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UNLV

UNLV 17 at UTSA 24

UTSA
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:29 · Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Pregame prior+26.6Home team on offense+2.5Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score differential−0.8Time remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:00: Daniel Gutierrez 34 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +3.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:21: Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:55: Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 31 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +5.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:46: Justin Rogers pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 9 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +6.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:33: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 43 — UTSA win probability +6.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 9 at UTSA 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:51UNLV 4th & 20 at UNLV 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:31UTSA 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:00UNLV 4th & 10 at UTSA 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:32UTSA 4th & 7 at UNLV 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:29UTSA 4th & 2 at UNLV 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.3%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    80.0%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:56UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:55UNLV 4th & 1 at UTSA 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−1.8
    75% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−7.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:50UTSA 4th & 1 at UNLV 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    85.0%−2.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:29UTSA 4th & 14 at UNLV 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:46UNLV 4th & 1 at UTSA 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−0.5
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:34UTSA 4th & 7 at UNLV 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−2.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:39UNLV 4th & 10 at UTSA 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−1.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 4:48UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:31UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:21UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:55UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:46UNLV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 11 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
92.9%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
92.9%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
92.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark, broken up by Aaron LewisSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+6
92.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 39 yds , Nohl Williams returns for 6 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
92.7%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
92.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen for 4 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+5
92.7%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
92.6%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 15 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
92.6%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
92.6%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Courtney ReeseSimilar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 8
OPP 41
-5
92.6%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 13
OPP 46
-7
92.7%
Cameron Friel sacked by Dadrian Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 13:51
4TH & 20
OWN 47
0
92.7%
Evan Silva punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3TD
15 plays · 92 yds · 5:1392% → 92%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
91.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 9Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+4
91.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+5
91.6%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
91.7%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 18Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
91.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 7 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+4
91.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
91.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 14 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
91.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 6 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
91.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the TexSA 37 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexSA UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+19
91.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 19 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
91.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+12
91.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 12 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
91.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 14 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
91.9%
Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
91.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
89.8%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 63 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
89.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 7 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+5
90.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
90.0%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
90.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 11 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
90.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Frank Harris for 3 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
90.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 5
50
0
90.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 5
50
0
90.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6FG
14 plays · 76 yds · 8:0611% → 16%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
89.0%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 4Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+18
89.0%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 18 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
88.9%
Charles Williams run for 14 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
88.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 11 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
87.4%
Kyle Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+11
87.5%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
87.3%
Cameron Friel run for 4 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+11
87.3%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 11 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
87.1%
Cameron Friel pass complete to lat. to for 2 yds to the TexSA 18 to for 6 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+2
87.1%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
87.1%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 14 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ricky Johnson) to the TexSA 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+1
87.1%
Chad Magyar run for 1 yd to the TexSA 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 13
-3
87.3%
Cameron Friel sacked by Dadrian Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 16Similar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
83.7%
Daniel Gutierrez 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:2884% → 85%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
84.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 32 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
85.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 13 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+24
85.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 24 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
85.9%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 11Similar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
85.9%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
85.9%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the UNLV 7Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
85.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian Clark, broken up by Ose EgbaseSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
85.3%
Hunter Duplessis 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.3%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
83.0%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen for 18 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
82.1%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 14
OWN 43
0
83.0%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (Ricky Johnson) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 14
OWN 43
-5
83.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 19
OWN 48
0
83.3%
Cameron Friel pass intercepted Tariq Woolen return for no gain to the UNLV 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9TD
20 plays · 49 yds · 4:0185% → 89%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
85.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+12
85.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 12 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
85.7%
HARRIS, Frank pass complete to McCORMICK, S. for no gain to the UNLV33 (Ajiake, Austin), PENALTY UTSA face mask (McCORMICK, S.) 15 yards to the UNLV48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 25
OPP 48
+3
84.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 22
OPP 45
+5
84.6%
HARRIS, Frank pass incomplete to CLARK, Decrian (Miguel, Avery), PENALTY UNLV offside defense (Uasike, Kolo) 5 yards to the UNLV40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 17
OPP 40
+11
84.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+7
85.2%
Frank Harris run for 7 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
85.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 1 yd to the UNLV 21Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+10
85.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 10 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
85.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
85.6%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+1
83.2%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside (Kolo Uasike) to the UNLV 3Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
83.2%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the UNLV 3Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+2
82.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
88.5%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.4%
Cameron Friel sacked by Lorenzo Dantzler for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
87.5%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
87.9%
Cameron Friel sacked by Trumane Bell II for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+2
88.4%
Evan Silva punt for 44 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 2 yds to the TexSA 24 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
87.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
88.0%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+2
87.4%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
86.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 60 yds · 3:4513% → 13%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
86.6%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
86.7%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 11 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
86.2%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen for 22 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
84.9%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 9 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
84.6%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+7
84.8%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 7 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
84.0%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 3
OPP 22
0
84.0%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+2
85.0%
Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
86.8%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the TexSA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:0089% → 90%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
89.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 26 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
90.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
90.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
90.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
89.5%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the UNLV 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
86.6%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen for 2 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-2
86.3%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-6
87.4%
Cameron Friel pass intercepted Jahmal Sam return for 6 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:2390% → 96%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
89.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tre'Von Bradley for 6 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+3
90.1%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+13
89.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 13 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
95.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 31 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.0%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
93.6%
Cameron Friel sacked by JayVeon Cardwell for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 23 Cameron Friel fumbled, recovered by TexSA Lorenzo Dantzler , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 7 yds · 3:4296% → 96%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
96.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+5
96.2%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
96.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
96.2%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-5
96.6%
HARRIS, Frank sideline pass incomplete to BRADLEY, T., QB hurry by Ajiake, Austin, PENALTY UTSA ineligible downfield on pass (OSAKWE, Bosah) 5 yards to the UNLV15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
96.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for no gain to the UNLV 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 15
-1
96.5%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 16Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 14
OPP 16
+33
96.2%
Hunter Duplessis 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 6:435% → 12%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
95.3%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Charles Williams UNLV Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-10 Yards) to the UNLV 10Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+16
95.4%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen for 16 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
95.1%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 4 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.1%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Kilinahe Mendiola-JensenSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
95.3%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
95.1%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 5 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
95.0%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 1
50
+9
95.2%
Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
95.5%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
95.5%
Courtney Reese run for 2 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+21
95.5%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 21 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
94.8%
Chad Magyar run for 6 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+3
94.8%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the TexSA 9Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
95.2%
Cameron Friel run for no gain to the TexSA 9Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+9
88.4%
Justin Rogers pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 9 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20MISSED FG
14 plays · 27 yds · 5:1293% → 96%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
93.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 46Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
93.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 6 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+4
92.9%
Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
93.3%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+6
93.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
93.1%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+5
93.7%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside (Kolo Uasike) to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
95.1%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-3
95.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+5
96.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
95.5%
Hunter Duplessis 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:558% → 8%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
92.5%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 16 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
91.6%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Charles Williams for 4 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+16
91.3%
Cameron Friel pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 16 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
89.6%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
90.1%
Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
90.8%
Cameron Friel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:39
4TH & 10
OPP 36
-9
91.8%
Cameron Friel sacked by Clarence Hicks and DeQuarius Henry for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:46
Justin Rogers pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 9 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)
-6.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:33
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 43
+6.4
TD · Q3 2:55
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 31 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com