49.6%
pass complete to Taylor Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+7
50.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 7 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+10
49.7%
Chris Reynolds run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
49.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+1
49.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+6
49.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
49.4%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass up the middle incomplete intended for GOODE, Tre' thrown to the FIU0. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on DAMES, Rishard enforced 12 yards to the FIU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.2%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
46.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+7
47.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 7 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+10
47.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
46.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+1
46.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+6
47.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
46.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Tre' Goode for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Rishard Dames) to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:4348% → 49%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
48.2%
[NH] BORTENSCHLAGER, Max pass to the left complete for 67 yards to CHAMBERS, Tyrese caught at the FIU50 and advanced to the CLT8 (ALEXANDER, Jon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. After review, the ruling on the field was overturned: The pass went backwards (OVERTURNED PLAY: #12 M.Bortenschlager pass complete to #0 T.Chambers for 68 yards to the CLT07 (#1 J.Alexander), out of bounds PENALTY FIU Illegal Forward Pass (#21 E.Wilson Jr.) 5 yards from FIU25 to FIU20. NO PLAY).Similar
Q1 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
49.9%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
49.9%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the Charl 3Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
49.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
48.9%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the Charl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5851% → 51%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+12
48.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 12 yds to the Charl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-6
48.4%
CAMP, Calvin rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the CLT20 (DAMES, Rishard). PENALTY CLT Holding on GIST, Ashton enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the CLT14 to the CLT7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:32
1ST & 17
OWN 7
+5
48.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the Charl 12Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+8
48.5%
Calvin Camp run for 8 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
48.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
49.3%
Bailey Rice punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -13 yds · 1:1349% → 47%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
49.4%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
48.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
48.0%
Max Bortenschlager sacked for 0 yards to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 0:21
4TH & 23
OWN 28
+58
47.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 53 yds CHARLOTTE Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the Charl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 5:3952% → 62%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
48.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
48.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for 5 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+31
48.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 31 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
46.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+22
46.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 22 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
46.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+4
46.4%
Calvin Camp run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
46.9%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+2
47.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
46.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
46.4%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Kevin Oliver for 0 yards to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
37.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 5 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:2739% → 40%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
39.2%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+6
39.3%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+15
39.2%
Kaylan Wiggins run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
50
+6
40.7%
D'vonte Price run for 6 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
39.0%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+15
38.8%
D'vonte Price run for 15 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
40.1%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
40.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+10
38.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 10 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
39.6%
Chase Gabriel 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8FG
10 plays · 18 yds · 4:3564% → 70%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
35.9%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
36.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 6 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+6
36.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
35.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+6
35.6%
Victor Tucker run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
35.6%
Chris Reynolds sacked for 0 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
31.1%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Davon Strickland for 0 yards to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 17
OPP 27
+2
32.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 2 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+42
30.3%
Jonathan Cruz 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 3:0267% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
32.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 13 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
31.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Richard Dames) to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
31.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
31.4%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+21
32.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 21 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
14.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 22 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:3319% → 33%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
18.7%
D'vonte Price run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
50
+50
33.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 50 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:5970% → 73%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
30.3%
Henry Rutledge run for 8 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+5
29.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 5 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
29.0%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+1
29.2%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+14
29.5%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the left incomplete intended for SPENCER, Elijah thrown to the FIU45. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on TURNER, Josh enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the FIU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
29.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
29.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
29.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
26.9%
Bailey Rice punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2527% → 25%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
27.2%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-2
27.7%
D'vonte Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
26.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+10
24.7%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 57 yds , Geovonte' Howard returns for 10 yds to the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:0874% → 91%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
26.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Roughing the Passer on DANZY, Ty enforced (Ty Danzy) to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
23.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
23.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+9
22.8%
pass complete to Victor Tucker for 9 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jake Clemons for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:0613% → 10%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
13.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 11 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
13.9%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
14.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+6
13.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Carson Kaleo for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+24
14.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 24 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
15.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
13.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
12.3%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Markees Watts for 0 yards to the Charl 39Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 18
OPP 39
+35
10.3%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 30 yds, downed at the Charl 9 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the Charl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2494% → 95%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
6.5%
Calvin Camp run for 5 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+14
6.2%
Calvin Camp run for 14 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
6.0%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+2
6.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 2 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
6.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
5.4%
Bailey Rice punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:267% → 18%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
6.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 22 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
7.2%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Miguel Jackson for 0 yards to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+59
17.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 59 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:2485% → 88%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
14.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 15 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
13.5%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 39Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+11
13.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
50
0
13.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
50
-5
13.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+7
14.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 7 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
13.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 8
OPP 48
-5
14.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 47Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 13
OWN 47
+4
11.9%
Bailey Rice punt for 37 yds , Bryce Singleton returns for 4 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19DOWNS TD
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:0112% → 3%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+22
12.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 22 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
13.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
12.7%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Justin Whisenhunt for 0 yards to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 18
OWN 22
+16
8.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 16 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
2.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted for a TD return for no gain for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
9.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 75 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:5993% → 99%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+28
7.4%
Calvin Camp run for 28 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
7.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+2
7.2%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 1
OPP 7
0
3.4%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+3
3.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Ryan Carriere for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:222% → 6%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.8%
Max Bortenschlager run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
1.8%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Markees Watts for 0 yards to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+20
1.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 20 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
1.9%
Max Bortenschlager run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+23
1.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 23 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
2.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 8 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+18
2.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D'vonte Price for 18 yds to the Charl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
5.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:58
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 22 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-17.1
TD · Q3 11:25
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 50 yds for a TD (Chase Gabriel KICK)
+14.4
TD · Q3 3:46
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jake Clemons for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com