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UNM

New Mexico 13 at UTEP 20

UTEP
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:30 · Aaron Rodriguez punt for 48 yds, downed at the UTEP 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+22.5+11.30−11.3−22.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Home team on offense+5.3Pregame prior−1.6Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:35: Andrew Shelley 43 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +4.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:23: Deion Hankins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +15.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 9:27: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 55 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +15.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:16: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 40 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down — UTEP win probability +6.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:56: Gavin Baechle 44 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +5.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 11UNM made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 14:00UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:02UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:28UTEP 4th & 15 at UNM 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:44UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:47UNM 4th & 2 at UTEP 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:32UTEP 4th & 6 at UNM 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:35UNM 4th & 3 at UTEP 26, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%−0.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:35UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.3%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:39UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:17UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−2.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:33UTEP 4th & 1 at UNM 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−4.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    59.8%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:39UTEP 4th & 8 at UNM 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−8.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:18UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:19UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:30UNM 4th & 16 at UNM 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−4.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:52UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 35, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%−4.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:44UNM 4th & 12 at UNM 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:58UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:16UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 20, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−3.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:56UTEP 4th & 1 at UNM 27, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.0%−4.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−15.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:56UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.5%−1.0
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:47UNM 4th & 1 at UTEP 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.4%−6.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:20UNM 4th & 9 at UTEP 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−2.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−3.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:54UNM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:23UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:27UTEP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5658% → 58%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
41.6%
Bobby Cole run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 21Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
41.6%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
41.6%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:00
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
41.9%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 yds, downed at the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5842% → 42%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
41.9%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
41.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
41.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+2
42.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 57 yds , returns for 2 yds to the NMex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:5458% → 58%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
42.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Kyle Jarvis for 17 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
42.1%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the NMex 35Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
42.3%
Terry Wilson sacked for 0 yards to the NMex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4MISSED FG
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:4043% → 43%
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
42.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+2
42.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 15
OPP 33
+50
42.8%
Gavin Baechle 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:3457% → 60%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
42.8%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-1
42.8%
Bobby Cole run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+17
43.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Jace Taylor for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
50
+5
42.4%
Chad Alexander run for 5 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
42.4%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+18
42.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Kyle Jarvis for 18 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
42.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Bobby Cole for 12 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
39.7%
Terry Wilson 12 Yd Run (Andrew Shelley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0341% → 40%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
40.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
40.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
40.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:44
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
40.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:5760% → 60%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
39.6%
Aaron Dumas run for 8 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
39.5%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
39.7%
Bobby Cole run for 5 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
39.5%
Bobby Wooden run for 4 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+8
39.5%
Aaron Dumas run for 8 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
39.5%
Joah Flores pass complete to Terry Wilson for 5 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+3
39.5%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
39.7%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+1
39.6%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FG
8 plays · 72 yds · 4:1540% → 44%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+57
40.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 57 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
42.5%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+3
42.5%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+5
41.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
42.1%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the NMex 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
42.1%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the NMex 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+3
41.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 3 yds to the NMex 15Similar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
44.0%
Gavin Baechle 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:5757% → 62%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
43.3%
Aaron Dumas run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
43.4%
Aaron Dumas run for 3 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+28
43.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Luke Wysong for 28 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
41.9%
Aaron Dumas run for 5 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+7
41.7%
Terry Wilson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
41.5%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
41.5%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+6
42.2%
Chad Alexander run for 6 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
37.7%
Andrew Shelley 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:5339% → 37%
Q2 9:35
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+6
38.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Nick Ast for 6 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
38.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+9
38.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 9 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
40.1%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+4
38.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+1
39.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Forest McKee for 1 yd to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
38.8%
UTEP Penalty, Sideline Interference (TEAM) to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
38.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+10
37.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 50 yds , Chad Alexander returns for 10 yds to the NMex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 4:0364% → 67%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
36.4%
Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
36.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 3 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+11
36.1%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Kyle Jarvis for 11 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+1
36.4%
Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 19
OWN 29
-5
36.8%
