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USM

Southern Miss 19 at Rice 24

RICE
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUSM aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUSM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:18 · Charlie Mendes punt for 45 yds , Da'quan Bailey-Brown returns for 1 yd to the SoMis 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginTime remaining
+7.5+3.80−3.8−7.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+5.1Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.5Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:06: Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 39 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +2.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:10: Jake Lange pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 31 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +2.4 pts (now 44%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:46: Christian VanSickle 41 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +3.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:32: Cedric Patterson III run for 38 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +5.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:19: Camron Harrell 95 Yd Kickoff Return (Briggs Bourgeois Kick) — USM win probability +3.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 8USM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 3:53RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:54USM 4th & 8 at USM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:18RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:34USM 4th & 3 at RICE 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:57RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:57RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:44USM 4th & 6 at RICE 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    44.0%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:46RICE 4th & 2 at USM 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.6%−0.8
    70% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−5.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00USM 4th & 5 at RICE 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−7.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:27RICE 4th & 27 at USM 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−5.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:16USM 4th & 9 at RICE 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−2.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−18.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:17USM 4th & 24 at USM 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−10.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:48RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−1.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:11RICE 4th & 3 at USM 47, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.0 ptsPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%−5.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:11USM 4th & 1 at USM 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.7%−9.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1USM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:06RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:10USM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USMDrive 1INT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:4543% → 43%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
56.8%
Ty Keyes run for 3 yds to the SoMis 18Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
56.8%
Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 18Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+13
56.8%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 13 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
56.8%
Ty Keyes pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 4 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+7
56.8%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
56.7%
Ty Keyes pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 4:0457% → 60%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
57.0%
PENALTY USM Illegal Formation 5 yards from RIC26 to RIC31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 5
OWN 31
+15
57.2%
PENALTY USM Pass Interference (Mitchell,Rachuan) 15 yards from RIC31 to RIC46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
57.3%
Jordan Myers run for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
57.1%
Jordan Myers run for 3 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+9
57.1%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 9 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
57.4%
Jordan Myers run for 4 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+1
57.4%
Jake Constantine run for 1 yd to the SoMis 39Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+39
60.3%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 39 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5640% → 44%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
59.7%
Jake Lange pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 8 yds to the SoMis 33Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
59.2%
PENALTY RIC Offside (Baker,Desmyn) 5 yards from USM33 to USM38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
59.4%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 10 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
59.1%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 15 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
59.0%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 16 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
58.6%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-10
58.7%
PENALTY USM Holding 10 yards from RIC21 to RIC31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 20
OPP 31
+31
56.2%
Jake Lange pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 31 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1357% → 56%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
57.1%
Cameron Montgomery run for 9 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
57.6%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
56.9%
RICE Penalty, Block Below Waist ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
56.4%
Charlie Mendes punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:5943% → 43%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.0%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Frank Gore Jr.Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
57.0%
Jake Lange pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 13 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
56.5%
Jake Lange sacked by Ikenna Enechukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the SoMis 32Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+8
57.1%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 8 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
56.8%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Jakarius CastonSimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
57.2%
Mason Hunt punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3658% → 57%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 11
OWN 20
+4
57.5%
Jake Constantine run for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
57.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
57.1%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q1 0:18
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+1
56.7%
Charlie Mendes punt for 45 yds , Da'quan Bailey-Brown returns for 1 yd to the SoMis 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:4444% → 44%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
56.4%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 17 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
55.4%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
55.8%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+5
55.9%
Jake Lange run for 5 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
55.9%
Mason Hunt punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Sean Fresch at the Rice 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3757% → 56%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
57.4%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the Rice 10Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+4
57.5%
Khalan Griffin run for 4 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
56.8%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Jake BaileySimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+5
56.3%
Charlie Mendes punt for 46 yds , Da'quan Bailey-Brown returns for 5 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+5
56.3%
Charlie Mendes punt for 46 yds , Da'quan Bailey-Brown returns for 5 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:1344% → 44%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
56.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 36Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+15
56.0%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 15 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-9
54.7%
Jake Lange sacked by Elijah Garcia for a loss of 9 yards to the SoMis 42Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 19
OWN 42
+15
56.1%
Jake Lange pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 15 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+2
54.8%
Jake Lange run for 2 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
56.2%
Mason Hunt punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:5859% → 62%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
58.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 24
-10
59.3%
RICE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+1
58.7%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+18
57.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 18 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
59.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 21 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
61.2%
Luke McCaffrey run for 12 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
61.9%
PENALTY RIC Illegal Shift (Montgomery,Cameron) 5 yards from USM31 to USM36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
60.4%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cameron Montgomery for no gain to the SoMis 36Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 15
OPP 36
0
60.2%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Cameron MontgomerySimilar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+13
59.6%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jack Bradley for 13 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q2 3:46
