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UAB

UAB 28 at Tulane 21

TULN
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 25, 2021 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+12.4TULN 14.1%Michael Pratt pass complete toJaetavian Toles for 15 yds for a TD,(Merek Glover KICK)AWAY 28 - HOME 21 · Q4 1:57
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:57 · Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 15 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 176Home team on offense−23.1Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−12.4Pregame prior+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:11: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 65 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +7.1 pts (now 53%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:57: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 2 yds for a TD — UAB win probability +19.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:06: Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 7 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +13.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:47: Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +18.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:57: Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 15 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +12.4 pts (now 14%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 15:00TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:03TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:57TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.9%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:58UAB 4th & 6 at TULN 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%
    74% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−6.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:11TULN 4th & 3 at UAB 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−0.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:44TULN 4th & 21 at UAB 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−2.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    42.7%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:46UAB 4th & 16 at TULN 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−2.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 5 at UAB 10, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    18.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    12.0%−6.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:56UAB 4th & 16 at TULN 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−1.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:31UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:57TULN 4th & 10 at UAB 15, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:57TULN 4th & 2 at UAB 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.8%−5.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:03UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:11UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:57UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:02TULN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:06TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:47UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:57TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:5739% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
60.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit Prince UAB Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 14:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
60.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 5 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
60.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+10
60.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 10 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
60.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
60.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q1 14:28
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+13
60.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 13 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
60.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
60.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 14:28
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+3
60.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
60.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 7 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 3
OPP 5
-1
60.6%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 6Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 1
OPP 15
0
60.6%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
57.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.1%
Jaetavian Toles run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
58.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 4 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
58.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 11 yds Jaetavian Toles fumbled, forced by Starling Thomas V, recovered by UAB Starling Thomas VSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FUMBLE
10 plays · 41 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
56.6%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-6
56.6%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Noah Seiden for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+5
57.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 11
OPP 43
+15
57.3%
Greenwell, Kyle punt 41 yards to the TULANE2, downed, PENALTY TULANE roughing the kicker (Machado, Jesus) 15 yards to the TULANE28, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
56.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 13 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
56.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+11
56.5%
Hopkins, Dylan pass incomplete to Benton, Charlie, PENALTY TULANE pass interference (Kerr, Ajani) 11 yards to the TULANE2, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
56.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Tulan 1Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Tulan 1Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 0
OPP 1
0
56.4%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Tulan 1 DeWayne McBride fumbled, recovered by Tulan Ryan WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:5855% → 54%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
55.3%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulan 3Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+5
55.3%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+4
54.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 4 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
55.4%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+4
55.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+3
54.0%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
53.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
46.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 65 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
47.3%
UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Trea Shropshire) to the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
48.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
48.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-4
47.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 14
OWN 25
0
47.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1854% → 75%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
45.7%
RaJae' Johnson-Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
45.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 7 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
45.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kristopher Moll for 10 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+28
45.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 28 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
44.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
44.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+2
44.9%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+8
45.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 8 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
44.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Tulan 2Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
25.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5532% → 41%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
31.6%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to James, Tyrick, PENALTY UAB pass interference (Sanders, Kelle) 15 yards to the TULANE40, 1ST DOWN TULANE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
32.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
32.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 7 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+1
33.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+29
33.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 29 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
34.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 11 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-8
34.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the UAB 10 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UAB 20Similar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 18
OPP 20
+20
41.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 20 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:0463% → 67%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
37.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to A.J. Davis IV for 23 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
36.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+18
36.0%
Dylan Hopkins run for 18 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
36.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
36.0%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the Tulan 21Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
36.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Will BolerSimilar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
32.7%
Matt Quinn 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 1:5235% → 49%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
34.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts, broken up by Deshaun Oliver Jr.Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+14
34.5%
Ygenio Booker run for 14 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
35.2%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to James, Tyrick, PENALTY UAB pass interference (Miller, Damien) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN TULANE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
50
-10
37.0%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the 50 yard line TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (Joey Claybrook) to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
35.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae WyattSimilar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+9
34.9%
Ygenio Booker run for 9 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+8
34.0%
Ygenio Booker run for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+7
34.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 7 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
35.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 5 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
36.2%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+24
35.3%
Ygenio Booker run for 24 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
48.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 7 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.5%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
44.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
42.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
42.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
42.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-13
43.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass intercepted Lance Robinson return for 13 yds to the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0049% → 43%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-11
49.3%
Jaetavian Toles run for a loss of 11 yards to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 21
OPP 36
0
46.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 21
OPP 36
0
45.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 21
OPP 36
0
43.0%
Ryan Wright punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
41.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 21Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
42.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
41.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Matt Quinn for 5 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
40.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
40.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+18
39.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 18 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
38.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Matt QuinnSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
38.8%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-6
39.3%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Angelo Anderson for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 49Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
42.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15INT
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:0041% → 45%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
40.7%
Ygenio Booker run for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
40.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 11 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
41.4%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to Booker, Ygenio, PENALTY UAB pass interference (Boler, Will) 15 yards to the TULANE46, 1ST DOWN TULANE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
43.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 6
50
+15
44.9%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to Toles, Jaetavia, PENALTY UAB roughing passer (McWilliams, Fis) 15 yards to the UAB35, 1ST DOWN TULANE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
46.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
46.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Ygenio BookerSimilar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
44.9%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted Starling Thomas V return for no gain to the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:1964% → 85%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
35.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 7 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
35.0%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+15
35.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 15 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
33.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+6
33.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
33.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+30
33.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 30 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
14.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:4720% → 20%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.7%
Ygenio Booker run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
19.8%
Ygenio Booker run for no gain to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
19.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 13 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+44
21.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 44 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
23.4%
Ygenio Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
22.9%
Ygenio Booker run for no gain to the UAB 16Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+6
21.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 6 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 10
0
19.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Will WallaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
14.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 19 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
14.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+10
14.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to 89 for 10 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+25
14.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kristopher Moll for 8 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Jaylon Monroe) to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
13.3%
Lucious Stanley run for 7 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 3
OPP 32
-2
12.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-11
13.3%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Noah Seiden for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
15.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 34 yds, downed at the Tulan 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19INT
11 plays · 70 yds · 0:0011% → 15%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
11.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 9 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+19
11.8%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Deshaun Oliver Jr.) to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
12.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for 7 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
13.1%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
13.3%
Kai Horton pass complete to Tyrick James for 9 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
14.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
14.1%
Ygenio Booker run for 2 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
13.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan Jackson, broken up by Keondre SwoopesSimilar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
13.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+19
13.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 19 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-21
15.2%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted Damon Miller return for 21 yds to the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 2:3794% → 97%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
6.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+6
6.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to RaJae' Johnson-Sanders for 6 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
6.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
6.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 7 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
4.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
3.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 1 yd to the UAB 46Similar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
3.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 2:262% → 14%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
1.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for no gain to the Tulan 15Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+13
1.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 13 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
1.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts, broken up by Jaylen KeySimilar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
1.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 3 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+7
1.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 7 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
1.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
1.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Ygenio Booker for 8 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+7
1.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 7 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+32
1.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 32 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
1.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
1.8%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete, broken up by Fish McWilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
1.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat Watts, broken up by Damon MillerSimilar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+15
14.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 15 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
14.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 8 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
18.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts, broken up by Starling Thomas VSimilar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
15.3%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the UAB 49Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 2
OPP 49
-5
14.0%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 46 Michael Pratt fumbled, recovered by UABSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-1
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:57
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 2 yds for a TD
-19.5
TD · Q3 2:47
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-18.4
TD · Q2 0:06
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 7 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+13.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com