Try the model
LIB

Liberty 36 at UAB 12

UAB
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Legion Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:08 · Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+19.5+9.80−9.8−19.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Home team on offense+0.2Pregame prior+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential−0.5Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 8:54: Brayden Beck 21 yd FG GOOD — LIB win probability +2.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Matt Quinn 50 yd FG MISSED — LIB win probability +2.9 pts (now 45%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:33: Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 39 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK) — LIB win probability +2.5 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 6:21: Treon Sibley 33 Yd pass from Johnathan Bennett (Brayden Beck PAT blocked) — LIB win probability +2.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 4:53: Jermaine Brown Jr. 59 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick) — UAB win probability +1.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 10:44UAB 4th & 10 at LIB 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:24LIB 4th & 10 at UAB 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    39.1%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:56UAB 4th & 5 at LIB 18, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:54LIB 4th & 3 at UAB 3, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.3%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−5.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:08UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:17UAB 4th & 14 at UAB 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−1.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:00LIB 4th & 12 at LIB 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−3.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:46UAB 4th & 17 at UAB 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−3.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:30UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:28LIB 4th & 12 at LIB 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−3.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:29UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:59UAB 4th & 16 at UAB 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−5.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:56LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−4.1
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1FG
19 plays · 55 yds · 15:0053% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
53.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 22 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
53.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 20 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
53.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
53.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 8 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
53.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the Liber 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
53.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Liber 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-3
53.4%
Dylan Hopkins sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+4
53.4%
Dylan Hopkins run for 4 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
54.4%
Matt Quinn 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
56.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 22 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
57.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 20 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
58.0%
pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
58.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 8 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
57.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the Liber 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
58.0%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 21Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
-3
58.0%
Dylan Hopkins sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 24Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 24
+4
56.5%
Dylan Hopkins run for 4 yds to the Liber 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 10:4446% → 44%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
54.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 30 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
53.9%
Malik Willis run for no gain to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
53.9%
Willis,Malik rush for 0 yards to the UAB45 (Swoopes,Keondre), out of bounds PENALTY LIB Holding (Schlittler,Brendan) 10 yards from UAB45 to LIB45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 20
OWN 45
-1
54.2%
Malik Willis sacked by Kelle Sanders for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 21
OWN 44
+11
54.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Treon Sibley for 11 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
55.4%
Max Morgan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 10Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
56.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 30 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
54.9%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-10
54.9%
LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive holding (Brendan Schlittler) to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 45
-1
56.1%
Malik Willis sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 21
OWN 44
+11
56.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Treon Sibley for 11 yds to the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3DOWNS
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:2455% → 56%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
54.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 9 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+6
54.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
54.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-SandersSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
54.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 12 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
55.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 1 yd to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
55.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
56.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+12
57.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 12 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
57.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the Liber 19Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+1
57.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Liber 18Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
56.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+3
56.0%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the Liber 15Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
55.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 9 yds to the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4FG
14 plays · 82 yds · 8:0244% → 48%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
55.9%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 16Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+5
56.1%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+9
56.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 9 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
55.8%
PENALTY LIB False Start (Sargeant,Thomas) 5 yards from LIB30 to LIB25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+25
56.3%
Malik Willis run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+16
54.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 16 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
53.8%
Malik Willis run for 8 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+10
53.7%
Malik Willis run for 10 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
53.6%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+9
53.6%
Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
53.6%
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the UAB 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
53.6%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the UAB 2Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
54.3%
Malik Willis run for 1 yd to the UAB 3Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
52.2%
Brayden Beck 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4056% → 54%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
55.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to RaJae' Johnson-SandersSimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 10
OPP 0
0
57.7%
UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
53.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6FUMBLE
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:1148% → 51%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
52.3%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
52.8%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+10
53.6%
PENALTY UAB Holding 10 yards from LIB30 to LIB40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+14
50.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 14 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
49.2%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the UAB 21Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+19
49.2%
Malik Willis run for 19 yds to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
51.1%
Malik Willis run for 20 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Personal Foul (Duron Lowe) to the Liber 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
50.8%
Shedro Louis run for 19 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