WILSON JR., Terry pass to the right complete for 39 yards to WYSONG, Luke caught at the UTE42 and advanced to the UTE32 (RICHARDSON, Torey). PENALTY Before the snap, UNM False Start enforced 5 yards from the UNM29 to the UNM24. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 24
OWN 24
+8
36.8%
Bobby Wooden run for 8 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
34.9%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+8
35.1%
Chad Alexander run for 8 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
33.2%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5035% → 34%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
34.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
34.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
34.2%
Gavin Hardison pass intercepted return for no gain to the NMex 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:4969% → 72%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
30.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Kyle Jarvis for 13 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
29.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Bobby Cole for 10 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
29.3%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
29.4%
UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Praise Amaewhule) to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
29.1%
WILSON JR., Terry pass to the right incomplete intended for BOONE, C.J.. PENALTY UTE Pass Interference on NEIL JR., Walter enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the UTE19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
28.8%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
28.8%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+31
27.6%
Andrew Shelley 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 1:3331% → 49%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
30.7%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the left incomplete intended for COWING, Jacob thrown to the UTE25. PENALTY UNM Pass Interference on MARTIN, Donte enforced 15 yards to the UTE31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
31.2%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
30.6%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Joey Noble for 0 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 21
OWN 20
+34
29.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 34 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
33.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
33.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+37
32.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 37 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
48.6%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0057% → 55%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
42.7%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 23Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
42.9%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
44.1%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 10
OWN 23
-2
45.5%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 42 yds , Justin Garrett returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 0:5044% → 63%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
43.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 12 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
46.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+55
62.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 55 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:5640% → 38%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.6%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.8%
Aaron Dumas run for 1 yd to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
60.9%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Cade Briggs) to the NMex 21Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
61.9%
Terry Wilson pass intercepted return for no gain to the NMex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 13 yds · 4:5265% → 65%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
65.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
65.0%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
65.5%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
64.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
66.7%
Gavin Hardison run for no gain to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-2
66.6%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 33Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+4
64.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
65.4%
Gavin Baechle 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2140% → 38%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
60.3%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
61.4%
Connor Witthoft run for 8 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
58.4%
Terry Wilson run for no gain to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
61.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 52 yds, downed at the UTEP 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:5965% → 66%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
65.0%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 12Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
64.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+19
63.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 19 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
65.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 9 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
69.8%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
68.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
69.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
68.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
67.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+8
66.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds , Chad Alexander returns for 8 yds to the NMex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:4936% → 32%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
63.7%
Luke Wysong run for 9 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
60.3%
Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
62.1%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
63.2%
Bobby Cole run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 31Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 11
OWN 31
-5
65.5%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Austin Cook) to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 16
OWN 26
0
65.9%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
68.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 48 yds, downed at the UTEP 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3869% → 69%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
68.6%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
69.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
68.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
69.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Chad Alexander at the NMex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0832% → 27%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
68.4%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-5
69.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Cade Briggs) to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+3
69.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Luke Wysong for 3 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
70.8%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
72.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 61 yds, downed at the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4672% → 75%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
71.9%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+6
71.6%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
70.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+59
74.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds NEW MEXICO Penalty, Personal Foul (Jr. Andrell Barney) to the NMex 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4229% → 24%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
70.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Bobby Cole for no gain to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
71.1%
Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 14Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+6
72.7%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the NMex 20Similar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
76.3%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 56 yds, downed at the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:2083% → 94%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+40
82.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 40 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
85.8%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
88.4%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+9
87.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+44
93.5%
Gavin Baechle 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 27DOWNS
13 plays · 42 yds · 2:3610% → 10%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
90.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Luke Wysong for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 21Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
90.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Bobby Cole for 5 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
91.1%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+18
91.4%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Connor Witthoft for 18 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
88.3%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Connor Witthoft for 9 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
85.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Bobby Cole for no gain to the UTEP 47Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
86.5%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+13
90.2%
Bobby Cole run for 13 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
85.1%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
85.5%
Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
87.8%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
89.8%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:27
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 55 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+15.9
TD · Q3 13:23
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+15.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com