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MRSH

Marshall 28 at Middle Tennessee 34

MTSU
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:30 · Robert Lefevre punt for 57 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q3Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior−11.8Home team on offense+14.1Score differential+4.8Garbage-time factor+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.6Time remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:04: Chaton Mobley run for 41 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:52: Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 34 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK) — MTSU win probability +20.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:55: Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +17.6 pts (now 44%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:30: Reed Blankenship 90 Yd Fumble Return (Zeke Rankin PAT blocked) — MTSU win probability +15.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:12: Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 17 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +17.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:22MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:24MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:24MTSU 4th & 3 at MRSH 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:02MRSH 4th & 16 at MRSH 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:59MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:09MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:04MTSU 4th & 2 at MRSH 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.8%−1.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:00MTSU 4th & 16 at MTSU 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−3.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:49MTSU 4th & 7 at MRSH 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.4%−2.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:30MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:44MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−2.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:22MRSH 4th & 25 at MRSH 14, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:09MTSU 4th & 6 at MRSH 45, up 20
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:09MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 36, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:10MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 29, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:15MTSU 4th & 8 at MRSH 36, up 13
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:04MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:41MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:56MRSH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:04MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:52MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:55MRSH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:30MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:44MRSH Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:12MRSH Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:1640% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.8%
Frank Peasant run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
41.2%
Mobley,Chaton rush for 3 yards gain to the MTS34 (Cumberlander,Koby) PENALTY MTS Holding (Robinson,Lance) 10 yards from MTS31 to MTS21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
39.4%
Chase Cunningham run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+6
38.1%
Frank Peasant run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+15
38.4%
Ulbrich,Kyle punt 45 yards to the MAR32 PENALTY MAR Roughing The Kicker (Gilmore,Steven) 15 yards from MTS23 to MTS38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
42.5%
Brad Anderson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36 Brad Anderson fumbled, forced by Sam Burton, recovered by Marsh Eli NealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:1477% → 76%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
23.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 2 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
23.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
23.7%
PENALTY MAR Delay Of Game 5 yards from MAR34 to MAR29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
23.9%
PENALTY MAR False Start 5 yards from MAR29 to MAR24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
23.9%
Robert Lefevre punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the MTnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:0824% → 29%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
24.0%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to DJ England-ChisolmSimilar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
24.1%
Brad Anderson run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+4
24.4%
Brad Anderson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
50
+24
24.7%
Chase Cunningham run for 24 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
25.0%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
25.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Offside (J'Coryan Anderson) to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
25.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ England-Chisolm for 6 yds to the Marsh 10Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+1
25.3%
Chase Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+6
25.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 6 yds to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
28.5%
Mike DiLiello run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
Q1 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
28.5%
Rankin,Zeke kick attempt good PENALTY MTS Illegal Motion 5 yards from MAR03 to MAR08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:1472% → 71%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
28.1%
Rasheen Ali run for 9 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+6
27.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
28.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
28.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
28.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
29.4%
Robert Lefevre punt blocked by Chaton Mobley blocked by Chaton MobleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3930% → 31%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
30.2%
Chase Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+10
30.5%
Chase Cunningham run for 10 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+1
31.2%
Amir Rasul run for 1 yd to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+2
31.2%
Chase Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1569% → 67%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
30.8%
(05:23) Wells,Grant pass incomplete to Gammage,Corey PENALTY MAR Illegal Formation 5 yards from MAR31 to MAR26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+6
31.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 6 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-7
31.4%
Grant Wells sacked by Jurriente Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 16
OWN 25
0
32.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Rasheen AliSimilar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+4
32.8%
Robert Lefevre punt for 49 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 4 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4433% → 34%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
32.7%
Chase Cunningham run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
33.2%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
33.7%
Chase Cunningham run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
33.8%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Willie Johnson at the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:3366% → 65%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
33.8%
Sheldon Evans run for no gain to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
34.1%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
34.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Shadeed AhmedSimilar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
35.3%
Robert Lefevre punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:0836% → 47%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 9
OWN 42
+8
36.2%
Chaton Mobley run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 1
50
+5
36.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 5 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
36.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Izaiah GathingsSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+17
37.0%
DJ England-Chisolm run for 17 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
37.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 1 yd to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
38.1%
(14:21) Cunningham,Chase pass incomplete to Gathings,Izaiah PENALTY MTS Chop Block offsetting MAR Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+14
38.2%
(14:03) Cunningham,Chase pass incomplete to Marshall,Jimmy PENALTY MAR Pass Interference (McCoy,Cory) 14 yards from MAR27 to MAR13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
38.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 3 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+3
39.1%
Brad Anderson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
47.1%
Jarrin Pierce 13 Yd pass from Chase Cunningham (Zeke Rankin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 0:0254% → 64%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
46.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+13
46.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 13 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+47
45.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 47 yds to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
36.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 12 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:2842% → 53%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
41.9%
(10:45) Cunningham,Chase pass complete to Gathings,Izaiah for 47 yards to the MAR02, End Of Play PENALTY MTS Holding (Ryles,Jahlil) 10 yards from MAR49 to MTS41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 20
OWN 41
0
41.4%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 20
OWN 41
0
41.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to CJ WindhamSimilar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 20
OWN 41
+18
41.4%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to CJ Windham for 18 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+41
53.2%
Chaton Mobley run for 41 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:0149% → 50%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
51.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 23 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
50.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
50.9%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+12
50.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 31 Rasheen Ali fumbled, forced by Reed Blankenship, recovered by MTnSt Jurriente DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 1:4353% → 77%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
52.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Amir Rasul for 7 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+6
54.0%
Amir Rasul run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
55.0%
Amir Rasul run for no gain to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+16
55.7%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 16 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
