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FIU

Florida International 21 at Florida Atlantic 58

FAU
2021 · Week 5 · Oct 2, 2021 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Tommy Heatherly punt for 51 yds, downed at the FlAtl 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Home team on offense+11.0Pregame prior+11.5Score differential+4.6Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:36: James Charles run for 32 yds for a TD, (W. Taggart Jr. Run For Two-point Conversion) — FAU win probability +3.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:03: Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +5.9 pts (now 36%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:42: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for 22 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK) — FAU win probability +6.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:15: Johnny Ford 89 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Aaron Shahriari Kick) — FAU win probability +6.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:49: Nick Tronti 5 Yd Run (Aaron Shahriari Kick) — FAU win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5FIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 12:10FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:35FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:36FIU 4th & 25 at FAU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:19FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:17FIU 4th & 8 at FAU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:49FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00FIU 4th & 19 at FIU 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:07FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:22FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 27, up 13
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:12FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:09FAU 4th & 2 at FIU 2, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.4%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−8.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:13FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 19, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:47FIU 4th & 18 at FIU 31, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:36FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 44, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:52FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:18FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:36FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    76.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:03FIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:42FAU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:15FAU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:49FAU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:13FAU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:53FAU Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:0873% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
72.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 45 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
72.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+22
72.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 22 yds to the FlaIn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
72.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (Marquice Robinson) to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q1 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
72.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3627% → 27%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
72.7%
BORTENSCHLAGER, Max pass up the middle incomplete intended for THORNTON, Shemar thrown to the FIU30; QB hurried by LASATER, Chase. PENALTY FIU Holding on PALMER, Sterling enforced 10 yards from the FIU24 to the FIU14 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+4
72.8%
D'vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+6
72.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 6 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
72.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+21
73.1%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 62 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 21 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3573% → 73%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
73.0%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
73.1%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
73.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 3 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
73.1%
Matt Hayball punt for 49 yds, downed at the FlaIn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 3:1727% → 30%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
73.1%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 10
-5
73.1%
D'vonte Price run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 12
OWN 5
+20
73.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D'vonte Price for 20 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
73.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 11 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
72.8%
D'vonte Price run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
72.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Diashun Moss) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.8%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2771% → 70%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
71.0%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
70.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to James Charles for 5 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
70.3%
James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 1:1531% → 29%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
69.4%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+6
69.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-15
69.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Lexington Joseph) to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 20
OPP 44
0
70.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 20
OPP 44
-5
70.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 25
OPP 49
0
70.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 44 yds, downed at the FlAtl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1770% → 69%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
70.1%
Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 8
-1
70.0%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+1
69.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to James Charles for 1 yd to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 7
OWN 8
0
68.9%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bryce Singleton at the FlaIn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0232% → 31%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
68.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
68.4%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
68.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
68.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:4170% → 75%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
69.8%
Johnny Ford run for 29 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
71.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+1
71.0%
Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+12
70.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
74.6%
James Charles run for 32 yds for a TD, (W. Taggart Jr. Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3328% → 36%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.3%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+48
72.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 48 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
70.0%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 14:36
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
70.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:36
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
70.9%
BORTENSCHLAGER, Max pass to the right incomplete intended for MITCHELL, Kris thrown to the FAU21. PENALTY FAU Personal Foul on YOUNG, Teja enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the end of the play at the FAU23 to the FAU12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
70.0%
D'vonte Price run for no gain to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
64.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:1368% → 76%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
67.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+15
67.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Targeting on HALL, Dorian enforced (Dorian Hall) to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
68.9%
Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
69.1%
Larry McCammon III run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+8
68.9%
Larry McCammon III run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
69.4%
Larry McCammon III run for no gain to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+18
69.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for 18 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
75.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for 22 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5328% → 24%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.4%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
72.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
74.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
75.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 52 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:3475% → 82%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
75.1%
FORD, Johnny rush to the right for a loss of 2 yards to the FAU20, out of bounds. PENALTY FAU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on CHARLES, James enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the FAU22 to the FAU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 21
OWN 11
+89
81.8%