48.6%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the UAB 20 Joshua Mack fumbled, forced by Michael Fairbanks II, recovered by UAB Jaylen KeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:4056% → 54%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
55.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+13
56.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 13 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
57.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
57.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Hayden PittmanSimilar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-6
55.7%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Aakil Washington for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
54.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 2:1748% → 45%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
52.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to T.J. Green for 1 yd to the Liber 21Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-10
52.7%
Willis,Malik pass complete to Daniels,CJ for 14 yards to the LIB35 (McWilliams,Mac) PENALTY LIB Holding 10 yards from LIB21 to LIB11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+2
53.0%
T.J. Green run for 2 yds to the Liber 13Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+21
53.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 31 yds to the Liber 44 LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Noah Frith) to the Liber 18Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
53.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
54.8%
Max Morgan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:0057% → 55%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
57.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 21 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
59.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
58.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
59.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
59.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+50
55.3%
Matt Quinn 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0140% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
59.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 34 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
55.8%
Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+28
55.4%
Malik Willis run for 20 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Targeting (Jaylen Key) to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
54.2%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
54.2%
Malik Willis run for no gain to the UAB 8Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
55.6%
Malik Willis run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:0761% → 59%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
60.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 22Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
60.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-10
59.3%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Storey Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 17
OWN 14
+14
58.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 39 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 14 yds to the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12TD
1 play · 39 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
56.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 39 yds for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0361% → 61%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
61.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to A.J. Davis for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
62.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 5 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
59.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
60.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 54 yds , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the Liber 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:0239% → 37%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
60.8%
Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+19
60.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 4 yds to the Liber 20 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Grayson Cash) to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
59.2%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
60.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
62.1%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
63.5%
Max Morgan punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5963% → 60%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
62.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
62.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to DeWayne McBride for 5 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
61.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to A.J. DavisSimilar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
60.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 59 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 2:1839% → 44%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+70
61.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 70 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
54.5%
T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+13
55.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 13 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.6%
T.J. Green run for no gain to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.8%
Malik Willis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:0763% → 60%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 9 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-15
65.0%
McBride,DeWayne rush for 1 yard loss to the UAB33 (Washington,Aakil) PENALTY UAB Clipping (Jones,Jakoby) 15 yards from UAB34 to UAB19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
62.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
60.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
60.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 4:1437% → 43%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
62.9%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+31
63.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 31 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
58.1%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
57.5%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+21
57.8%
Malik Willis run for 21 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
55.8%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
57.2%
Joshua Mack run for 8 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19INT
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:1068% → 74%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
68.4%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Ralfs Rusins for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+11
67.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to A.J. Davis for 11 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
67.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for 6 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
69.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
71.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to A.J. Davis for 7 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
74.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 3:1440% → 43%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
60.4%
T.J. Green run for 1 yd to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+3
62.9%
T.J. Green run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 8
50
+11
62.1%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Brody Brumm for 11 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
59.6%
T.J. Green run for 6 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+33
56.9%
Treon Sibley 33 Yd pass from Johnathan Bennett (Brayden Beck PAT blocked)Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 4
OPP 0
+83
56.9%
Mac McWilliams Defensive PAT ConversionSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:2873% → 79%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
73.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
73.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+59
75.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. 59 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)Similar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+15
79.3%
PENALTY LIB Personal Foul (Haskins,Marcus) 15 yards from UAB35 to UAB50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5638% → 31%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
61.8%
Jerome Jolly Jr. run for no gain to the Liber 46Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
63.8%
Jerome Jolly Jr. run for 1 yd to the Liber 45Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+4
66.1%
Jerome Jolly Jr. run for 4 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
69.0%
Max Morgan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:5682% → 88%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
81.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+2
81.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 2
OWN 11
-3
80.5%
Larry Wooden run for 4 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Kadeem Telfort) to the UAB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
81.6%
Larry Wooden run for 1 yd to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-1
81.0%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Jayod Sanders for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+3
87.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the UAB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-87.6
FG · Q2 0:00
Matt Quinn 50 yd FG MISSED
-2.9
TD · Q4 6:21
Treon Sibley 33 Yd pass from Johnathan Bennett (Brayden Beck PAT blocked)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com