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+41
62.0%
Christian VanSickle 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:4639% → 38%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.1%
Jake Lange pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 2 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
60.9%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+17
60.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 17 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
58.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 49Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+19
59.4%
Jake Lange pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 19 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
57.2%
Dajon Richard run for 11 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
56.8%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 2 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
56.8%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+3
58.4%
Jake Lange pass complete to Dajon Richard for 3 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
61.7%
Briggs Bourgeois 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0758% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.1%
Jordan Myers run for 1 yd to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
57.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jack Bradley for 9 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+16
58.2%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jordan Myers for 16 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
60.8%
Khalan Griffin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+15
60.9%
Luke McCaffrey pass complete to Jack Bradley for 15 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
62.0%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
61.9%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the SoMis 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+14
60.8%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 14 yds to the SoMis 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
62.4%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Robert French for 19 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13INT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1245% → 44%
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
54.7%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 16 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
52.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 46Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-13
51.7%
Jake Lange sacked by Elijah Garcia for a loss of 13 yards to the SoMis 33Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 18
OWN 33
0
56.4%
Jake Lange pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14TD
1 play · 38 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
61.7%
Cedric Patterson III run for 38 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
15 plays · 26 yds · 6:5258% → 56%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.8%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jack Bradley for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
58.6%
Jordan Myers run for no gain to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
57.0%
Jake Constantine run for 6 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
59.0%
Jordan Myers run for 6 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+15
60.8%
PENALTY USM Personal Foul (Moody,Tyrek) 15 yards from RIC42 to USM43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
61.8%
Luke McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
61.8%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jordan Myers for 5 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
61.3%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
62.8%
PENALTY RIC Holding (Baker,Shea) 10 yards from USM32 to USM42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 20
OPP 42
-12
60.0%
Jake Constantine sacked by Jay Stanley for a loss of 12 yards to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 32
OWN 46
0
58.7%
Jake Constantine run for no gain to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 32
OWN 46
+5
57.2%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for 5 yds to the SoMis 49Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 27
OPP 49
+9
55.6%
Charlie Mendes punt for 44 yds , Da'quan Bailey-Brown returns for 9 yds to the SoMis 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16FG
14 plays · 77 yds · 6:1146% → 48%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
54.0%
Jake Lange pass complete to Brad Dennis for 8 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+2
52.8%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
53.8%
Jake Lange pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 8 yds to the SoMis 32Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
51.3%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+10
53.4%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 10 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
50.4%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+32
50.1%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 32 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
46.9%
Dajon Richard run for 3 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+14
46.8%
Jake Lange pass complete to Brad Dennis for 14 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
46.8%
PENALTY USM False Start (Scott,Gerquan) 5 yards from RIC08 to RIC13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
47.3%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-8
47.4%
Jake Lange sacked by George Nyakwol for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 21
+12
51.4%
Jake Lange pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 12 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 11:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
51.6%
Briggs Bourgeois 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · -14 yds · 0:5652% → 44%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
47.9%
Jake Lange pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 6 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-15
47.3%
Lange,Jake pass complete to Brownlee,Jason for 3 yards to the RIC40 (Schuman,Trey) PENALTY USM Personal Foul (Washington,Khalique) 15 yards from RIC43 to USM42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 19
OWN 42
0
52.0%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Frank Gore Jr.Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 19
OWN 42
-5
53.2%
PENALTY USM Delay Of Game 5 yards from USM42 to USM37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 24
OWN 37
0
54.5%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Brad DennisSimilar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 24
OWN 37
0
56.3%
Mason Hunt punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2958% → 56%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.8%
Jake Constantine run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
58.1%
Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
57.3%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Andrew MasonSimilar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
55.7%
Charlie Mendes punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:1650% → 53%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
49.8%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Brad DennisSimilar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
50.9%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 44Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+10
49.8%
Jake Lange pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 10 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
47.4%
Jake Lange pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 4:2158% → 60%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
58.4%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
58.6%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jack Bradley for 5 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+9
59.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Jake Bailey for 9 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
62.5%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-10
62.7%
PENALTY RIC Holding (Nutter,Braedon) 10 yards from RIC48 to RIC38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+1
58.7%
Jake Constantine run for 1 yd to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 19
OWN 37
+16
56.1%
Ari Broussard run for 16 yds to the SoMis 47Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
59.8%
Charlie Mendes punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 21INT
10 plays · 38 yds · 1:5649% → 56%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
50.8%
Jake Lange pass complete to Da'quan Bailey-Brown for 20 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
47.2%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-6
48.4%
Jake Lange sacked by Trey Schuman for a loss of 6 yards to the SoMis 34Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 16
OWN 34
-5
53.5%
PENALTY USM False Start (Doss,Tykeem) 5 yards from USM34 to USM29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 21
OWN 29
+20
53.5%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 20 yds to the SoMis 49Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
48.1%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
44.8%
Jake Lange pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 9 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+2
44.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
44.4%
Jake Lange pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22SF
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:0858% → 56%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
58.0%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
57.4%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 8
OWN 9
+1
55.0%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Rice 10Similar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 8
OWN 0
0
56.2%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0354% → 50%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
46.1%
PENALTY USM Delay Of Game 5 yards from USM45 to USM40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 40
0
49.9%
Jake Lange pass incomplete to Brad DennisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+50.1
TD · Q3 9:32
Cedric Patterson III run for 38 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q3 9:19
Camron Harrell 95 Yd Kickoff Return (Briggs Bourgeois Kick)
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com