Johnny Ford 89 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Aaron Shahriari Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 2:1318% → 18%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
81.6%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Jaylen Joyner for 0 yards to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+13
81.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 13 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
81.2%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
82.0%
Tyrese Chambers 68 Yd pass from Max Bortenschlager (Chase Gabriel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:2182% → 85%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
82.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 5 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+12
82.3%
Malcolm Davidson run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
83.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Kelvin Dean Jr. for 5 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
83.1%
Malcolm Davidson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
50
+4
83.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+6
83.2%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
83.2%
Johnny Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
83.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+42
84.9%
Je'Quan Burton 42 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Aaron Shahriari Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 1:1517% → 15%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
83.5%
D'vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
83.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+6
83.6%
D'vonte Price run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
83.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
84.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+6
84.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D'vonte Price for 6 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 4
OWN 41
-15
83.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Personal Foul (Api Mane) to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
84.6%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 51 yds, downed at the FlAtl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5317% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.3%
D'vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
83.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
84.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 53 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4585% → 85%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for no gain to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
84.9%
Malcolm Davidson run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+1
84.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 1 yd to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
84.9%
Matt Hayball punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:1016% → 14%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
84.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 8 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+11
84.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 11 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
83.6%
D'vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
83.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
83.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
85.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 43 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 83 yds · 5:0387% → 92%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
86.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 2 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
87.0%
FORD, Johnny rush to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the FAU29, out of bounds. PENALTY FAU Holding on ROBINSON, Brandon declined FAU Block below the waist on BELL, Kamaar enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the FAU17 to the FAU10 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+5
86.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offsides (Jason Mercier) to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+17
86.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 17 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+37
87.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to John Mitchell for 37 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
87.7%
Javion Posey pass complete to N'Kosi Perry for 11 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
87.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
87.7%
Johnny Ford run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+6
87.3%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
87.7%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
87.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
89.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to TJ Chase for 7 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
92.2%
Aaron Shahriari 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:5510% → 10%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
90.0%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 1
OWN 19
-5
88.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
90.2%
Max Bortenschlager pass intercepted return for no gain to the FlAtl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:1593% → 99%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 32
OWN 39
+6
93.1%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 26
OWN 45
+14
93.0%
Johnny Ford run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+16
93.1%
Nick Tronti run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
93.4%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 11 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
93.4%
Johnny Ford run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
98.5%
Nick Tronti 5 Yd Run (Aaron Shahriari Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:362% → 2%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.6%
D'vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.6%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
97.7%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Courtney McBride for 0 yards to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
98.2%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:0099% → 100%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Nick Tronti pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.6%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
98.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offsides (Jordan Guerad) to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
98.7%
Nick Tronti run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
98.7%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+6
98.7%
James Charles run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
98.7%
James Charles run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-5
98.7%
TRONTI, Nick pass to the left incomplete intended for MITCHELL-PADEN, Zaire thrown to the FIU10. PENALTY FAU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on NEAL, Chaz enforced 5 yards from the FIU37 to the FIU42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+5
98.7%
Nick Tronti run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+21
98.6%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 21 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
98.7%
Javion Posey run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+3
98.7%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Johnny Ford 10 Yd Run (Aaron Shahriari Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Grayson James run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Grayson James run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 9 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 7 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-15
99.8%
JAMES, Grayson pass to the left incomplete intended for CHAMBERS, Tyrese thrown to the FIU50. PENALTY FIU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on HUDSON JR., Lyndell enforced 15 yards from the FIU46 to the FIU31 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 18
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 18
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Tommy Heatherly punt for 53 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for no gain to the FlAtl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:54100% → 100%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
99.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+20
99.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to TJ Chase for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to Austin Evans for 8 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+8
99.9%
Nick Tronti pass complete to TJ Chase for 8 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+11
99.9%
Javion Posey run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Kelvin Dean Jr. 20 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27END OF GAME
13 plays · 68 yds · 3:360% → 0%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
99.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
99.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 13 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 6 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+10
99.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 10 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 7 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+4
100.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 4 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
100.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:15
Johnny Ford 89 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Aaron Shahriari Kick)
+6.7
TD · Q2 8:42
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zaire Mitchell-Paden for 22 yds for a TD, (Aaron Shahriari KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 12:03
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)
-5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com