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MRSH

Marshall 30 at App State 31

APP
2021 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2021 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:46 · Robert Lefevre punt for 61 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+19.4Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:13: Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +11.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:01: Michael Hughes kickoff for 62 yds , Rasheen Ali return for 97 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +14.4 pts (now 44%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:04: Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +14.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:16: Rasheen Ali run for 8 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK) — MRSH win probability +15.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:09: Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 24 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +24.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:46MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:36MRSH 4th & 4 at APP 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:50APP 4th & 8 at APP 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:39MRSH 4th & 13 at APP 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:12APP 4th & 14 at APP 46, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:40APP 4th & 1 at MRSH 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.5%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:54APP 4th & 13 at MRSH 36, down 6
    Close callPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    54.4%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:58MRSH 4th & 16 at MRSH 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−1.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:54MRSH 4th & 6 at APP 29, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−7.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:18APP 4th & 9 at MRSH 38, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:50MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 33, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−5.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:17MRSH 4th & 5 at APP 15, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    32.5%−20.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:45APP 4th & 3 at MRSH 28, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−1.4
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−16.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:38APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:36MRSH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:13APP Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:01MRSH Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:04APP Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:16MRSH Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:09APP Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0430% → 30%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
69.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
69.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for no gain to the Marsh 39Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
69.6%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:46
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
69.6%
Robert Lefevre punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5270% → 71%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
69.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 28 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
69.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+12
69.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 12 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
69.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+15
69.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 15 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
69.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+9
69.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
69.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 3:5729% → 31%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
70.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 9 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
70.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
70.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
70.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+6
70.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 6 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
70.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+41
70.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 41 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
70.0%
Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the AppSt 6Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
70.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the AppSt 3Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
70.2%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 4Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
68.9%
Shane Ciucci 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:4069% → 69%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
69.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 12 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
69.7%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 35Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+4
69.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
69.4%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+6
68.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 48 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 6 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:0131% → 32%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
69.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Corey Gammage for 6 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-1
69.0%
Sheldon Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+6
69.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Sheldon Evans for 6 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
69.0%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
50
+7
67.6%
Grant Wells pass complete to Talik Keaton for 7 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+9
67.4%
Sheldon Evans run for 9 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+22
67.1%
Sheldon Evans run for 10 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
66.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 17Similar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
66.9%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+2
67.2%
Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 13
OPP 15
0
67.7%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q1 0:39
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+33
68.1%
Shane Ciucci 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1469% → 67%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
69.1%
Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
50
-1
69.6%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
68.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 11
OWN 49
-3
68.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 46Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
67.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 1:3232% → 41%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
68.0%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
68.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 7 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+19
68.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 19 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
66.6%
Rasheen Ali run for 3 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+56
59.1%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 56 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:1461% → 71%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.6%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+16
59.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 16 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
61.2%
Chase Brice run for 9 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 1
OPP 48
-1
61.9%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
61.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+3
59.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
61.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
61.8%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+12
61.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 12 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
61.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the Marsh 10Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 2
OPP 10
0
61.4%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
60.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 3 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
60.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
60.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Mike EvansSimilar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 0
OPP 3
+1
59.5%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (1 Yards) to the Marsh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:5156% → 53%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
55.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+4
56.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 4 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
55.8%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Camerun PeoplesSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
55.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 18 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
58.0%
Nate Noel run for 9 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+5
57.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
58.8%
Chase Brice sacked by Charlie Gray for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 17
OPP 40
+4
56.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 4 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 13
OPP 36
0
55.3%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:54
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
53.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 25 yds, downed at the Marsh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:5247% → 46%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
53.0%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Shadeed AhmedSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+25
53.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 25 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
50.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 4 yds to the Marsh 40 Rasheen Ali fumbled, recovered by MarshSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
49.2%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Talik KeatonSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-10
50.2%
Grant Wells sacked by Jalen McLeod for a loss of 10 yards to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 16
OWN 30
+8
53.7%
Robert Lefevre punt for 50 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 8 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 1:4853% → 71%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
53.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+14
52.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 14 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
54.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+7
55.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
55.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 2 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+22
55.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 22 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
56.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (10 Yards) to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
56.7%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
56.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the Marsh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14INT
12 plays · 37 yds · 4:5368% → 70%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
68.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 8 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.7%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
68.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
67.1%
Chase Brice run for 9 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
69.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
68.0%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 15
OWN 43
0
67.7%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+17
66.4%
Nate Noel run for 17 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
70.4%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-50
70.4%
Chase Brice pass intercepted Micah Abraham return for 35 yds to the Marsh 3 MARSHALL Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the Marsh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:5634% → 44%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
66.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 13 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
64.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 29 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
61.7%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
61.6%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+2
63.1%
Sheldon Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+46
55.7%
Shane Ciucci 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5959% → 61%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
61.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
59.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
59.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Camerun Peoples for 8 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
60.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 47 Camerun Peoples fumbled, recovered by Marsh Eli NealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 0:5950% → 68%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
50.4%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 23 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
48.8%
Grant Wells pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 9 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+7
48.0%
Grant Wells run for 7 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
32.3%
Rasheen Ali run for 8 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 1:5238% → 35%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
37.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
38.2%
Nate Noel run for 16 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
40.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
40.0%
Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
40.8%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
40.6%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
39.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
34.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:2069% → 67%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
30.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Rasheen Ali for 1 yd to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-6
29.1%
Grant Wells sacked by Brendan Harrington and Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
32.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
32.7%
Robert Lefevre punt for 48 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for no gain to the AppSt 33 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the AppSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 1:2132% → 63%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+10
31.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the AppSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
32.1%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+13
32.7%
Nate Noel run for 13 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+37
33.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 37 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
38.5%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
63.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 24 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:4052% → 54%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
48.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 5 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+15
45.2%
Grant Wells run for 15 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
43.0%
Rasheen Ali run for 16 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
41.2%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
41.1%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+11
43.1%
Grant Wells run for 11 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
40.6%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Rasheen AliSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
40.5%
Rasheen Ali run for 1 yd to the AppSt 19Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+4
42.7%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 4 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
45.8%
Shane Ciucci 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:2355% → 71%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
55.1%
Nate Noel run for 9 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+1
59.3%
Chase Brice run for 1 yd to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
56.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 12 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
59.6%
Chase Brice run for 12 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
61.3%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
60.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 8 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
63.1%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
63.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 5 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-2
59.4%
Chase Brice run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 28Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
70.7%
Chandler Staton 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23MISSED FG
8 plays · 0 yds · 1:4037% → 37%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
63.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
64.3%
Grant Wells pass complete to Willie Johnson for 9 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
59.4%
Rasheen Ali run for 2 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
60.2%
Grant Wells pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 12 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
57.5%
Rasheen Ali run for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 16
OWN 48
0
62.0%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Shadeed AhmedSimilar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 16
OWN 48
0
63.4%
Grant Wells pass incomplete to Corey GammageSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:4966% → 95%
Q4 3:50
4TH & 16
OWN 48
+1
66.4%
Robert Lefevre punt for 45 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 1 yd to the AppSt 8Similar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
71.7%
Nate Noel run for 11 yds to the AppSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
72.7%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 18Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+14
72.8%
Nate Noel run for 14 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+41
78.6%
Nate Noel run for 41 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
85.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 8Similar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+22
85.4%
Nate Noel run for 22 yds to the Marsh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:09
Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 24 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+24.6
TD · Q3 4:16
Rasheen Ali run for 8 yds for a TD, (Shane Ciucci KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q2 0:04
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+14.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com