56.2%
Chase Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+34
76.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 34 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:2230% → 29%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
70.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 5 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+14
70.8%
Sheldon Evans run for 14 yds to the MTnSt 32 Sheldon Evans fumbled, forced by Gregory Grate Jr., recovered by MTnSt Reed BlankenshipSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5778% → 80%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
77.5%
Chase Cunningham sacked by TJ Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 17
OWN 25
+1
78.0%
Brad Anderson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+2
79.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 2 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
79.6%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 74 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:0024% → 44%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.5%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Shadeed AhmedSimilar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+12
77.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 12 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+23
76.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 23 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
75.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
73.4%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (Raquon Hartley) to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
73.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to for 11 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
74.1%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4368% → 67%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
67.6%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Jamare Edwards for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+2
67.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Brad Anderson for 2 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
67.0%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
65.5%
Rasheen Ali run for no gain to the MTnSt 36 Rasheen Ali fumbled, forced by Jordan Ferguson, recovered by MTnSt DQ ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4771% → 72%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
70.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 16 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
71.4%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+1
71.3%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
70.4%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Yusuf AliSimilar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
71.6%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1929% → 25%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
70.9%
Grant Wells run for 8 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
69.0%
Sheldon Evans run for 1 yd to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
69.6%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
69.8%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
70.2%
Sheldon Evans run for 3 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
70.2%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Sheldon EvansSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
74.6%
Robert Lefevre punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:4676% → 79%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
76.4%
Amir Rasul run for no gain to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
76.3%
Frank Peasant run for no gain to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+21
75.5%
Chaton Mobley run for 21 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
76.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to DJ England-ChisolmSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
76.7%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jarrin PierceSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+3
75.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 3 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
79.3%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 51 yds , Willie Johnson returns for no gain to the Marsh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:4223% → 21%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
77.0%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 7 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+8
76.1%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 8 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
75.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 15 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
74.8%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
78.6%
Grant Wells pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:5283% → 84%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
83.1%
Mike DiLiello run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
84.0%
Chase Cunningham pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:4022% → 7%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
77.6%
Knowledge McDaniel run for 21 yds to the MTnSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+90
93.5%
Reed Blankenship 90 Yd Fumble Return (Zeke Rankin PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 2:036% → 4%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
94.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 7 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+4
94.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 4 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 21
OWN 18
+4
94.9%
Grant Wells run for 4 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 25
OWN 14
0
96.3%
Robert Lefevre punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lane at the Marsh 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5197% → 97%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
96.6%
Amir Rasul run for 5 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
96.7%
Amir Rasul run for 1 yd to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
96.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
96.9%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27TD
18 plays · 89 yds · 4:253% → 14%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
97.1%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+10
97.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 10 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
97.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 9 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+7
96.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 7 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.9%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
96.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 4 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
97.0%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 6
OWN 41
-5
97.0%
PENALTY MAR False Start (Sartor,Kendrick) 5 yards from MAR41 to MAR36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+15
97.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 15 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.9%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
96.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 13 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
96.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+9
96.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 9 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
96.4%
Grant Wells run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
95.9%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+5
95.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 5 yds to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+4
96.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:3492% → 95%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.9%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
92.0%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Frank Peasant run for no gain to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+9
94.5%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 44 yds , Willie Johnson returns for 9 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 29INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:0510% → 10%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
89.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 12 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
89.4%
Wells,Grant pass incomplete to Ahmed,Shadeed PENALTY MTS Offside (Ferguson,Jordan) 5 yards from MAR48 to MTS47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+13
88.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 13 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
88.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Shadeed AhmedSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
89.9%
Grant Wells pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 30PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 1:5096% → 97%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
96.1%
Chaton Mobley run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+13
96.1%
Chaton Mobley run for 13 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.2%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
97.2%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 32
-5
97.7%
PENALTY MTS False Start (Hinton,Dorian) 5 yards from MAR32 to MAR37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+1
97.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
97.4%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 31TD
13 plays · 97 yds · 3:032% → 21%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
97.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 5 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+1
97.9%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 1 yd to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+11
98.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 11 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
97.8%
Grant Wells sacked by DQ Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 11Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+2
97.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 2 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 21
OWN 9
+28
98.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 28 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
97.5%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 8 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+11
97.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 11 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 5 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+21
97.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Stone Scarcelle for 21 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
97.0%
Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
79.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 17 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 32END OF GAME
2 plays · -11 yds · 1:0596% → 97%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
96.2%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 49
-6
96.5%
run for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:52
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 34 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)
+20.4
TD · Q2 0:55
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)
-17.6
TD · Q4 1:12
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 17 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)
-17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com